STUPID IS AS STUPID DOES RIDES AGAIN!
July 13, 2006
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
It has been reported in several Israeli news releases that the Hizbollah are trying to get the two captured Israeli soldiers into Iran. If, and I say “if,” this report is correct, things could get very interesting in the land to the east of the Tigris River. The reports may not be true. I s usp
ect it was discussed within Hizbollah, but
I doubt if they came to a decision to do it. It may have just been an idea. These captured soldiers are two hot potatoes, and I suspect none of the Arab nations want to have them inside their borders. But, if any nation was goofy enough to take them, it would be Iran, whose leader’s statement that chaos was needed before the Islamic Messiah would appear, and two kidnapped Israeli soldiers in Iran would certainly create chaos.
If this report should happen to be true, it would certainly validate the old claim that “Stupid is as Stupid Does.” If the abducted soldiers do end up in Iran, the international community will not have to worry about uranium enrichment much longer. The IAF will take care of the problem for them. IAF High Tech fighter-bombers will sweep down on the scattered Iranian nuclear facilities like ducks on June bugs. Israel will use the captive soldiers as justification for their act, and there are a lot of nations who publicly would scream their disapproval, but secretly would rejoice to see the Iranian nuclear threat removed, and many Arab nations, as well as Russia and China, would be among them.
I have indicated in previous updates, and given specific reasons, as to why I believe it doesn’t matter whether or not Iran develops a nuclear warhead for their ballistic missile series. The next Middle East war will be conventional, not nuclear. The only thing that wiping out Iranian facilities would accomplish is a further inflaming of the Jihad spirit now sweeping across the world’s Islamic population. If the Iranians should allow the two soldiers to be smuggled into their country, it would be a classic example of “Stupid is as Stupid Does!”
Begin Haaretz Article
Israel: Hezbollah Plans to Move Abducted IDF Soldiers to Iran
By Amos Harel and Jack Khoury, Haaretz Correspondents
July 13, 2006
Israel has concrete evidence that Hezbollah plans to transfer the two Israel Defense Forces soldiers abducted Wednesday to Iran, Foreign Ministry spokesman Mark Regev said Thursday.
“We have concrete evidence that Hezbollah plans to transfer the kidnapped soldiers to Iran. As a result, Israel views Hamas, Hezbollah, Syria and Iran as the main players in the axis of terror and hate that endangers not only Israel, but the entire world,” AFP quoted Deputy Director General of the Foreign Ministry Gideon Meir as saying.
An Al-Jazeera correspondent said Thursday that he had evidence that the two soldiers – identified Thursday as Ehud Goldwasser, 31, of Nahariya, and Eldad Regev, 26,
of Kiryat Motzkin – were alive during the abduction. He said they were transferred to a Shi’ ite mosque in a nearby town, where the abductors changed clothes.
According to the report, one of the soldiers was transferred in a cab, to make it difficult for Israeli intelligence to locate him. The Al-Jazeera correspondent stressed that he had received the information from a source close to Hezbollah, and that members of the organization refuse to disclose more information with nothing in return.
End Haaretz Article
Special Prophecy Update Number 187A
August 29, 2004
Atomic War in Israel – Yes or No? – Number 2
We are a month away from the Intifada being four years in duration, and a lot has happened. Its results have included the smashing of the power of the Palestinian Authority and its many associated terrorist groups, the building of a security wall and fence to separate them from Israel proper by 2006, and a final separation when the forced unilateral withdrawal plan of Ariel Sharon is completed, which will bring in the false peace that must prophetically occur before a surprise Jihad attack by 10 Arab nations from the north.
More than a year ago I issued Special Prophecy Update Number 129C, titled “Atomic War in Israel, Yes or No?” I would like to reaffirm my belief in its validity in Number 2. The original Update 129C, issued July 23, 2003, was as follows: (BEGIN QUOTE OF 129C)
“One of the main reasons I wrote three books on prophecy in the late seventies and early eighties was to establish a case advocated by teachers
of the pre-World War II era. It was, simply stated, that man would not destroy the earth with his weaponry, but rather that God would destroy the earth by the use of this
own power. I am certain that the horrifying changes in the topography of Israel, as well as the terrifying destruction of the antichrist’s forces at Armageddon, are by the awesome power of God, not atomic, chemical, or biological weapons of man. The lifting of the land from Geba to Rimmon south of Jerusalem, the breaking up of Jerusalem into three sections, the splitting of the Mount of Olives, and the consuming of the flesh, tongues, and eyes of the antichrist’s men are natural phenomena unleashed by God, not by man. All the Scriptures dealing with these phenomena unleashed by God are covered in Birth Pang and Prophecy Archives.
