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Threat Stage Over – Deterrence Factor Back in Israeli Military Actions!

June 28, 2006

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

The Jerusalem Post Article, which follows our narrative on the Middle East, gives a good account of the IAF and IDF activity in the current situation in the Gaza Strip.

After having observed the Palestinians in action since 1952, and all the terrorist groups in Israel following the 1967 War, I am convinced they only respond positively for brief periods to direct military action against their killing of Israelis.

I realize, as do the Israelis, that their military action may result in the young soldier’s death, but to negotiate with the terrorists for his release will only cause the terrorists to intensify their efforts to kidnap many others, knowing they can count on Israel’s same reaction.

If you were to say to me, “you would not feel the same way if it were your son, and you would be all for his release by freeing the imprisoned terrorists,” I can only say to you, “You are probably right.” But being a Vietnam vet, down deep inside, where my true reasoning processes live, I would know his release would lead to the death of the sons and daughters

of many other loving parents.

I know we are heading for the fulfillment of a lot of horrendous events, which I guesstimate may begin at some point in time between 2008 and 2012, but, as I have indicated many times, it is a guesstimate based on the events that have occurred in the last 38 years in the Middle East. I do know they must occur because I believe the word of God, but “when” will always be a guess. I can only tell you that everything I have seen in the Middle East since 2000 lets me know the time of fulfillment is not going to be in the far distant future.

The five following Scriptures are not far distant events.

Zechariah 13:8 – And it shall come to pass, that in all the land, saith the Lord, two parts therein shall be cut off and die; but the third shall be left therein.

Revelation 12:6 – And the woman fled into the wilderness, where she hath a place prepared of God, that they should feed her there a thousand two hundred and threescore days.

Zechariah 13:9 – And I will bring the third part through the fire, and will refine them as silver is refined, and will try them as gold is tried: they shall call on my name, and I will hear them: I will say, It is my people: and they shall say, The Lord is my God.

Jeremiah 30:7 – Alas! for that day is great, so that none is like it: it is even the time of Jacob’s trouble; but he shall be saved out of it.

Zechariah 14:9 – And the Lord shall be king over all the earth: in that day shall there be one Lord, and his name one.

I suppose one might accuse me of having a fatalistic mindset, because I believe that no matter how this current episode in the Gaza Strip or any other episode turns out in the Middle East between now and the battle of Armageddon, the die is cast.

The Scripture demands it, and it cannot be broken.

If one does not believe the Scripture, it is possible for that person to believe true peace can come to the Middle East by some process of negotiation. But for me, the only way a peace of a thousand years can come to this chaotic world is by the Second Advent of Jesus Christ. If you think the world is chaotic now, wait until you see the last three and one-half years before Armageddon, which ends with Christ’s Second Advent.

Luke 21:25-28 – And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring; [26] Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken. [27] And then shall they see the Son of man coming in a cloud with power and great glory.

[28] And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh.

Acts 2:19-21 – And I will shew wonders in heaven above, and signs in the earth beneath; blood, and fire, and vapour of smoke: [20] The sun shall be turned into darkness, and the moon into blood, before that great and notable day of the Lord come: [21] And it shall come to pass, that whosoever shall call on the name of the Lord shall be saved.

Begin Jerusalem Post Article

PM: We won’t balk at ‘Extreme Action’

JPost.com Staff, THE JERUSALEM POST

June 28, 2006

While IDF troops were already establishing a foothold inside Gaza east of Rafah Wednesday morning, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said that Israel won’t balk at “extreme action” to bring kidnapped soldier Gilad Shalit home, and that “IDF strikes would continue during the upcoming days.”

With that, Olmert said, “We have no intention of reoccupying Gaza, and we have no intention of staying there.”

“We have one objective – to assure the release of Gilad Shalit, and to bring him home healthy and safe,” he said.

Olmert reiterated Israel’s stance that negotiations with terrorists were out of the question.

