blog.Tribulationperiod.com

Don’t ever tell a bully you want to be h is

Friend!

Congress is continuing this insane Policy with Iran,

Started By The Jimmy Carter Administration In 1979!

It’s crushed any hope of ever getting Iran to Respond,

Except in Ridicule For what It believes is Our Weakness,

Exploiting it for almost thirty years since the Policy Began.

October 7, 2008

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

I assure you that Obama, with his Democratic Congress, will continue this insane policy of Carter if he is elected President, and Israel is going to end up with what Charlie Brown always received in his ‘trick or treat’ b ag on H

alloween, namely, a big hard rock. In any case, in spite of Obama’s endless promises to Israel, they will be left holding the bag between with a rock and a hard place.

This is a terrible election year for me!

Part of me wants to see Obama elected so the Tribulation Period can begin sooner, but the other part of me doesn’t want to see us turn our backs on Israel. If anyone had told me at age 18 I would have this dilemma as an old man in 2008, I would

have thought them to be insane. But I now know that God is going to restore Israel to a greatness of glory she has yet to experience after the great Tribulation Period is finished. Knowing this, I do not want to see America forsake her, even though I also know God is going to deliver her without any ones help.

Zechariah 13:8,9 – And it shall come to pass, that in all the land, saith the Lord, two parts therein shall be cut off and die; but the third shall be left therein. [9] And I will bring the third part through the fire, and will refine them as silver is refined, and will try them as gold is tried: they shall call on my name, and I will hear them: I will say, It is my people: and they shall say, The Lord is my God.

Jeremiah 30:7-10 – Alas! for that day is great, so that none is like it: it is even the time of Jacob’s trouble; but he shall be saved out of it. [8] For it shall come to pass in that day, saith the Lord of hosts, that I will break his yoke from off thy neck, and will burst thy bonds, and strangers shall no more serve themselves of him: [9] But they shall serve the Lord their God, and David their king, whom I will raise up unto them.

[10] Therefore fear thou not, O my servant Jacob, saith the Lord; neither be dismayed, O Israel: for, lo, I will save thee from afar, and thy seed from the land of their captivity; and Jacob shall return, and

shall be in rest, and be quiet, and none shall make him afraid.

Daniel 2:42 – And as the toes of the feet were part of iron, and part of clay, so the kingdom shall be partly strong, and partly broken.

Joel 3:10 – Beat your plowshares into swords, and your pruninghooks into spears: let the weak say, I am strong.

Zechariah 12:8,9 – In that day shall the Lord defend the inhabitants of Jerusalem; and he that is feeble among them at that day shall be as David; and the house of David shall be as God,

as the angel of the Lord before them. [9] And it shall come to pass in that day, that I will seek to destroy all the nations that come against Jerusalem.

Begin Excerpt from Jerusalem Post via the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs Daily Alert

Trying to Be Friends with Iran – Barry Rubin

(Jerusalem Post)

October 7, 2008

On Sep. 29, U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said: “I have been involved in the search for the elusive Iranian moderate for 30 years.” Gates then revealed that Jimmy Carter’s national security adviser, Zbigniew Brzezinski, met top officials of the new Islamist regime in November 1979 to pledge U.S. friendship to the government controlled by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

Brzezinski’s position was: “We will accept your revolution….We will recognize your government.

We will sell you all the weapons that we had contracted to sell the shah….We can work together in the future.” The Iranians demanded the U.S. turn over to them the fugitive shah, whom they would have executed. Brzezinski refused. Three days later Iran seized the U.S. embassy in Tehran.

Washington did everything possible to negotiate, conciliate and build confidence. We’ll do almost anything you want, Carter and Brzezinski offered, just be our friend. Far from persuading Khomeini that the U.S. was a real threat, the U.S. government made itself appear a pitiful, helpless giant, convincing Tehran – as Khomeini himself put it – that America couldn’t do a damn thing. So why should we expect such a tactic would work today?

How long does it take to get the message: This is an ideological revolution with huge ambitions to which America is inevitably a barrier. Appeasement, talks, apologies, confidence-building measures won’t convince Tehran that America is its friend, only that it’s an enemy so weak as to make aggression seem inevitably successful.

Gates noted: “Every administration since then has reached out to the Iranians in one way or another and all have failed….The reality is the Iranian leadership has been consistently unyielding over a very long period of time in response to repeated overtures from the United States about having a different and better kind of relationship.”

