Islamic Unity Floodgates Opened by Annapolis!
December 13, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Annapolis Peace Conference Opens Radicalization between Islamic Nations and Terrorist Groups
The Annapolis Peace Conference did not establish a path to an eventual lasting peace between the Arabs and Jews.
It did set in motion a scene of moderate Arabs rushing to establish a united front with Syria and Iran because of the consequences of being on the wrong side, in a war they believe is certain to come. As a result of this unity move, now being seen by leaders and diplomats shuffling from country to country, there will be a period of adjustment between the different Islamic factions, which will keep them so involved that a period of “relative” false peace will be in place at least until 2010, but I doubt it can continue past 2015.
The Iranian Persians and the Arab nations will now be actively pulling toward a common goal – UNITY! A result of this goal will concentrate on their assuring one another that none of them will try to take over the other after Israel is defeated, which countries like Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Jordan fear would be a goal of Syria and Iran. The leaders of Persian Iran and all the Arabs do not like the Al Qaeda terrorists, because Al Qaeda h as
little use for the leaders of
these countries, but they do affiliate with them because Al Qaeda is useful to them at the present time.
It is not possible to build a democratic government in Iraq and, as soon as the American troops are pulled out in sufficient numbers, Iraq will return to what will amount to an Islamic Republic, eventually becoming one of the 10 Arab nations which attack Israel. She could not possibly survive as a democratic government with Syria bordering her on the northwest and Iran bordering her to the southwest. Iraq wants U.S. troops to remain in Iraq long enough for her to become strong enough to prevent Iran taking her over as a satellite, but she will not allow the U.S. to build permanent Military installation on her soil.
The two articles which follow, one from the DEBKAfile and the other from the UK Guardian, lend credence to my premises in the preceding paragraphs.
Begin DEBKAfile Exclusive
DEBKAfile Exclusive: “Moderate” Arab rulers woo Tehran and Damascus, following track opened by Washington
December 11, 2007, 7:27 PM (GMT+02:00)
Monday night, Dec. 10 Cairo announced plans to resume diplomatic relations with Tehran.
An Egyptian emissary was sent to Iran to discuss the resumption of relations after 27 years. DEBKAfile’s Middle East sources report that this step was part of an initiative for Saudi Arabian, Jordanian and Egyptian leaders to come together in a new summit to embrace the Syrian ruler and bridge their policy differences with the radical Syrian-Tehran line.
Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas will be invited and urged still more emphatically to starting patching up his Fatah’s quarrel with the extremist Hamas and adapt to the newly emergent Arab reality with a tougher line against Israel. DEBKAfile’s Middle East sources report: The road to radicalization embarked on by this central Arab bloc is the direct result of the dialogue Washington has opened with Tehran, while also reflecting the ubiquitous Arab drive for unity.
Saturday, Abbas sent Ahmad Qureia, head of the Palestinian negotiating team with Israel, to Damascus for guidance from Syrian officials on future tactics in these negotiations.
He was preceded by Bassam Iwadallah, personal adviser to Jordan’s King Abdullah, who informed Syrian officials of the king’s initiative for a new Arab summit to restore their ruler to the Arab fold.
The Jordanian official disclosed that the king was fully engaged in bids to heal the rifts between Saudi Arabia and Syria, and the Palestinians and Syria.
Bashar Assad responded favorably by sending Syrian foreign minister Walid Moualem to Amman Sunday, Dec. 9, where he was personally received by Abdullah. He also sent the Damascus-based Hamas leader Khaled Meshaal to Riyadh Saturday, on two errands:
1. To let Hamas’ Saudi bankers hand out the directive for a nod to Fatah overtures to his movement for a reconciliation – with effect in Gaza and Lebanon.
2. To embody the Assad regime’s willingness to begin coordinating its policies with fellow Arab rulers.
DEBKAfile reports that Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert will find a different Abbas when they meet Wednesday, Dec. 12, to start the talks for a Palestinian state that were kicked off at the Middle East conference in Annapolis last month. The Palestinian leader will now be following fresh guidelines from the Arab bloc which is emerging from the chrysalis of Washington’s direct engagement with Tehran, rather than conforming with the spirit of Annapolis.
Begin UK Guardian Article
The resumption of history?
Simon Tisdall
December 11, 2007 6:00 PM
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/simon_tisdall/2007/12/the_resumption_of_history_1.html
Improved security, an expanding economy and new understandings with Iran, Syria and Turkey are encouraging an almost forgotten emotion among leaders of Iraq’s Shia-led government: optimism.