The prime minister was also enjoying rare support from right-wing Opposition as a result of the military operation. Earlier Wednesday, NU-NRP MK Effi Eitam praised the military operation in Gaza, saying that the Opposition would support Olmert, “if he continues on the path of military action.”

“I hope the era of hesitation and threats by the government is over, and that a new era of effective military action has begun, which will return the deterrence factor to Israel,” said Eitam.

End Jerusalem Post Article

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Stage Three of Earth’s Groanings Could Begin Between 2008 and 2012!

June 28, 2006

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

The current rumbling of Israeli troops around and in the Gaza Strip, has caused me to think about the future rumbling of the earth itself, particularly during the last three and one half years of the tribulation period prior to Armageddon. I believe this explosion of world wide earthquakes could begin suddenly at some point in time between 2008 and 2012, but I confess this is a guesstimate on my part.

It is quite possible that the initial time of the explosion of the San Andres Fault, described by Jeremy Lovell in the Reuters article, which follows, could occur at some point in time between 2008 and 2012, and become a part of Stage Three in Tribulation Period earthquakes.

The four stages of earthquakes were outlined in our Blog of September 24, 2005, which follows the Reuters Article.

Begin Reuters Article

Southern San Andres Fault Waiting to Explode

June 21, 2006

By Jeremy Lovell

REUTERS

LONDON (Reuters) – The southern end of the San Andreas fault near Los Angeles, which has been still for more than two centuries, is under immense stress and could produce a massive earthquake at any moment, a scientist said on Wednesday.

Yuri Fialko, of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at La Jolla, California, said that given average annual movement rates in other areas of the fault, there could be enough pent-up energy in the southern end to trigger a cataclysmic jolt of up to 10 meters (32 ft).

“The observed strain rates confirm that the southern section of the San Andreas fault may be approaching the end of the interseismic phase of the earthquake cycle,” he wrote in the science journal Nature.

A sudden lateral movement of 7 to 10 meters would be among the largest ever recorded.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the earthquake that destroyed San Francisco in 1906 was produced by a sudden movement of the northern end

of the fault of up to 21 ft.

Fialko said there had been no recorded movement at

the southern end of the fault — the 800-mile long geological meeting point of the Pacific and the North American tectonic plates — since the dawn of European settlement in the area.

He said this lack of movement for 250 years correlated with the predicted gaps between major earthquakes at the southern end of the fault of between 200 and 300 years.

Elsewhere on the fault, there were average slippage rates up to a couple of centimeters a year that prevented the build-up of explosive pressure deep underground.

When these became blocked and then suddenly broke free they produced trem ors

or earthquakes of varying intensity depending on the movement that had taken place before and the duration of the blockage.

USGS says the most recent major earthquakes in the northern and central zones of the San Andreas fault were in 1857 and 1906.

Fialko said there were three possible explanations for the lack of observed movement in the southern section — creepage under the surface that had no external manifestation, that it simply might not move as much

as the rest or a major blockage.

“Except for the first possibility above, the continued quiescence increases the likelihood of a future event,” he wrote.

Making calculations based on a wide range of land and satellite observations, he discounted the idea of creepage and warned of impending disaster.

“Regardless of fault geometry and mechanical properties of the ambient crust, results presented in this study lend support to intermediate-term forecasts of a high probability of major earthquakes on the southern SAF system,” Fialko said.

End Reuters Article

The Four Groaning Stages of God’s Creation!

September 24, 2005

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

THE FOUR GROANING STAGES

[1] Normal [2] Increase [3] Tribulation [4] 2nd Advent!

[1] Normal Groaning of Creation’s Tectonic Plates!

Romans 8:22 – For we know that the whole creation groaneth and travaileth in pain together until now.

[2] 1967 Groaning Increase – the Beginning of Sorrows!

Matthew 24:7A,8 – And there shall be famines, and pestilences, and earthquakes, in divers places.

[8] All these are the beginning of sorrows.

[3] Greater Groaning of Final 3 ½ Years of Tribulation!

Matthew 24:21 – For then shall be great tribulation, such as was not since the beginning of the world to this time, no, nor ever shall be.

