Israel can’t afford to give up the Jordan River Valley of the West Bank!
It would give Islam a clear path to Jerusalem through the Palmyra Valleys!
January 24, 2010
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
I first encountered the Israelis initial proposal based on the old Yigal Allon proposal in 1968 while I was still in the NSA. In that proposal I believe the land from the Jordan River to the foothills of the Samarian Mountains was to remain in Israeli possession. I first wrote about it in Archive Prophecy Update Number 69D, more than eight years ago, which follows.
ARCHIVE SPECIAL PROPHECY UPDATE NUMBER 62D
April 10, 2002
Three years before I retired at the National Security Agency, in 1968, there was an Israeli security plan put forward by their Foreign Minister Yigal Allon. It was drawn up by him, but never put into effect and, for that matter I do not remember it being put forward as an official proposal. As I recall, the plan was to completely surround the West Bank with a security buffer zone. I retired in 1971 and, quite frankly, my memory may not recall the details specifically, but it seems to me that the security buffer zone was to be about three miles deep, except on the side facing the Jordan River, where I think it was to be seven to 10 miles in width. The Israelis seem to think this would provide them with security from the actions of the Palestinians enclosed within it. The more I think about it, the more it seems to me this was what was presented as a proposal under the Benjamin Netanyahu administration in a modified version. And what is now happening in Israel may also be a modified version of the old Allon Security Buffer Zone Plan. They would first eliminate or cripple the terrorist infrastructure in the cities and refugee camps, then pull back a few miles and establish a security ring around the individual areas, and then finally seal in most of the West Bank with a security buffer zone to give them a feeling of peace and safety from the terrorists within the West Bank.
End Update 62D
Israel would be out of its mind to let the PA control the land from the Jordan River to the foothills of the Samarian Mountain range.
Begin Excerpt 1 from THE JERUSALEM POST via The Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs/Daily Alert
January 14, 2010
What Happened to the Jordan Valley
?
Dore Gold
Speaking before Israel’s ambassadors from around the world two weeks ago, Prime M inister B
inyamin Netanyahu explained his view about how to create effective security arrangements in the event of an Israeli-Palestinian peace settlement. He decided to stress that
to safeguard the demilitarization of the West Bank, it was vital for the IDF to maintain a military presence along the points of entry to the territories from the east, in order to prevent these areas from being penetrated and flooded by smuggled weaponry.
In short, without going into details, Netanyahu was reminding his diplomats about the critical importance of the Jordan Valley for the future security of Israel.
Netanyahu was following a long tradition of prime ministers who saw the Jordan Valley as the front line of Israel’s defense. One month before he was assassinated, Yitzhak Rabin appeared in the Knesset on October 5, 1995 and outlined how he viewed the country’s future borders. He first declared that “Israel will not return to the lines of June 4, 1967” and then stated that “the security border for defending the State of Israel will be in the Jordan Valley, in the widest sense of that concept.”
Clearly, Rabin did not want to defend Israel along the narrow river line, where Israeli forces would be exposed to hostile fire from immediately adjacent high ground. Instead, he sought to exploit the steep eastern slopes of the West Bank hill ridge that rise to a maximal height of 3,000 feet from the river bed which is below sea-level. In an interview in Haaretz on April 14, 2005, Ariel Sharon explained that Israel must control the Jordan Valley from the hill ridge above the Allon Road.
YET IN the public discourse over Israel’s future borders, it seems as though the question of the Jordan Valley has been forgotten for three reasons.
First, when military planners in the past talked about the importance of the Jordan Valley, Israel was still at war with the Kingdom of Jordan and concerned about the emergence of an eastern front, including Iraqi expeditionary forces. Since Israel now has ties with Jordan, and Saddam Hussein’s Iraq was badly weakened in 1991 and occupied in 2003 by the British and the Americans, some have argued that Israel no longer needs the Jordan Valley.
Second, once prime ministers started talking about giving up 88, 93 or 97 percent of the West Bank, they stopped talking about the Jordan Valley. After all, the whole area is approximately 33% to 40% of the West Bank. A diplomatic strategy of holding on to the Jordan Valley contradicted their peace proposals, which became increasingly motivated by the question of what would be acceptable to the Palestinians rather than what was necessary for Israel’s security.