But for Sunni Arab neighbours in the Gulf, Baghdad’s returning confidence raises the ghosts of troubled times past. Saddam Hussein is no more; Iraqi nationalism never died.
Mowaffak al-Rubaie, Iraq’s national security adviser, typifies Baghdad’s brash boosters.
Speaking on the sidelines of a weekend security conference in Bahrain, he warned Saudi Arabia’s princely rulers and other Gulf potentates to watch out. “We are out of the woods … We are building a new Iraq under a democratic parliamentary system. There is a new sense of belonging in Iraq,” he said.
“These people have to get a grip. They should understand Iraq is going to lead the region in a new way, with democracy and a new nationalism and a western orientation. They should understand these upstart Shia are not going to go away.
“We will have provincial elections by the end of next year. The government will serve its full term to December 2009 … Our strategic direction is very clear to everybody in the region.
We are heading west.”
Rubaie’s upfront chutzpah hides subtle depths. Addressing Manama Dialogue, of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, he trumpeted the intended creation by July of a long-term strategic partnership with the US, including a status of forces agreement, an extension of the UN mandate and a development package. Britain is also negotiating a new aid and assistance deal to follow this weekend’s Basra handover.
But despite claims by hard-left western commentators and hard-right Iranian rejectionists, Rubaie told al-Arabiya television the pact did not give a green light to unending US occupation. Heading west did not mean knuckling under.
“We need the US in our war against terrorism,” he said. “We need them to guard our borders sometimes; we need them for economic and diplomatic and political support. But permanent forces or bases in Iraq for any foreign forces is a red line that cannot be accepted by any nationalist Iraqi.”
Rubaie explicitly assured Iran, long-time patron and protector of much of Iraq’s Shia leadership, that the US alliance was not aimed at Tehran, and did not threaten it.
In another sign of growing confidence, he called instead for direct US engagement with Iran and Syria, describing it as a prerequisite for long-term regional security. “You cannot stabilise Iraq and destabilise Iran at the same time,” he said. This pointed message was also aimed at Saudi Arabia, which he accused of waging a proxy war with Iran on Iraqi soil.
Senior US officials advising the Baghdad government say they, too, are increasingly hopeful about current trends, while adding the usual caveats about fragility of the security environment and deep-rooted political animosities.
They say infiltration of jihadis from Syria has measurably declined, as has some of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard’s more objectionable pot stirring.
Iraqi and independent experts confirm the shift. Civilian deaths are down 60% across Iraq, and down 75% in Baghdad, since the US military surge began in February.
Despite scepticism among critics of the war, the officials insist a key reason for recent progress is the Sunni Arab Awakening movement in Anbar and other provinces, where tribal leaders have turned against al-Qaida. On the other side of the sectarian divide, the ceasefire by Moqtada al-Sadr’s Shia Mahdi army, and a largely unpublicised US operation to clean up the interior ministry, have also been crucial.
US commanders scoff at claims that the Sunni resistance has made a tactical withdrawal in order to regroup. “The big summer offensive we were expecting to happen happened. Except we hit them first – and they lost,” a US official said.
Parallel attempts by militias and death squads to turn Baghdad into “a Shia Arab city” had also been thwarted, he said.
Iraqi and American officials stress the battle for Iraq is far from over. It could still go pear-shaped if US troop withdrawals, commencing this month, allow the insurgents to hit back as defences weaken.
Much the same may hold true as Britain draws down in Basra. Flashpoints such as Kirkuk and the northern border with Turkey, and entrenched problems such as bureaucracy, incompetence, corruption, mutual suspicion and sheer political bloody-mindedness remain as additional triggers for failure, they say.
But like Rubaie, a senior Iraqi adviser to the country’s leadership who asked not to be identified said he believed the past few months had brought changes that were irreversible.
” What happened in Iraq
? What happened was that after Saddam, both sides – Sunni and Shia – went too far, much too far, and foreigners interfered,” the adviser said. “Now we are coming back from the extremes.
An equilibrium is forming, a kind of balance. There has been a strategic shift.”
This is not victory. But it is not defeat, either. And for Iraq’s southern neighbours in particular, it may mean history is starting again.
FAIR USE NOTICE: This site contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc.
We believe this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.
In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes. For more detailed information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml.
You may use material originated by this site. However, if you wish to use any quoted copyrighted material from this site, which did not originate at this site, for purposes of your own that go beyond ‘fair use’, you must obtain permission from the copyright owner from which we extracted it.