[4] The Last and Greatest Groaning of All (Second Advent)!

Revelation 16:18,19 – And there were VOICES, and THUNDERS, and LIGHTNINGS; and there was a GREAT earthquake, SUCH AS WAS NOT since men were upon the earth, so mighty an earthquake, and so great.

[19] And the great city was divided into three parts, and the cities of the nations fell; and great Babylon came in remembrance before God, to give unto her the cup of the wine of the fierceness of his wrath.

Luke 21:25-27 – And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring; [26] Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken.

[27] And then shall they see the Son of man coming in a cloud with power and great glory.

Groaning Ends – Saints Appear at 2nd Advent.

Romans 8:19 – For the earnest expectation of the creature (creation) waiteth for the manifestation of the sons

of God.

I John 3:2 – Beloved, now are we the sons of God, and it doth not yet appear what we shall be: but we know that, when he shall appear, we shall be like him; for we shall see him as he is.

Zechariah 14:9 – And the Lord shall be king over all the earth: in that day shall there be one Lord, and his name one.

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Israel has not lost its

National Spirit – They did not Appease Hamas!

June 27, 2006

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

Hooray! Israel has invaded the Gaza Strip!

Go Get-Um’ IAF and IDF!

I applaud the actions of

the Israeli Politicians in using force when the situation demands it. To do otherwise would strengthen the resolve of Islam to continue its insidious practices, believing Israel would be afraid to use brute force because of international opinion.

I have long been of the opinion the things we have forced them to do over the years has done them more harm than good.

I make no apologies for being a hard beaked hawk in this present world, but I look forward to being a dove during Christ’s Millennial reign.

Begin DEBKAfile Report

First Israeli tank columns roll into southern Gaza Strip Tuesday night after Israeli air strike knocks out a main transformer station south of Gaza City

June 28, 2006, 3:20 AM (GMT+02:00)

Palestinian sources say the Israeli force is taking up positions around Rafah where captured Israeli soldier Gideon Shalit is believed held by Hamas captors. Much of the territory has gone dark.

Israeli artillery also opened up from the tank emplacements at Nahalf Oz, Kisufim and Sufa to prevent the Palestinians shooting Qassam missiles . The Israeli incursion followed breakdown of diplomatic efforts to negotiate the Israeli corporal’s release. Palestinians have been setting up sand barriers sown with explosives and mining routes in the path of Israeli tanks and armor and building concealed firing positions.

End DEBKAfile Report

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If the Israeli Soldier is not returned soon, a Multi-Pronged Operation is in the Cards in the Immediate Future!

June 27, 2006

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

The Israeli politicians in charge of running the government are under ever increasing pressure to invade the Gaza Strip.

Their hope for the Hamas captive to be voluntarily returned has held them back from a retaliation invasion up to this point, but soon that hope will grow so dim that they must launch an operation into Gaza. It is likely the attack may be launched within the next 12 hours.

I expect the IAF to launch several air strikes inside the Gaza Strip to block escape routes and to knock out bridges, which will be followed by the IDF armored units and ground commandos and troops sweeping into the Strip very much as indicated by the DEBKAfile report, which follows.

The following Excerpts from the DEBKAfile Report give a good account as to how the operation may be carried out if the Israeli soldier is not returned

to Israel.

Begin DEBKAfile Excerpts

Massed Tanks Seek to Repair Israel’s Tattered Deterrence

June 27, 2006

DEBKAfile Special Military Analysis

Steely lines of hundreds of tanks, thousands of armored infantry and commandos menaced the Gaza Strip as of Monday night, June 26, from three jumping-off points: the Nahal Oz base opposite Gaza City, Kissufim opposite Deir al Balah and Khan Younes in the south and Sufa opposite Rafah. Made up of the Golani and Givaty armored brigades and special operations units including the elite Sayeret Matkal, they presented a picture of armored might not seen for many years on the world’s television screens, even in US military sieges of Karbala and Falujja, in Iraq.