Third, in the public discourse on the future of the West Bank, the major constraint in the last 10 years on any significant withdrawal became the large settlements that were part of heavily populated blocs, like Ariel, Givat Ze’ev, Ma’aleh Adumim and Gush Etzion. After the tragedy of the disengagement, those drawing lines for peace proposals sought to squeeze as many settlers into as minimal an area as they could find. They either forgot about Israel’s security needs or just assumed that if Kassams were fired from the West Bank, the IDF could easily retake the whole area in a few hours (this was before the Second Lebanon War and Cast Lead showed the complexities of such ground operations in densely populated areas, when future Goldstone Reports might be issued).
IT IS now well-understood by the Israeli public that the most crucial error of disengagement was abandoning the Philadelphi Corridor between the Gaza Strip and Egyptian Sinai, which allowed Hamas to build a vast tunnel network, with minimal Israeli countermeasures, and smuggle a huge arsenal into the Gaza Strip.
From 2005, when Israel left Gaza, to 2006, the rate of rocket fire increased by 500%. New weapons, like Grad missiles, were fired for the first time at Ashkelon after the pullout. It does not require much imagination to understand what would happen in Judea and Samaria if Israel left the Jordan Valley – which should be seen as the Philadelphi Corridor of the West Bank.
For example, up until now, Israel has not had to deal with SA-7 shoulder-fired rockets that could be aimed at aircraft over Ben-Gurion Airport, because it is difficult to smuggle them into the West Bank as long as the area is blocked by the IDF in the Jordan Valley. Nor h as Isr
ael had to face Islamist volunteers who reinforce Hamas and could prolong a future war, like those who joined the jihad in Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen or Somalia, because Israel can deny them access to the West Bank.
In fact, in its annual survey for 2009, the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) noted that while there has been a decrease in the terrorist threat to Israel, the only exception to this positive trend is the increasing involvement of global jihadi groups, who at present are building up a presence in the Gaza Strip.
Clearly they would be in the West Bank if they could get there.
WHAT ABOUT the Jordanians? Why does Israel have to stay in the Jordan Valley if the Jordanian army intercepts units of al-Qaida coming from Iraq or Syria?
The fact of the matter is that if Israel withdrew from the Jordan Valley and it became known among the global jihadi groups that the doors to the West Bank were open, the scale of the threat would change and the Jordanians would find it difficult to effectively halt the stream of manpower and weaponry into their territory.
Clearly Jordan itself would be destabilized by this development.
This is exactly what happened in 2005 when al-Qaida in Iraq set up an infrastructure in Jordan and attacked hotels and government buildings. This is also what happened during Black September in 1970, when the Jordanian army had to confront a massive Palestinian military presence and a civil war ensued. Besides, should Jordan have a common border with a Palestinian state, Palestinian irredentism toward the East Bank would undoubtedly increase.
More than 30 years ago, when foreign minister Yigal Allon – who had been Rabin’s commander and mentor in the Palmah during 1948 – was summarizing his plan for “defensible borders” for Israel in Foreign Affairs, he simply said that if Israel wanted to be sure that the areas from which it withdrew would remain demilitarized, it must keep the Jordan Valley.
Allon was writing in 1976, but his analysis remains as relevant as ever today.
Begin Excerpt 2 from Arutz Sheva
Netanyahu: Israel Must Surround PA Entity
Shevat 6, 5770, 21 January 10 10:15
By Hillel Fendel
(Israelnationalnews.com) Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu says that Israel will have to encircle any new Arab entity in Judea and Samaria, in order
to prevent rocket smuggling.
Speaking with foreign reporters on Wednesday evening, Netanyahu said that Israel must ensure “an efficient way, at the entry and exit points, to stop rockets from being smuggled into the territories close to Israel.”
“This will require an Israeli presence on the eastern side of the Palestinian state,” the prime minister continued. “I don’t know how it will be executed, but it has to happen.”
Netanyahu has long held that Israel must control the Jordan Valley, which is the eastern edge of Judea and Samaria, in any future peace arrangement with the Palestinian Authority. He has similarly said that any future PA state must be demilitarized.
Netanyahu to Abbas: Get Down From Tree Already
The prime minister called yet again for PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas to enter into resumed negotiations with Israel without conditions: “They must get down off the tree. They climbed up a high tree, and they like it there.
The more ladders they are brought, the higher they climb up.”
Chief PA negotiator Saeb Erekat ignored Netanyahu’s calls for a resumption of talks, but said, “Netanyahu is once again trying to set facts on the ground by himself.”
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