HOW WILL IRAN RESPOND NOW?
It will be interesting to See How Iran responds to Diplomatic Sanctions now that it knows its Russian Air Defenses Systems are as vulnerable as those of Syria.
Septe
mber 17, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
The only way that the Arabs or Persians, the sons of Islam, will ever respond to diplomacy or sanctions, is when both are backed up by force they are certain will be unleashed if they fail to submit to the requests of their adversaries.
If they honestly believe 2000 military targets will be viciously attacked in Iran, they will back up and let their nuclear sites go back under UN inspection teams, and will stop massive assistance to the terrorists in Iraq
for awhile.
The failure of the Russian Defense System in Syria must be a great shock to them, hopefully sufficient to cause Iran to temporarily back off its aggressive stance of the last twelve years.
Rest assured Iran’s initial response will include wiping Israel off the map with a vicious return missile strike if Iranian facilities are attacked, probably saying they will launch hundreds of their long range missiles at Israel’s major cities and nuclear facilities. Unfortunately for Iran, Israel’s anti-missile launching systems do work, and their threat will be an empty one. The Iranian missile system has not undergone extensive “long range” testing and I doubt its accuracy percentage of individual target placement.
On the other hand, the Jericho Israeli series has been extensively, is very accurate, and carries nuclear warheads.
Please take a look at the three articles which follow.
Begin DEBKAfile Article
French FM Kouchner: The Iranian nuclear crisis forces
the world to prepare for the worst – which is war
September 16, 2007, 10:39 PM (GMT+02:00)
In a series of press, radio and TV interviews, Sunday, Sept.
16, Bernard Kouchner also said he had advised large French companies not to respond to tenders issued by Tehran. DEBKAfile adds: France thus joined the economic sanctions imposed by the US, Britain, Japan and Germany on Iran for refusing to give up uranium enrichment, but implicit in Kouchner’s advice was a word of caution to French companies to stay clear of business complications with a nation on the brink of war.
The French foreign minister, who is clearly focusing on the Middle East, spoke shortly after visits to Iraq, Lebanon and Israel and the Israeli air force operation over Syria ten days ago. Paris sees ominous signals in the expanding Iranian intervention in combat against US forces in Iraq by stepped up weapons deliveries to the insurgents and their training, and the rising military tensions between Israel and Syria – all under the cloud of the nuclear issue.
Begin Jerusalem Post Article 1
Gates: US favors diplomacy with Iran
JPost.com Staff, THE JERUSALEM POST
September 16, 2007
The nuclear Iranian crisis forces the world “to prepare for the worst” which “is war,” French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner said Sunday evening, while emphasizing that negotiations should still be the preferred course of action.
Kouchner, quoted by French daily Le Figaro, added that “Iran does whatever it pleases in Iraq … one cannot find in the entire world a crisis greater than this one.”
Kouchner’s statements came just hours after US Defense Secretary Robert Gates reiterated the Bush administration’s commitment, at least for the time being, to using diplomatic and economic means to counter the potential nuclear threat from Iran.
Speculation has persisted about preparations for a military strike against Iran for its alleged support for terrorism and its nuclear program.
Gates, in a broadcast interview, said he would not discuss “hypotheticals” about what President George W.
Bush “may or may not do.”
“I think that the administration believes at this point that continuing to try and deal with the Iranian threat, the Iranian challenge, through diplomatic and economic means is by far the preferable approach. That’s the one we are using,” the Pentagon chief said.
“We always say all options are on the table, but clearly, the diplomatic and economic approach is the one that we are pursuing,” he added.
The diplomatic approach takes center stage at a conference in Washington on Friday. The US hosts the UN Security Council’s four other permanent members – Britain, China, France, Russia – plus Germany to press for new penalties against oil-rich Iran.
But earlier Sunday, the Daily Telegraph reported that Bush and his associates were seriously considering declaring war on Iran and have even listed specific facilities that would be targeted in such an event, while Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has slowly given up the idea of finding a diplomatic solution to the country’s persistence in enriching uranium.
According to senior US defense and intelligence officials that spoke with the Telegraph, the Pentagon has gathered a list of up to 2,000 targets including a major base run by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Quds Force in the south.
Pentagon and CIA officers said that such a war would come to pass as a result of a “carefully calibrated program of escalation”
that would lead to a “military showdown with Iran,” the officials told the newspaper.
This scenario could arise once it was apparent that diplomatic efforts with the country were hopeless. When Iran would be internationally denounced for its interference in Iraq, the US could conduct cross border raids on Iranian training camps and bomb factories.
The report said that the raids would provoke a “major Iranian response” that could result in a halt to Gulf oil supplies; this in turn, said experts, would provide legitimacy to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities and armed forces.
An intelligence officer noted that the US military had “two major contingency plans” for air strikes on Iran.
“One is to bomb only the nuclear facilities. The second option is for a much bigger strike that would – over two or three days – hit all of the significant military sites as well. This plan involves more than 2,000 targets.”
The Pentagon has isolated its main target as the Fajr Garrison in Ahwaz – where it is believed that Iran manufactures self-propelled missiles used against coalition forces in Iraq.
A source told the Telegraph that “a strike will probably follow a gradual escalation. Over the next few weeks and months the US will build tensions and evidence around Iranian activities in Iraq.”
Meanwhile, the Telegraph claimed that Rice was prepared to come
to an agreement with Vice-President Dick Cheney and consent to military action against Iran.
Rice has been pressured by “senior counter-proliferation officials” to admit that military action may be necessary, a State Department official told the newspaper. She is now working with Cheney to “find a way to reconcile their positions and present a united front to the President.”
Begin Jerusalem Post Article 2
‘Assad furious over information leak’
JPost.com Staff, THE JERUSALEM POST
September 17, 2007
Syrian President Bashar Assad was furious following the release of information regarding Israel’s alleged incursion into his country’s airspace nearly two weeks ago. According to a report Monday, Assad has ordered that every person involved in the incident – regardless of rank or position – be investigated.
“Syrian President Bashar Assad decided to establish a committee that will investigate how classified information on the infiltration of Israeli planes was leaked to Arab media,” Kuwaiti newspaper A-Siasa.
Assad ordered the commander of Syrian intelligence, Asaf Shawkat, Head of General Intelligence Directorate Ali Mamlouk, and Air force Commander Abed al-Fatah Kodsya to head a committee charged with investigating which Syrian official delivered information to the Arab media. “President Assad ordered the generals not to be negligent…and to probe everyone involved, regardless of his rank or position,” said the report.
Syrian media was quick to divulge information on the apparent raid, releasing reports that Israeli Air force jets had broken
the sound barrier and dropped fuel tanks over deserted areas in northern Syria, along its border with Turkey, an afternoon after the operation allegedly took place on September 7.
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