There are many advocates of a great atomic, chemical, and biological war in Israel when the antichrist attacks 1260 days before Armageddon. It might happen at the time of Armageddon, but the initial attack will start what amounts to a non-nuclear, non-chemical, and non-biological war. So why am I so confident and outspoken about this being the case?
Israel has more than 200 extremely well concealed missile silos in the Negev between Beersheba and the Gulf of Aqabah.
(1) It has more than 300 nuclear, chemical, and biological warheads to mount on Jericho missiles.
(2) The Jericho is a very accurate missile, and can hit a target in any Islamic country from Morocco to Pakistan and from Turkey to Yemen.
(3) Israel has an excellent anti-missile defense to protect its array of silos, warheads, and missiles.
It is able to pick up an incoming enemy missile launched from Syria before it reaches its maximum altitude.
(4) So why do I believe this array of WMD will not be unleashed by Israel when it is attacked? Because the Israeli War Contingency Plan of Israel directs that WMD will never be launched against a foreign nation unless they are first launched against Israel.
(5) So how do I know the Islamic countries will not launch WMD in their initial attack? All of them are well aware of what is listed in (1) through (5)! The former Soviet Union, which it existed, shared Israeli intelligence information with Syria, which it collected over a long period of time from its hundreds of spy satellites it launched from pads between Moscow and the White Sea, and on the eastern side of the Aral Sea. Syria, in turn, has shared it with some of the other Islamic countries around Israel. Only a leader possessed of rank insanity would ever launch WMD first against Israel, which is why I was so relieved when Saddam Hussein was taken out of the way.
Many believe the United States will quickly rush to the aid of Israel, and, as the world’s greatest power, will immediately deliver her from any kind of attack she can’t handle. There are two problems with this idea: (1) The United States believes Israel can defeat any Islamic attack on its own without any help from us. After all, Israel has easily done so in three previous wars and, (2) This will be a lightning Jihad, and better coordinated than any of the previous wars, and this time Israel
will have a Palestinian state attacking it from within, while the other Islamic nations come in from outside its borders. It will probably last less than a month, and Jerusalem is likely to fall within a week. By the time we decide they must have our help it will be too late, because they will have occupied most of the land from Dan to Beersheba. It would take months, as it did in Operation Desert Storm and Operation Freedom Iraq, to get enough American troops on the ground to do any good.
What was the character of Israel’ s pa
st three wars? They were all very short in duration, and they all ended abruptly in a truce. That will be the case in this war. The United States knows that the Negev is the place where Israel will flee. When we believe they are safely in the Negev, we will be more than willing to accept a truce to give us time to think about what to do, and Israel will remain trapped in the Negev for some three and one-half years.
The part played by the United States during this period of three and one-half years is interspersed throughout our Prophecy Archives, with some of it in Prophecy Updates 5 through 11, 32 & 33, and 74 & 75.”
(END QUOTE OF UPDATE 129C).
Since Update 129C was issued, several noteworthy things have come to pass that reduce the likelihood of a nuclear war in the Middle East. The area is headed toward a situation where both sides will realize a nuclear war would leave the victor, or victors, in such a powerless state, that any future they might have would be desolate, and
leave them in a position of great vulnerability to the rest of the oil consuming nations. Some of these noteworthy recent events, which would tend to create a standoff, such as the one that developed between the United States and the once mighty Soviet Union, are as follows:
(1) Syria now has a better Scud than the Scud B. The Scud D missile, considered to be the most sophisticated weapon of its kind, is now in the hands of the Syrian military. It is able to deliver nuclear, chemical, or biological multiple warheads to their targets in Israel from Syria.
(2) The jointly developed American-Israeli Arrow 2 missile successfully launched an Arrow 2 missile that destroyed a Scud B over the Pacific Ocean earlier this year. The Arrow 2 is designed to intercept an enemy missile before it reaches its peak altitude, far from Israeli territory.
However, in a recent test against the Scud D, it failed to intercept the detached warhead. It was not a complete failure, and the results are in the process of being analyzed. Israel says it can still effectively destroy the Scud D.
(3) Syria also maintains a sizeable ballistic missile arsenal and, like Iran, is active in upgrading and expanding its capabilities.
(4) In June Iran announced it is building its first stealth missile, a rocket that can evade electronic detection. The missile was named Kowsar, in honor of the Kowsar river in paradise, which is found in the Koran, the Holy Book of Islam. Iran announced it would be capable of hitting ships and aircraft.