The writer is director of Global Research in International Affairs Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs Journal.

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The Terrific Advantage OF Human Hindsight

Is to correctly analyze what Really Happened

And make a Diligent Honest effort

to Prevent It

From getting worse or making a second Showing!

I Will Confess That I Am A Post Truman Republican

And My Political Opinions Because of This are Biased,

But I have tried to be objective in seeking the Answer

For The Prime Reason a Crisis Suddenly Hit Wall Street:

The Following Excerpt From Bloomberg IS What I Found.

If this Country elects Barack Obama as its Next President,

America will see something much worse than a Depression!

October 7, 2008

Begin Excerpt from Bloomberg via the Jerusalem Post

How the Democrats created the meltdown on Wall Street

October 2, 2008

Bloomberg, THE JERUSALEM POST

The financial crisis of the past year has provided a number

of surprising twists and turns, and from Bear Stearns Cos. to American International Group Inc., ambiguity has been a big part of the story.

Why did Bear Stearns fail, and how does that relate to AIG?

It all seems so complex.

But really, it isn’t. Enough cards on this table have been turned over so that the story is now clear. The economic history books will describe this episode in simple and understandable terms: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac exploded,

and many bystanders were injured in the blast, some fatally.

Fannie and Freddie did this by becoming a key enabler of the mortgage crisis.

They fueled Wall Street’s efforts to securitize subprime loans by becoming the primary customer of all AAA-rated subprime-mortgage pools.

In addition, they held an enormous portfolio of mortgages themselves.

In the times that Fannie and Freddie couldn’t make the market, they became the market. Over the years, it added up to an enormous obligation. As of last June, Fannie alone owned or guaranteed more than $388 billion in high-risk mortgage investments.

Their large presence created an environment within which even mortgage-backed securities assembled by others could find a ready home.

The problem was that the trillions of dollars in play were only low-risk investments if real estate prices continued to rise.

Once they began to fall, the entire house of cards came down with them.

Turning point

Take away Fannie and Freddie, or regulate them more wisely, and it’s hard to imagine how these highly liquid markets would ever have emerged.

This whole mess would never have happened.

It is easy to identify the historical turning point that marked the beginning of the end.

Back in 2005, Fannie and Freddie were, after years of dominating Washington, on the ropes.

They were enmeshed in accounting scandals that led to turnover at the top. At one telling moment in late 2004, captured in an article by my American Enterprise Institute colleague Peter Wallison, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s chief accountant told disgraced Fannie Mae chief Franklin Raines that Fannie’s position on the relevant accounting issue was not even “on the page” of allowable interpretations.

Then legislative momentum emerged for an attempt to create a “world-class regulator” that would oversee the pair more like banks, imposing strict requirements on their ability to take excessive risks. Politicians who previously had associated themselves proudly with the two accounting miscreants were less eager to be associated with them. The time was ripe.

Greenspan’s warning

The clear gravity of the situation pushed the legislation forward. Some might say the current mess couldn’t be foreseen, yet in 2005 Fed chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress how urgent it was for it to act in the clearest possible terms: If Fannie and Freddie “continue to grow, continue to have the low capital that they have, continue to engage in the dynamic hedging of their portfolios, which they need to do for interest-rate risk aversion, they potentially create ever-growing potential systemic risk down the road,” he said. “We are placing the total financial system of the future at a substantial risk.”

What happened next was extraordinary. For the first time in history, a serious Fannie and Freddie reform bill was passed by the Senate Banking Committee. The bill gave a regulator power to crack down, and would have required the companies to eliminate their investments in risky assets.

Different world

If that bill had become law, then

the world today would be different. In 2005, 2006 and 2007, a blizzard of terrible mortgage paper fluttered out of the Fannie and Freddie clouds, burying many of our oldest and most venerable institutions. Without their checkbooks keeping the market liquid and buying up excess supply, the market would likely have not existed.

But the bill didn’t become law, for a simple reason: Democrats opposed it on a party-line vote in the committee, signaling that this would be a partisan issue. Republicans, tied in knots by the tight Democratic opposition, couldn’t even get the Senate to vote on the matter.

That such a reckless political stand could have been taken by the Democrats was obscene even then. Wallison wrote at the time: “It is a classic case of socializing the risk while privatizing the profit. The Democrats and the few Republicans who oppose portfolio limitations could not possibly do so if their constituents understood what they were doing.”

