If the Israeli Soldier is not Returned Soon, a Multi-Pronged Operation is in the Cards in the Immediate Future!

If the Israeli Soldier is not returned soon, a Multi-Pronged Operation is in the Cards in the Immediate Future!

June 27, 2006


The Israeli politicians in charge of running the government are under ever increasing pressure to invade the Gaza Strip.

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Their hope for the Hamas captive to be voluntarily returned has held them back from a retaliation invasion up to this point, but soon that hope will grow so dim that they must launch an operation into Gaza. It is likely the attack may be launched within the next 12 hours.

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I expect the IAF to launch several air strikes inside the Gaza Strip to block escape routes and to knock out bridges, which will be followed by the IDF armored units and ground commandos and troops sweeping into the Strip very much as indicated by the DEBKAfile report, which follows.

The following Excerpts from the DEBKAfile Report give a good account as to how the operation may be carried out if the Israeli soldier is not returned

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to Israel.

Begin DEBKAfile Excerpts

Massed Tanks Seek to Repair Israel’s Tattered Deterrence

June 27, 2006

DEBKAfile Special Military Analysis

Steely lines of hundreds of tanks, thousands of armored infantry and commandos menaced the Gaza Strip as of Monday night, June 26, from three jumping-off points: the Nahal Oz base opposite Gaza City, Kissufim opposite Deir al Balah and Khan Younes in the south and Sufa opposite Rafah. Made up of the Golani and Givaty armored brigades and special operations units including the elite Sayeret Matkal, they presented a picture of armored might not seen for many years on the world’s television screens, even in US military sieges of Karbala and Falujja, in Iraq.

Prime minister Ehud Olmert ordered this display the day after a Hamas-led terrorist force tunneled its way from Gaza and came up behind an Israeli army post and tank, killing the tank commander and a soldier, injuring six and taking a hostage.

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DEBKAfile’s military sources predict that an extensive military operation may be hours off rather than days.

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With every hour that goes by without the Israeli soldier’s recovery, the heat mounts for military action. In the 48 hours since he w as kidnapped, it looks incre

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asingly as though his Palestinian captors do not intend letting him go in a hurry and are digging in to extort as much military, diplomatic and propaganda capital from the abduction as they can get.

The spokesman of the Palestinian terrorist umbrella, the Popular Resistance Committees, Abdullah al-Al, stepped up the war of nerves Tuesday by claiming that Gilead Shalit had been moved to a spot “where the Zionists would never reach him.” The PRC was hitting back at a statement by the deputy chief of staff Moshe Kaplinsky that an IDF action was underway to prevent the hostage’s transfer from the Rafah area to outside the Gaza Strip.

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In a further sign of tension, Egypt deployed 2,500 police and security officers on its Sinai border with Gaza to keep out the flow of Palestinian refugees that might be triggered by an Israeli military operation.

All parts of the Palestinian ruling establishment – whether Fatah or Hamas – have foregone the control of events, letting it pass into the hands of the heads of the terrorist groups and, to a limited extent, Khaled Meshaal, the extremist supreme Hamas leader based in Damascus, who is himself manipulated from Tehran and Damascus.

Fixed in the Palestinian national consciousness is the conviction that the Hamas-led combined attack on the Israeli Telem army post was their greatest victory in six years of fighting Israel. They are therefore determined to make it a historic turning-point that will wipe out all their reverses – even at the price of provoking the IDF’s return to the Gaza Strip. The Palestinians are not deterred by the land and sea blockade Israel has thrown up to seal the Gaza Strip off from the outside world.

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As plotted by DEBKAfile’s military analysts, Israel’s Gaza campaign may be split into five operations:

One: The armored force standing by at Nahal Oz will head west, skirt Gaza City from the south and head for the former Netzarim settlement on the Mediterranean coast. This move will sever Gaza City and the north from the rest of the territory.

Two: The armored force waiting at Kisufim will push west up to the former Katif and Kfar Darom junctions to cut Gaza City off from Rafah.

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These two moves will partition the Strip into three sections and isolate the Palestinian refugee camps of Nuseirat, Al Bureij and Al Muazi, which are hotbeds of terrorism.

Three: The combined armored-special operations units would strike out from Sufa towards the former Morag and Morag junction and reach the seashore at the point that used to be Peat Hasadeh. This force would then turn south up to the former Rafah Yam location at the tip of the Philadelphi enclave on the Israel-Egyptian border; and so isolate Rafah

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and its outlying refugee camps.

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This is where Israel intelligence estimates Gideon Shalit is being held.

Four Israeli special operations forces accompanying the armored column, joined by commandos landed by air and sea, will occupy Rafah and the camps and conduct a house to house search, leaving no stone unturned, for the missing soldier.

Five: Heavy air raids will be staged on terrorist strongholds, including targeted strikes against their leaders, although most will have already gone to ground.

DEBKAfile’s military experts do not expect the Palestinians to show massive resistance in

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the first stage of this operation, except for directing scattered Qassam, mortar and rocket fire against the invading Israeli force. The real crunch will begin when Israeli troops strike into populated districts.

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But that will only happen if they fail to find the missing soldier in Rafah.

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End DEBKAfile Excerpts

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