Prime minister Ehud Olmert ordered this display the day after a Hamas-led terrorist force tunneled its way from Gaza and came up behind an Israeli army post and tank, killing the tank commander and a soldier, injuring six and taking a hostage.

DEBKAfile’s military sources predict that an extensive military operation may be hours off rather than days.

With every hour that goes by without the Israeli soldier’s recovery, the heat mounts for military action. In the 48 hours since he w as kidnapped, it looks incre

asingly as though his Palestinian captors do not intend letting him go in a hurry and are digging in to extort as much military, diplomatic and propaganda capital from the abduction as they can get.

The spokesman of the Palestinian terrorist umbrella, the Popular Resistance Committees, Abdullah al-Al, stepped up the war of nerves Tuesday by claiming that Gilead Shalit had been moved to a spot “where the Zionists would never reach him.” The PRC was hitting back at a statement by the deputy chief of staff Moshe Kaplinsky that an IDF action was underway to prevent the hostage’s transfer from the Rafah area to outside the Gaza Strip.

In a further sign of tension, Egypt deployed 2,500 police and security officers on its Sinai border with Gaza to keep out the flow of Palestinian refugees that might be triggered by an Israeli military operation.

All parts of the Palestinian ruling establishment – whether Fatah or Hamas – have foregone the control of events, letting it pass into the hands of the heads of the terrorist groups and, to a limited extent, Khaled Meshaal, the extremist supreme Hamas leader based in Damascus, who is himself manipulated from Tehran and Damascus.

Fixed in the Palestinian national consciousness is the conviction that the Hamas-led combined attack on the Israeli Telem army post was their greatest victory in six years of fighting Israel. They are therefore determined to make it a historic turning-point that will wipe out all their reverses – even at the price of provoking the IDF’s return to the Gaza Strip. The Palestinians are not deterred by the land and sea blockade Israel has thrown up to seal the Gaza Strip off from the outside world.

As plotted by DEBKAfile’s military analysts, Israel’s Gaza campaign may be split into five operations:

One: The armored force standing by at Nahal Oz will head west, skirt Gaza City from the south and head for the former Netzarim settlement on the Mediterranean coast. This move will sever Gaza City and the north from the rest of the territory.

Two: The armored force waiting at Kisufim will push west up to the former Katif and Kfar Darom junctions to cut Gaza City off from Rafah.

These two moves will partition the Strip into three sections and isolate the Palestinian refugee camps of Nuseirat, Al Bureij and Al Muazi, which are hotbeds of terrorism.

Three: The combined armored-special operations units would strike out from Sufa towards the former Morag and Morag junction and reach the seashore at the point that used to be Peat Hasadeh. This force would then turn south up to the former Rafah Yam location at the tip of the Philadelphi enclave on the Israel-Egyptian border; and so isolate Rafah

and its outlying refugee camps.

This is where Israel intelligence estimates Gideon Shalit is being held.

Four Israeli special operations forces accompanying the armored column, joined by commandos landed by air and sea, will occupy Rafah and the camps and conduct a house to house search, leaving no stone unturned, for the missing soldier.

Five: Heavy air raids will be staged on terrorist strongholds, including targeted strikes against their leaders, although most will have already gone to ground.

DEBKAfile’s military experts do not expect the Palestinians to show massive resistance in

the first stage of this operation, except for directing scattered Qassam, mortar and rocket fire against the invading Israeli force. The real crunch will begin when Israeli troops strike into populated districts.

But that will only happen if they fail to find the missing soldier in Rafah.

End DEBKAfile Excerpts

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If Israel doe s

not Invade Gaza, Her National Spirit has been Broken! The Only Reason Hamas is signing the Palestinian Prisoners Peace Document is to restart the Flow of Welfare Billions, which will be used to Buy More Weapons to Destroy Israel!

June 27, 2006

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

The two articles which follow, from the Jerusalem Post, leave me little to say about the current situation in Israel.