Mounds of materials

Now that the collapse has occurred, the roadblock built by Senate Democrats in 2005 is unforgivable. Many who opposed the bill doubtlessly did so for honorable reasons. Fannie and Freddie provided mounds of materials defending their practices. Perhaps some found their propaganda convincing.

But we now know that many of the senators who protected Fannie and Freddie, including Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Christopher Dodd, have received mind-boggling levels of financial support from them over the years.

Throughout his political career, Obama has gotten more than $125,000 in campaign contributions from employees and political action committees of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, second only to Dodd, the Senate Banking Committee chairman, who received more than $165,000.

Clinton, the 12th-ranked recipient of Fannie and Freddie PAC and employee contributions, has received more than $75,000 from the two enterprises and their employees. The private profit found its way back to the senators who killed the fix.

There has been a lot of talk about who is to blame for this crisis. A look back at the story of 2005 makes the answer pretty clear.

Oh, and there is one little footnote to the story that’s worth keeping in mind while Democrats point fingers between now and November 4: Senator John McCain was one of the three cosponsors of S.190, the bill that would have averted this mess.

Kevin Hassett, director of economic-policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, is a Bloomberg News columnist.

He is an adviser to Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona in the 2008 presidential election. The opinions expressed are his own.

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North of the Border Up Hez b

ollah Way

Where the Terrorists and Fanatics Play

And gray skies keep their clouds all Day

When Islamic rebound makes Israel Pay

Four Excerpts From Haaretz Partially Say

Sung to western tune Down Mexico Way!

Hizbullah (With Syrian and Lebanese Approval) will launch a bevy of rockets at Israel into heavily populated Israeli areas. The King of the South (Israel) will respond immediately with a massive thrust from the south across Lebanon�

��s northern border. But the bevy of rockets were launched for the sole purpose of forcing the IDF to make the attack in order to lure them into a military trap set by Syria and Hizbullah, with Lebanon’s support. Israel will be shocked to discover they are facing a vast contingency of Islamic troops from several Arab countries, which have slipped across into Syria and Lebanon in several ways over a long period of time.

This massive force, led by the King of the North (Syria) will launch a preplanned vicious counterattack against the King of the South (Israel). What is left of Israel, after being pushed south from Dan to Beersheba, will occupy the Negev Wilderness for some three and one-half years.

Daniel 11:40 – And at THE TIME OF THE END shall the king of the south push (Israel) at him: and the king of the north (Syria) shall come against him like a whirlwind, with chariots, and with horsemen, and with many ships; and he shall enter into the countries, and shall overflow and pass over.

Revelation 12:6 – And the woman fled into the wilderness, where she hath a place prepared of God, that they should feed her there a thousand two hundred and threescore days.

I expect this attack to occur at some point in time between 2010 and 2015, but I would be delighted to see it happen sooner.

October 6, 2008

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

Begin Excerpt 1 from Haaretz

Hezbollah source: ‘Big surprise’ awaits Israel if it attacks Lebanon

By Yoav Stern, Haaretz Correspondent

October 6, 2008

A senior Hezbollah-linked journalist reiterated Monday the Lebanese militia’s threat that a “big surprise” awaits Israel should it decide to engage in another conflict with the group.

Ibrahim al-Amin, the editor of the Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar, made the comments in a piece published under the headline of “Israel is threatening to destroy Lebanon. What will happen to it during wartime?”

Al-Amin, who usually uses reliable sources from within Hezbollah, warned that Israel needs to seriously consider the ramifications of a future attack on Lebanon.

He was responding to recent comments by senior Israel Defense Forces officers that Israel will use “disproportionate power” in its next conflict with Hezbollah as it did in 2006 Second Lebanon War.

“What do they imagine Hezbollah’s reaction will be? They actually say it has 40,000 missiles… Are they preparing for things that they have not considered and that others have not considered?” asked Al-Amin.

“Who said that Hezbollah does not think about all of the options which the enemy will use, including those which have been mentioned recently.”

On Sunday, Hezbollah officials dismissed the Israeli threats of massive destruction in a future conflict in Lebanon as “media war,” speaking to the United Arab Emirates newspaper Al Ittihad

Begin Excerpt 2 from Haaretz

Hezbollah dismisses Israeli threats of destruction in next war

By Yoan Stern and Amos Harel, Haaretz Correspondents

October 5, 2008

Hezbollah officials have dismissed Israeli threats of massive destruction in a future conflict in Lebanon as “media war,” speaking to the United Arab Emirates newspaper Al Ittihad.

