Welcome to the Land of Let’s Pretend!
March 24, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Dramatic changes have rippled through the Middle East world of Islam during 2006 and 2007 at an alarming rate. Different groupings of Islam have been banding together in a defensive mode against the alarming rise of Shiite fanaticism like never before. I have never seen the Middle East in such a state of flux and uncertainty. The different sectors seem to be entering new phases in their relationships with one another, and a game of let’s pretend, masked by changes of phraseology, has left many participants in the game wondering what is going to happen next.
The following collection of Middle East articles describes the pretense and confusion that exists across the region at the present time. I remember the confusion that existed across the world as it daily viewed the events created by Germany, Italy, and Japan after 1936. The five years that followed were filled with intrigue and uncertainty. I believe the five years from now to 2012 are going to manifest the same state of world affairs with Syria, Iran, North Korea, and the Terrorist Groups creating the uneasiness.
Begin Jerusalem Post Article
US: Soldiers were nabbed in Iraqi water
Associated Press, THE JERUSALEM POST
March 23, 2007
While Iran maintained Friday that the 15 British sailors who were abducted earlier in the day had entered Iranian territorial waters illegally, the United States Naval Forces Central Command (US Fifth Fleet) issued the following statement regarding the incident:
“The United States NaAt approximately 10:30 a.m. Iraqi time March 23, 15 British naval personnel, engaged in routine boarding operations of merchant shipping in Iraqi territorial waters in support of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1723 and the government of Iraq, were seized by Iranian naval vessels.
The boarding party had completed a successful inspection of a merchant ship when they and their two boats were surrounded and escorted by Iranian vessels into Iranian territorial waters.
The British government is pursuing this matter with the Iranian authorities at the highest level and on the instructions of the British Foreign Secretary, the Iranian ambassador was summoned to the British Foreign Office. The British Government is demanding the immediate and safe return of their people and equipment.
Royal Navy forces operate as part of Combined Task Force 158.
CTF 158’s mission is to maintain security and stability in Iraqi territorial waters and to protect the Iraqi oil terminals, under the UN mandate set out in the Security Council Resolutions on Iraq.
CTF 158 is currently commanded by Royal Navy Commodore Nick Lambert and operates as one of three coalition task forces in the Combined Maritime Forces under the leadership of Commander, US Naval Forces Central Command/US Fifth Fleet, Vice Adm.
Kevin Cosgriff,” the statement concluded.
Iranian state television said, however, that this was “not the first time that British military personnel during the occupation of Iraq have entered illegally into Iran’s territorial waters,” the state TV quoted a foreign ministry official as saying. He was not identified by name.
Begin YNet News Article (Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
Abbas Has Become Hamas
Uzi Arad
Palestinian national unity government signals a new phase in the Palestinian struggle. The new Palestinian government has not renounced terror and does not recognize Israel.
As to the adherence to former agreements signed by the Palestinians, there’s nothing to be said here, because even Abbas himself is not adhering to them.
The writer heads the Institute for Policy and Strategy at the Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy of the Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya. (Ynet News)
Begin Washington Post Article (Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
The Great Mideast Pretenders
Jackson Diehl
For years cynical statesmen have played a game of make-believe with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: From podiums in Europe or at the UN, they announce that their top priority henceforth will be promoting a “comprehensive settlement,” brokered by the “international community.” That Israelis and Palestinians may be nowhere near ready for such a deal doesn’t concern them.
Since the beginning of the year, Secretary of State Rice has been proclaiming her commitment to promoting an Israeli-Palestinian “political horizon,” which is her newly coined synonym for a comprehensive settlement.
She’s promised to haunt Jerusalem and Ramallah this year; she will be there again this week, in a dramatic reversal of the Bush administration’s previous hands-off policy.
It’s hard to resist the notion that her diplomacy is mainly aimed at an audience of one: Saudi King Abdullah. Rice has been leaning heavily on Prince Bandar bin Sultan, Abdullah’s national security chief and an intimate of the Bush family, to organize Arab resistance against Iran. Talking up the Saudi initiative pleases the king, whom Rice needs to keep happy. (Washington Post)
Iranian Influence Soaring in Iraq
Liz Sly
In the cafeteria of Iraq’s parliament, Shiite legislators slip into Persian when they don’t want their conversations overheard. In the holy city of Najaf, an Iranian charity helps newlyweds buy furniture. Iranian weapons are turning up in arms caches seized from insurgents in Baghdad. These are among the many ways in which Iran’s soaring influence is being felt in Iraq. (Chicago Tribune)
Hamas Terror Brigade on the March in Gaza
(Maan News-PA)
Dozens of Al-Qassam Brigades’ fighters, the armed wing of Hamas, appeared in a military march through central Gaza City on Wednesday, the first such public appearance in several months.
Hundreds of Al-Qassam members marched through the streets carrying machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades and shouting pro-Hamas slogans.
In Chaotic Gaza, the Internet Is a Target
(Bloomberg/Chicago Daily Herald)
Soon after a firebomb exploded at 3 a.m. and destroyed four computers in the Al-Shawa Online Internet Cafe in Gaza, owner Alaa al-Shawa clicked onto his e-mail at an undamaged machine.
The first message was from the bombers, explaining that establishments such as his were keeping Muslims away from prayer and providing pornography. That’s why it was hit.
“This just shows how confused these fanatics are,” said Al-Shawa, 27. “Even they use the Internet to circulate their statements.”
About 45 Internet outlets have been bombed since Dec. 1, according to Gaza police.