If Israel does not retaliate for Sunday’s border intrusion, then she will be continuing on her appeasement path with the Palestinians, which will eventually end in disaster. If the international welfare flow of billions is restored to the Palestinian thugs, it will strengthen their hand of terror against Israel. This is no time for appeasement by Israel, but it is a time for an eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth.

Begin Excerpt from Jerusalem Post by Caroline Glick

Our World: Israel’s Rude Awakening

Caroline Glick, THE JERUSALEM POST

June 27, 2006

It is painful to watch Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, Defense Minister Amir Peretz and Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni try to contend with the terrible outcome of the Palestinian terror strike against the IDF on Sunday morning.

They use so many fancy and angry words.

They sound

so resolute. And yet, they have nothing useful to say. Two soldiers are dead, a third is now the prisoner of jihadist killers, seven are wounded, an IDF border post has been overrun, and a world view and a security doctrine have been blown to smithereens.

Olmert and his associates have four general messages. First, they tell us that Palestinian Authority Chairman and Fatah chief Mahmoud Abbas is responsible for bringing about Cpl.

Gilad Shalit’s release. Second, they say Hamas better watch out because they’re gonna get it. Third, they say that Hamas won’t get it until later. Finally, while stipulating that they will not negotiate with Hamas, Olmert and his associates are negotiating with Hamas.

None of these messages and none of the actions that attend to them have any chance of making Israel safer. They also hold little promise of bringing Cpl. Shalit home. Yet there is next to no possibility that Olmert or his associates will widen their options to include any relevant responses to Sunday’ s terror offen

sive. Doing so would involve an admission that what the Kadima and Labor parties have presented to the public as their world view is wrong.

That world view involves a denial of a basic, fundamental truth: When you empower terrorists, terrorists are empowered.

WE HAVE been in this situation before.

Six years ago, in October 2000, on the eve of Yom Kippur then prime minister Ehud Barak gave Yasser Arafat an ultimatum. He was ordered to end all the violence he had fomented within 48 hours or face

the consequences. When as the deadline passed Arafat continued the violence, Barak did nothing. He did nothing because he could do nothing. His entire government was based on the idea of making peace with Arafat by empowering him. When Arafat chose war, Barak had nothing to say.

Kadima and Labor insist that by empowering terrorists they are somehow weakening them.

This is the notion that stands at the base of the government’s insistence on reenacting the empowerment of Hamas and Fatah caused by last summer’s retreat from Gaza by repeating it twenty-fold in Judea and Samaria.

Somehow, destroying Israeli communities, ordering the retreat of IDF forces and so enabling the terrorist takeover of those lands is – according to Olmert and his associates – supposed to bring about the enhancement of Israel’s security through the weakening of terrorists that Israel is empowering.

End Excerpt from Jerusalem Post by Caroline Glick

Begin Associated Press Article from Jerusalem Post

Hamas, Fatah Sign Prisoners Document

Associated Press, THE JERUSALEM POST

June 27, 2006

Hamas and Fatah on Tuesday completed an agreement over the controversial prisoners document, ending weeks of acrimonious negotiations, a top official said.

“We have an agreement over the document,” said Ibrahim Abu Najah, coordination of the “national dialogue” over the proposal.

Salah Zeidan, another negotiator, said preparations were being made for a formal signing ceremony.

“All political groups are prepared for a mutual cease-fire with Israel,” he said.

PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas of Fatah has been trying to coax his Hamas rivals into endorsing the document, which was formulated by senior Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.

He has endorsed the plan as a way to end crippling economic sanctions against the Hamas-led Palestinian government and pave the way to reopening peace talks.

However, the deal was overshadowed by a crisis over the kidnapping of IDF Cpl. Gilad Shalit on Sunday and opposition to the deal voiced by the Islamic Jihad,

a small group that has carried out numerous attacks against Israel and refused to participate in the Palestinian elections in January.

“In today’s meeting, we announced we reject some of the articles of this document and we have reservations about other articles,” said Khaled al-Batch, spokesman for Islamic Jihad.

End Associated Press Article from Jerusalem Post

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