The officials said the Lebanon-based militant group is ready for any Israeli assault, including a surprise attack.

They told the paper that Israel is a “cardboard state” that will collapse in a conflict with Hezbollah.

“Israel is wrestling with its many problems and has no capability to start a war over Lebanon,” Al Ittihad quoted them as saying.

The Hezbollah officials were responding to recent comments by senior Israel Defense Forces officers who intimated that the next war will appear very similar to the last one. In particular, GOC Northern Command Gadi Eisenkot spoke of the IDF using of “disproportionate power” as it did in 2006 Second Lebanon War.

Begin Excerpt 3 from Haaretz

Top IDF general: Don’t be fooled by the quiet in the North

By Amir Oren, Haaretz Correspondent

October 2, 2008

The Israel Defense Forces GOC Northern Command has warned against believing that Israel’s peaceful northern border means the country is no longer under threat from Lebanon and Syria.

“The two years that have passed since the end of the [Second Lebanon] War have been characterized by quiet and serenity, but we cannot let the quiet to fool us,” said Maj. Gen. Gadi Eizenkot last week.

Eizenkot issued the warning at a meeting with officers who fought in the Yom Kippur War. The meeting was held in honor of the publication of a new book on the 1973 conflict, titled “The Syrians on the fence: The Northern Command in the Yom Kippur War.”

Referring to the Second Lebanon War, he said that, “I and the commanders under me have no excuse – despite the tough conditions during the outbreak of the 1973 [war] – the Northern Command fulfilled its missions and reached great achievements with only a third of the forces the Command has today.

“One would have expected us to operate more professionally and to reach the necessary achievements in less time.”

Eizenkot explained that deficiencies in speed and professionalism the army displayed during the 34-day conflict with Hezbollah two years ago were due to its fight against Palestinian terror.

“In recent years the IDF’s main strength has been turned toward battling the brutal terror that broke out in October 2000, which caused many casualties. The IDF succeeded in a huge effort to suppress the Palestinian terror in Judea and Samaria, and to block the terror from the Gaza Strip and return security to the streets of the country,” he said.

Begin Excerpt 4 from Haaretz

Hezbollah: Ghajar, Shaba Farms will soon be freed

By Haaretz Service

October 3, 2008

Hezbollah has warned that it will “soon liberate” the contentious Shaba Farms and the divided village of Ghajar, Lebanon’s Daily Star reported on Friday.

Sheikh Nabil Qaouk, Hezbollah’s leader in southern Lebanon, told supporters in the border village of Abbasieh that diplomacy over the areas had failed and the only way to regain control of the land was to use force, according to the report.

“Betting on liberating land via diplomacy and politics is a sterile bet,” the report quoted Qaouk as saying. “The only guaranteed way to recover the remaining occupied land is the resistance and nothing else.”

Qaouk added that Israel understands only the language of force, adding that it was Hezbollah’s national duty to fulfill the achievements it had begun with the Israel Defense Forces’ withdrawal from Lebanon in 2000, according to the report.

“The resistance’s strategy is Lebanon’s main source of power, enabling it to recover the remaining occupied lands,” the report quoted Qaouk as saying.

“We, as Lebanese, are here to confirm that we cling to freeing every grain of our soil. We will not abandon the great national cause, which is the continuation of the liberation of our land,” Qaouk added.

Israel told the United States on Sunday it was prepared to withdraw from the northern part of Ghajar on the Lebanese border, a change in its policy for the past year and a half of not want

ing to discuss the issue.

A government source in Jerusalem said the decision was made after the Lebanese government delivered written assurances that UNIFIL would be given security and civilian control over the northern part of the village, which is in Lebanese territory.

“The Americans have been asking us for a long time to move ahead on the Lebanon issue and after receiving the letter, it was decided to show a more positive stance,” the source also said, referring to the written assurances by Lebanon.

The Israel Defense Forces Planning Branch and the Northern Command are now at work on the details of the withdrawal from the northern part of Ghajar.

Ghajar, located between the Upper Galilee and the Golan Heights, was annexed to Israel in 1981 together with the Golan Heights, and its inhabitants received Israeli citizenship.

After the IDF’s withdrawal from Lebanon in 2000, the UN determined that the border between Israel and Syria crossed the village, and that Israel, which holds the Golan Heights, could operate only in the southern part of the village. However, according to the UN, the IDF frequently operates in the northern part of the village, beyond the international border.