IDF: Hamas Terrorists Boosted by New Ability to Travel Abroad
Avi Issacharoff
“Boosted by their newfound ability to travel abroad, Hamas militants have been going back and forth to hostile countries for training,” Israel Defense Forces Head of Southern Command Maj.-Gen. Yoav Galant said Wednesday. “They are sending activists to Syria, Lebanon, Iran. And the opposite.
People from Iran come inspect the situation in the area, give them the proper training and coaching, examine them and see if they hit the target they gave them.”
Galant said the training and technology from Iran has enabled Hamas to grow from a ragtag militia into a well-organized group resembling an army – complete with battalions, companies, platoons and special forces for surveillance, snipers, and explosive experts.
Galant also called the Gaza cease-fire a tactical move for Hamas to strengthen itself.
(Ha’aretz)
Brothers in Arms: Fatah and Palestinian Islamic Jihad
Pinhas Inbari
Fatah was the main supporter in the Arab world of the Khomeini revolution in Iran when it erupted. Both Islamic Jihad and Hizbullah were established with deep Fatah involvement. Originally, Islamic Jihad was actually a purely Fatah offshoot, part and parcel of the military apparatus of Arafat’s deputy, Abu Jihad, who, as his name may convey, was the major promoter of Islamic features in Fatah. During the first Lebanon war, Abu Jihad followers helped Iran establish Hizbullah on the ruins of the Fatah infrastructure that Israel had destroyed in the war.
The joint plan of Fatah and Hizbullah was to surround Israel with terror rocket power from all sides.
This master plan still exists, but now the main role has been given to Hamas.
(ICA/JCPA)
Sunni and Shiite Muslims: Choosing a Sect
Noah Feldman
The U.S. f inds itself
in the odd position of seeming to favor a Shiite government in Iraq and Sunni leaders everywhere else. What began more than 1,300 years ago as an argument over whether the Prophet Muhammad should be succeeded by his cousin Ali or by an unrelated companion became a bloody civil war, then hardened over time into a theological split. But who, exactly, is our natural ally in this historic conflict?
Sunnis make up as much as 90% of the world’s 1.3 billion Muslims. Our support for the Iranian-backed Shiite parties who run the government in Iraq hasn’t exactly worked out so far. But Sunni Islam is in a sorry state, dominated by a purist and anti-intellectual fundamentalism that has been bankrolled by Wahhabi Saudi Arabia. Osama bin Laden is a Sunni who condemns Shiite and American infidels in the same breath.
The writer is a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. (New York Times)
From Bad to Unthinkable
Mortimer B. Zuckerman (U.S. News)
The terrible result of the weakness of Mahmoud Abbas in Mecca – a weakness of character and a weakness of his organization – is that the conflict with Israel will torment still another generation of Palestinians. The Mecca agreement between Fatah and Hamas drove a stake through the heart of the two-state dream, because it left no one with whom the Israelis could make a peaceful settlement.
Abbas had been committed to disarming Hamas and calling early elections. Washington was supporting Abbas in this, but what does he do in Mecca? He agrees to share power with Hamas. Under the Mecca terms, Hamas’ Ismail Haniyeh will stay on as prime minister and as head of the coalition, and Hamas will hold the majority of the cabinet, with 12 seats, with Fatah holding only six.
Under the Mecca accord, Hamas’ armed men will be incorporated into the Palestinian security forces, with salaries to be paid by the Palestinian Finance Ministry.
Representatives of the Quartet cannot be unaware of Hamas’ using the respected new finance minister, Salaam Fayad, to funnel money into the hands of Hamas ministers, including those heading military and security forces. Any financial support post-Mecca will serve only to strengthen the radical forces of Hamas.
Unsurprisingly, as far as the Israelis are concerned, Abbas is toast. He is now incapable of carrying out any agreements that might have been reached with the Israelis, so the Quartet’s road map to peace has hit a dead end.
Hardly anyone in Israel thinks that if it decides to give up territory again, it would get peace in return. Tendering olive branches of the kind so often advocated by Israel’s critics has borne nothing but bitter fruit. Israel left Lebanon, and Hizbullah gathered weapons, then made war. Israel left Gaza to the Gazans and was rewarded with a more aggressive Hamas and more rocket attacks.
Hamas is part of the radical Muslim Bro
therhood movement that does nothing to conceal its aspirations of fomenting Islamic revolution across the length and breadth of the Middle East, of toppling the moderate regimes allied with the West, and of working with Iran to expand its role as the leader of political Islam – all in service of the goal of an Islamic caliphate that would ultimately threaten even Europe.
If the West must now choose between its survival and the survival of radical Islamic forces, we should choose our own survival.
Iran Poised to Strike in Wealthy Gulf States
Colin Freeman
(Sunday Telegraph-UK)
Iran has trained secret networks of agents across the Gulf states to attack Western interests and incite civil unrest in the event
of a military strike against its nuclear program, according to Adel Assadinia, 50, a former Iranian career diplomat who was consul-general in Dubai.
Trained by Iranian intelligence services, spies working as teachers, doctors and nurses at Iranian-owned schools and hospitals have formed sleeper cells ready to be “unleashed” at the first sign of any serious threat to Teheran, it is claimed.
Assadinia said the Iranian consulate in Dubai was used as a conduit for illicit funding of Hizbullah. Iranian foreign ministry agents would regularly pass through with suitcases containing up to £11 million, using diplomatic baggage channels to bypass customs scrutiny.
The consulate, he said, was a hub for regional intelligence operations because of the huge number of Iranians working in Dubai’s 4,000 Iranian businesses, which provide easy cover for espionage.
“The government sees itself as strong, but in fact it is like Saddam Hussein before he was overthrown – very fragile and brittle within,” said Assadinia, who was granted asylum in Europe in 2003.
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