Israel has resources necessary for successful strike on Iran Nuke Facilities,
According to the Washington Center for Strategic International Studies!
If Diplomacy with Iran Fails to Halt Iran’s drive for a Nuclear Arsenal,
Netanyahu & Peres say no Israeli option left except military One!
It appears Israel will give diplomacy a chance for rest of 2009,
But then Israel Will be Forced to Stop Iran’s Nuke Program!
The Next 7 & ½ Months of Diplomacy WILL be Interesting,
Glad I picked 2010 to 2015 window as war start Time!
Follow up to ‘Now or Never’ Blog December 4, 2008,
Which Follows The Current Blog Of April 16, 2009,
Manifests
The Powder Keg Air STRIKE Potential
To Generate the Final war as early as 2010!
WILL Israel STRIKE Iran’s NUKE Facilities?
I can’t make up my mind EITHER Way,
But if I HAD to make SUCH A Guess,
It would choose that she Won’t!
But either way the war Attack
2010 to 2015 is on Target!
April 16, 2009
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Begin Excerpt from Israel News Net
Iran says Israel planning to attack its nuclear facilities
Israel News.Net
Wednesday 15th April, 2009 (ANI)
Washington, Apr. 15: Iranian ambassador to the United Nations Muhammad Hazai has filed a complaint in the Security Council, claiming that Israel plans to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Hazai wrote a letter to Council’s President Claude Heller, insisting that Israel was threatening to attack Iran, and urged the international body to demand Israel’s reply as it was of violating the UN charter.
Hazai was responding to recent comments by Israeli officials, including President Shimon Peres and IDF Deputy Chief of General Staff Maj.-Gen. Dan Harel, who implied that the state had the military capability to carry out such an attack if it needed to.
“Iranian President Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad recruits forces against us, but there are also forces against him,” Kol Hai Radio quoted Peres, as saying.
Peres went on to say that he hoped US President Barack Obama’s call for dialogue with Ahmadinejad would be heeded, but warned that if such talks don’t soften the Iranian president’s approach “we’ll strike him.”
Begin Excerpt from DEBKA-Net-Weekly Exclusive
Israel’s Air & Missile Forces Could Wipe out Iran’s Nuclear Sites
DEBKA-Net-Weekly Exclusive Updated by DEBKAfile
April 15, 2009, 12:00 PM (GMT+02:00)
The detailed report compiled by the Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS) in Washington last month, complete with graphs and diagrams, has been reprinted in thousands of copies in Tehran. It is compulsory reading for its intelligence and Revolutionary Guards personnel because the Study on a Possible Israeli Strike on Iran’s Nuclear Development Facilities concludes that the Jewish state has all the resources necessary for a successful strike.
When asked recently, Adm. Mike Mullen, Chairman of the Joint US Chiefs of Staff, agreed with this estimate. This week, president Shimon Peres and prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu both said that if diplomacy failed to halt Iran’s nuclear activities, Israel would be left with no option other than the military one. And Tuesday, April 14, the New York Times quoted an Israeli official as saying that Jerusalem would give the Obama administration until late 2009 to stop Iran’s uranium enrichment projects; after that, Israel will be forced to act.
Tehran responded with a complaint to the UN Security Council demanding that Israel be condemned for “its threats against a sovereign state.”
For the past three years, US military and intelligence sources have used attributed and leaked assessments to the American media to emphasize that such an operation is beyond Israel’s capabilities because of the nuclear facilities’ wide distribution across Iran.
At best, they maintained, the Israeli Air Force might knock out a few Iranian nuclear installations, but only enough to put Iran nuclear drive temporarily on hold.
The CSIS paper refutes this assessment and maintains there is no need to destroy dozens or hundreds of sites; the destruction of seven to nine targets would be enough to cripple the Iranian program, and lists them as follows:
1. Lashkar A’bad, site of secret uranium enrichment plants in the north near the Turkish border.
2. Tehranb, for the central laboratory for developing atomic armaments as well as more uranium enrichment facilities.
3. Arak, in central Iran, where a heavy water plant is under construction to manufacture plutonium for weapons.
4. Isfahan, in central Iran, near which a small research reactor and a cluster of laboratories for uranium enrichment, centrifuges and weapons development, are situated.