In recent years the village has become a center for smuggling and infiltration of criminal elements from Lebanon to Israel, along with Hezbollah agents.

According to Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended the Second Lebanon War, Israel was to have withdrawn its forces from the northern part of Ghajar.

In March 2007, the security cabinet approved a deal whereby the IDF would cease its operations in the northern part of the village, giving the UN and Lebanese army forces responsibility for security and leaving civilian affairs in Israel’s hands. However, Beirut did not implement the agreement, among other things because of its political crisis.

Israel has since refused to discuss the matter and conditioned agreement on a written pledge by the Lebanese government to a new arrangement.

UNIFIL had transmitted a number of drafts to Israel, which it has rejected.

About two weeks ago Israel gave an official letter to UNIFIL commander General Claudio Graziano, stating that it accepts UN security and civilian control over the northern part of the village.

Meanwhile, Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah last week told a crowd of supporters in a televised address that Jerusalem and Palestine would soon be returned to their rightful owners.

“I think that if you consider current developments,” Nasrallah told thousands of Shiite Hezbollah backers at a rally in Beirut, “the return of Jerusalem and Palestine is not far off, and could even happen in the near future.”

Nasrallah reiterated that backing the resistance [Hezbollah] was essential because “the resistance is the only way to liberate Palestine and occupied lands by Israel.”

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Israel has a lot of very secret sites in the Negev

And Israel has no desire for anyone to be Aware

Where or What They are or How Well They Work!

We know more now than Israelis think we Should!

October 6, 2008

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

The Negev Wilderness is the best Camouflaged, most heavily fortified, zone on the face of this earth. It stretches from Beersheba to Eilat, and has borders on its west side with the Egyptian Sinai and with Jordan on its east side. If you remove the Golan Heights, West Bank, and Gaza Strip from Israeli possession, it is much bigger then what remains of Israel from Dan to Beersheba.

The following Prophecy Update Number 6 from February 2001 may be found in our Prophecy Update Archives.

PROPHECY UPDATE NUMBER 6

February, 2001

Prophecy Update Number 5 ended by mentioning the area to which Israel will flee for safety during the later portion of the tribulation period.

In Revelation 12:6 we find this flight described in graphic detail: “And the woman fled into the wilderness, where she hath a place prepared of God, that they should feed her there a thousand two hundred and threescore days.” Prophetic years in scripture are based on a year of 360 days hence this represents a period of three and one-half years. So Israel will be kept trapped in the Negev wilderness

for the last 3 and ½ years of the tribulation period.

Israel has spent billions and billions of dollars preparing the Negev for the possibility of such an evacuation of her population in the event of a sudden attack from the north. The Negev has been the central focus of her war contingency plan from the beginning. God put this thinking in the minds of her political and military leaders in the late forties and active preparation of the area began in the early fifties. Today, the Negev is the most cleverly camouflaged zone on the surface of the earth, and unless sky satellites had watched it being prepared, one would not suspect that numerous military installations were implanted in it. Even knowing where certain defense mechanisms were originally placed, it is now extremely difficult to spot them, even driving by them at ground level. Thousands of tourists pass through the Negev and admire the beauty of her terrain from her roads, but her military capabilities are cleverly camouflaged on the surface, hidden beneath her, and concealed inside her mountains.

Active preparation of the Negev began in

the early fifties.

After the Six Day War of June, 1967, Israel poured her finances and efforts into the creation of a hidden fortress in the Negev wilderness.

The Yom Kippur War of 1973 was followed by Israel quadrupling her military forces by 1980, and the bulk of this increase was placed in the vast Sinai.

The peace treaty between Israel and Egypt led to the evacuation of this increase in men and equipment from the Sinai into the much smaller Negev. This action turned the already heavily fortified Negev into an impenetrable fortress.

By 1983 the Sinai IDF and equipment had been withdrawn into

the Negev. The IDF packed up about 80 thousand tons of military equipment, same 3800 military vehicles, and 3 airfields, and moved it into the Negev. The Negev is about 20 percent the size of the Sinai. By 1988 about 40 new military camps had been set up in the Negev.