(5) Iran is continuing to steam toward development of its own nuclear bomb, which many believe it could develop as early as next year. It is now going underground, and spreading out its nuclear development sites in order to limit the damage that could be incurred by an Israeli air strike, like the one carried out on Iraq’s nuclear facility in 1981.
(6) Iran is manufacturing various missiles, chief among them being the Shahab-3, whose range of 1300 km (793 mi) allows it to reach Israel. It is designed to carry up to a 700-kilogram conventional warhead. But the Iranians are currently developing the Shihab 4 and 5, with ranges of 3000 km (1830 mi) and 6000 km (3660 mi), which puts all of Europe in its sights, and these both missiles will be able to carry chemical, nuclear, and biological weapons.
(7) At the same time that Iran and Syria are attempting to manufacture weapons of mass destructions, and the missiles to deliver them, they are also building up their conventional arsenal of weapons. Iran has been making its own tanks, armored personnel carriers, and fighter planes, inside its own borders for some time. They have been guided by the designs of weaponry supplied to them by North Korea, Russia, and even China in both their conventional and non-conventional programs of weaponry development. The huge payments from the Iranian oil money have, for some time, helped to keep the Russian Economy afloat, and the North Korean economy from completely collapsing.
I do not believe there will be a nuclear, biological or chemical war in the Middle East. I have long been convinced of this. It will be a great war, but only conventional weapons will be used. I will not rule out the possibility of some being used at Armageddon, but I really don’t believe they will be launched even then.
Another Reason I Believe Iran would not launch the First WMD Missile
March 3, 2006 Blog
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
In several previous Blogs I have made the case that Iran would never launch
the first atomic missile against Israel. We ran this December 5, 2005 article from Jane’s Weekly previously, but I am running it again to add to the reasons I have given in many updates and Blogs as to why I do not fear a nuclear war in the Middle East. Sure, I would much prefer that Iran not possess a nuclear warhead, but I am not nearly as concerned about it as the majority of prophecy teachers. I am confident the next Middle East war will be fought by conventional weapons.
The nation of Israel has a superb anti-missile defense and the capability to launch hundreds of Jericho Missiles, carrying a wide variety of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), from the Negev. Iran, along with the rest of the Islamic nations, knows that Israel has the capacity to void their very existence as a people and as nations across the Middle East. And they also know that Israel will not launch WMD’s against them, unless they first launch against Israel.
I believe that Israel is perfectly satisfied it can knock down any Shihab-3 Missile before it reaches the eastern border of Israel.
It is far more advantageous for the nations of Islam to fight a war using only conventional weapons. They outnumber the Israelis and it will be to their advantage to fight a conventional war. To attempt to fight a nuclear war, in which the United States would be free morally to launch against the Arab nations in the eyes of the international community, if they launched first against Israel, would be the height of stupidity. Iran may be a fanatical nation of Islamic extremism, but in their cold hatred of Israel, they are coolly cunning, and realize a first strike against Israel would bring about their end as a people and as a nation.
Begin Jane’s Defense Weekly Article
Jane’s Defense Weekly
5 December 2005
Israel’s Anti-ballistic Missile Test Pushes Altitude Boundaries
By Alon Ben-David JDW Correspondent
Tel Aviv
Israel’s anti-ballistic missile Arrow Weapon System (AWS) successfully intercepted a target simulating an Iranian Shahab-3 medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM) in a test over the Mediterranean on 2 December.
The interception was conducted at a record low altitude, considered below the AWS’s performance envelope, and determined the operability of the Arrow II Block 3 interceptor, manufactured jointly by Israel Aircraft Industries (IAI) and Boeing Integrated Defense Systems.
“We have never before tried the Arrow against the Shahab characteristics, but we know now that we are capable of intercepting all existing ballistic missile threats in the region, whether conventional or non-conventional, and we are developing capabilities to deal with future threats,” Director of the Israel Missile Defence Organisation Arieh Herzog told JDW.
Following the interception, IAF’s MIM-104 Patriot low- to high-altitude air-defence batteries joined the test, simulating an additional interception at lower altitude. Israel’s ballistic missile defence concept is based on a two-tier layered defence in which the AWS constitutes the higher layer and the Patriot an additional, lower layer.
End Jane’s Weekly Report of December 5, 2005
I am sure that Israel has done a lot more testing and correcting on the Arrow Missile Systems since last December, and transformed the Arrow into a highly efficient anti-missile weapon.
FAIR USE NOTICE: This site contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes.
For more detailed information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml. You may use material originated by this site. However, if you wish to use any quoted copyrighted material from this site, which did not originate at this site, for purposes of your own that go beyond ‘fair use’, you must obtain permission from the copyright owner from which we extracted it.