Archive for July, 2007

Syria Delays War Plans to November!

Tuesday, July 31st, 2007

Syria Delays War Plans to November!

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August 1, 2007

As I indicated in our blogs prior to 2007, I do not expect a major Middle East war in 2007, but am guesstimating one will begin at some point in time after 2007 and before the end of 2012, with the most likely time being between 2010 and 2013. Many different sources have said a major war would break out this year for some time, but I have stated why I do not believe this will be the case on several occasions.

Begin Debkafile Exclusive

DEBKAfile Exclusive: Damascus has deferred its war plans from late summer to November

July 31, 2007, 10:28 PM (GMT+02:00)

This piece of intelligence was behind the Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert’s comment Tuesday, July 31: “I think this summer and fall will be less hot than we expected.” He was addressing a ceremony ending a course at the National Security College in Jerusalem on expectations from the Syrian front and in the Lebanese Hizballah.

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It was attended also by defense minister Ehud Barak, Chief of staff Lt. Gen Gaby Ashkenazi and graduates.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that the latest intelligence update on Syria’s intentions reached Jerusalem via Washington in the last few days. It indicated that Syria’s political and military leaders had rescheduled the start of hostilities against Israel on the Golan for the second two weeks of November, 2007, postponing their original planning by more than two months.

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According to those sources, Syria plans

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to kick off its offensive with a series of terrorist raids by commando units on civilian villages, military bases and highways, as well as cross-border fire on IDF vehicles and positions guarding the border.

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At that stage, the Syrian command will be testing Israel’ s military re

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sponses before mapping out its next moves accordingly.


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Monday, Syria’s deputy foreign minister said that his country has no plans to go

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to war against Israel. DEBKAfile’s Middle East sources note that the foreign ministry in Damascus has evidently not been briefed on the plans hatched by President Bashar Assad and his inner clique including

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his brother-in-law, chief of military intelligence Gen.

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Assaf Shawqat.

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