By 1990 the Negev had been topographically transformed, at a fantastic expense, into an area no enemy would dare to attempt to penetrate. When Syria, assisted by troops from Iraq and Iran secretly and very slowly smuggled in across her southern and western borders, attacks Israel from the north, then Israel will get to use her Negev wilderness for about 3 and ½ years. These three nations, because of the sharing of satellite information received from the Russians about the Negev, know all about the military strength there and, because of this, will stop their southward push into Israel just north of Beersheba.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) will be able to hold the Negev, and the woman Israel will stay there for the last 3 and ½ years of the tribulation period.

Begin Excerpt from the Arab News

October 4, 2008

Israel fears new radar will reveal army secrets

Mohammed Mar’i

Arab News

October 4, 2008

RAMALLAH: Israel is to install a twin radar antennae near its Dimona nuclear plant, but senior Israeli defense officials

expressed fears that the newly deployed US X-band radar facility in the Negev Desert will reveal the secrets of Israeli Army.

The two massive radar antennae near the nuclear site is to bolster Israel’s defense measures against Iran, the Maariv newspaper reported yesterday. The 400 meter-high antennae will be erected near a top-secret military site where Israel is widely believed to have developed the only nuclear arsenal in the Middle East, the paper said.

But an Israeli defense official, quoted by Time magazine, said although the radar would enhance Israel’s protection against Iran it might also reveal Israel’s military secrets to the US.

“It’s a like a pair of golden handcuffs on Israel,” the official told the magazine. “Even a husband and wife have a few things they would like to keep from each other,” said the official. “Now we’re standing without our clothes on in front of America.”

The early-warning radar system’s arrival in Israel last Sunday was kept under tight wraps until it was revealed over the weekend by Defense News, an industry newsletter. The system was deployed in the Nevatim air base in the Negev along with a 120-member support team to strengthen Israel’s defense against missiles if the Jewish state and/or the United States attacks Iran’s nuclear facilities

The radar will allow the US to keep a close watch on anything moving in Israeli skies, “even a bee,” a top Israeli official, who asked not to be identified, told Time.

According to the current plan, US soldiers will control the radar, which will be connected to the Israeli Air Force’s Arrow control room in Palmahim military base in southern Israel.

Israeli sources said last Sunday that an Israeli forces request to permit Israeli soldiers to control the radar had been declined.

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U.S. Unchallenged Days AS Number ONE ARE OVER,

If Barak Obama is elected we won’ t engage Russians!

So Russia, China, and Islam will dominate world Nations,

Who fear their record of cruelty against their captured Foes

And a mad fanaticism of Islam using women as suicide Bombs!

Under Ronald Regan we engaged Russia and the Berlin Wall Fell,

But Barak Obama will try to Talk them to death and We’ ll have War!

October 5, 2008

http://www.tribulationperiod.com/

Begin Excerpt 1 from DEBKAfile

Russian live missile fire air exercise near Alaska

DEBKAfile Special Report

October 4, 2008, 5:27 PM (GMT+02:00)

Not since 1984, just before the fall of the Soviet Union, has Russia ventured to launch dozens of nuclear bombers for an exercise in which Tu-95 Bear bombers will fire live cruise missiles. Exercise Stability 2008 will take place Oct.-6-12 over sub-Arctic Russia uncomfortably close to the US state of Alaska, and Belarus.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that the exercise is part of a month-long war game described by Russian air force spokesman Col. Vladimir Drik as “practicing the strategic deployment of the armed forces including the nuclear triad.”

As part of the exercise, our sources reported exclusively on Oct. 1, that Russian ships armed with nuclear missiles will dock at Syrian ports Oct. 8, on the eve of Yom Kippur, before continuing to the Caribbean for joint maneuvers with Venezuela.

More than 60,000 troops and 1.500 tanks and APCs, as well as land-based and submarine-launched nuclear missiles, were tested in the first phase of the war games.

(“Nuclear triad” refers to three tiers of a national nuclear arsenal, usually strategic bombers armed with bombs or missiles, land-based missiles and ballistic missile submarines.

These weapons must have a first- or second-strike capability.)

Col. Drik stressed that the Tu-95 and Tu-160 Blackjack strategic bombers will “carry their maximum combat payload and fire all the cruise missiles on board.” Also taking part in the air force exercise are Tu-22M3 Backfire strategic bombers, air superiority fighters, interceptors and aerial tankers.

The locations of the war games were deliberately chosen to underline three messages from Moscow to Washington:

1. Russian leaders are willing to brandish their nuclear strength in America’s face – to the north (Arctic) and south (Caribbean) – to challenge America’s position as the world’s No. 1 superpower.

2. Russia is powerful and rich enough to rise above the shockwaves rocking the world’s financial markets while carrying on developing its military muscle and expanding its spheres of influence.

3. By docking at the Syrian port of Tartus, the Peter the Great nuclear missile cruiser is Moscow’s marker on the Mediterranean to betoken the end of US Sixth Fleet’s sway. Last week, the Russian Navy united its Black Sea and Mediterranean fleet commands.

Friday, Oct. 3, Nikolai Patrushev, Secretary of the Russian Security Council, announced that 20,000 kilometers of the Russian border passes through the Arctic. Moscow therefore claims 18 percent of its territory and is preparing a plan to implement this policy.

Laying down an earlier marker, the Russian nuclear powered submarine Ryazan docked at the Kamchatka Peninsula Sept.

30, after completing a one-month voyage under the Arctic Ocean without surfacing. The Project 667BDR Delta III class strategic nuclear submarine with a crew of 130 is armed with sixteen R-29RM (SS-N-23 Skiff) ballistic missiles with a range of 8,000 km.

Russian Navy Commander Adm.

Vladimir Vysotsky welcoming the Ryazan’s arrival said: “The navy continues to play an important role in safeguarding Russia’s maritime economic and research activity throughout the world, including in the Arctic.”

Laying down these markers and challenges is clearly the prelude for Moscow’s presentation of political demands and an enhanced role as global player.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that, for now, Russia’s air and naval strength does not match America’ s military might.

However, although Russian president Dmitry Medvedev stated emphatically last week that there is no cold war or any other war with America, Moscow’s actions tell a different story.

In addition to their demonstrations of air and naval strength, the Russians have more than doubled their military spending on armaments – especially to upgrade and modernize their navy.

Begin Excerpt 2 From DEBKAfile

Russian nuclear missile cruiser to dock at Syrian port on Yom Kippur eve

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report

October 1, 2008, 11:58 PM (GMT+02:00)

Russian Navy spokesman Capt.

Igor Dygalo disclosed Wednesday, Oct. 1, that a four-ship squadron led by the Peter the Great nuclear missile cruiser will call in at the Libyan port of Tripoli and “other Middle East ports” before heading out to the Caribbean for joint maneuvers with Venezuela.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that one of those ports is Tartus, Syria, where preparations are afoot to receive the visiting Russian flotilla.

Peter the Great , one of the most advanced naval vessels afloat, may in fact anchor at the new facility the Russians are building at Syria’s second major port, Latakia, for its first visit to Syria; the rest of the squadron, the Admiral Chabanenko submarine, a reconnaissance vessel and a fourth ship, will dock at Tartus.

Peter the Great is designed to sink large surface vessels such as aircraft carriers.

The ship’s Granit (Nato designated SS-N-19 Shipwreck) anti-ship cruise missiles (20 missile launchers) can destroy vessels up to 500 km distant in ripple-fire mode.

An S-300F defense missile complex is installed on Peter the Great , with 12 launchers and 96 vertical launch air defense missiles.

The Navy spokesman in Moscow said the Russian warships will perform maneuvers in the Mediterranean, without adding details. They will pass through the Strait of Gibraltar Sunday, Oct.

5, visit Tripoli next and on Oct, 8 or 9, put in at a Syrian port.

Coinciding with the 35th anniversary of the Egyptian-Syrian Yom Kippur attack on Israel, the Russian warships’ arrival in Syria has serious connotations:

1. It means that prime minister Ehud Olmert will be wasting his time if he intends using his talks in Moscow next week with president Dmitry Medvedev and prime minister Vladimir Putin to ask them to drop their plan for a permanent base at a Syrian port. That plan is clearly going full steam ahead.

2. The Yom Kippur War of 1973 is recorded in Russian and Arab military annals as the high point of Russian-Arab military and intelligence cooperation. The Soviet Union as it was then was responsible for the great deception which disguised Arab war preparations behind a screen of misdirection and gulled Israeli intelligence into complacence.

Moscow is signaling Jerusalem on this sensitive date that it has decided to revert to its old military ties with Damascus on the same scale as its historic 20th century partnership.

3. The precedence the Russian navy is awarding to visiting Middle East ports before Venezuela attests to the importance Moscow attaches to its new Damascus-Tehran-Caracas alignment opposite the US-Israel alliance.

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