5. Natanz, the main center for uranium enrichment.
6. Ardekan, at the southern tip of Iran, where more uranium enrichment facilities are located.
7. Saghand, Iran’s main uranium mining region.
8. Bushehr, on the Persian Gulf shore, Iran’s biggest nuclear reactor built by Russia.
9. Gachin, near the Strait of Hormuz, the site of more uranium mines and enrichment facilities.
Complicated tables set forth an array of technical details showing how many PG bombs Israeli Air Force F16I or F15F bomber-fighter planes can carry, how much fuel is needed to reach their Iranian targets, and at what stage of their return journey they would need to refuel.
This think tank finds Israel has enough aircraft as well as the necessary intelligence and electronic resources for the task – contrary to previous estimates.
The authors propose three attack routes for a potential Israeli operation against Iran: an eastern route over Saudi Arabia; a central route over Iraq, and a northern route over Turkey, Syria and northern Iraqi Kurdistan. They point to the third as Israel’s best option in view of the superiority of its electronic warfare (EW) capabilities.
This is the first time a detailed and accurate description of these capabilities, and a description of how they were put to use in the Israeli raid on the North Korean-built plutonium reactor in Dar az-Zawr, Syria, on September, 2007, has ever been published.
PREVIOUS BLOG ON THE SAME SUBJECT December 4, 2008
Will Israel bomb Sites before January 21?
Iranian military do believe they will Attack,
It is Now or Never for Israeli Strike On Iran!
I have never been SURE one way or the Other!
But analyzing all pros and cons presented Today,
Let’s me think the possibility will lower next Year!
There was a time when Israel never seemed to Bluff,
It’s difficult to tell now because they bluff all the Time!
And the title of the heading on the JP Article may be One:
‘IDF preparing options for strike at Iran without US Assent’
Consider the Two Articles from Jerusalem Post & DEBKAfile:
Iran & Israel since 1979 show a constant counterbluffing Pattern,
But at some point in time between 2010 and 2015 the bluffs will End,
And the last great Middle East war of the Age of the Gentiles will Begin!
December 4, 2008
http://www.tribulationperiod.com’
Begin Excerpt from Jerusalem Post
IDF preparing options for strike at Iran without US Assent
December 4, 2008
Yaakov Katz , THE JERUSALEM POST
The IDF is drawing up options for a strike on Iranian nuclear facilities that do not include coordination with the United States, The Jerusalem Post has learned.
While its preference is to coordinate with the US, defense officials have said Israel is preparing a wide range of options for such an operation.
“It is always better to coordinate,” one top Defense Ministry official explained last week. “But we are also preparing options that do not include coordination.”
Israeli officials have said it would be difficult, but not impossible, to launch a strike against Iran without receiving codes from the US Air Force, which controls Iraqi airspace. Israel also asked for the codes in 1991 during the First Gulf War, but the US refused.
“There are a wide range of risks one takes when embarking on such an operation,” a top Israeli official said.
Several news reports have claimed recently that US President George W. Bush has refused to give Israel a green light for an attack on Iranian facilities. One such report, published in September in Britain’s Guardian newspaper, claimed that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert requested a green light to attack Iran in May but was refused by Bush.
In September, a Defense News article on an early warning radar
system the US recently sent to Israel quoted a US government source who said the X-band deployment and other bilateral alliance-bolstering activities send parallel messages:
“First, we want to put Iran on notice that we’re bolstering our capabilities throughout the region, and especially in Israel. But just as important, we’re telling the Israelis, ‘Calm down, behave. We’re doing all we can to stand by your side and strengthen defenses, because at this time, we don’t want you rushing into the military option.'”
The “US European Command (EUCOM) has deployed to Israel a high-powered X-band radar and the supporting people and equipment needed for coordinated defense against Iranian missile attack, marking the first permanent US military presence on Israeli soil,” Defense News wrote. The radar will shave several precious minutes off Israel’s reaction time to an Iranian missile launch.
In a related article at about the same time, TIME magazine raised the possibility that through the deployment of the radar, America wants to keep an eye on Israeli airspace, so that the US is not surprised if and when the IAF is sent to bomb Iran, a scenario Washington wants to avoid.
The US army sent 120 EUCOM personnel to Israel’s Nevatim Air Base southeast of Beersheba to man the new radar.
Last week, Iran’s nuclear chief Gholam Reza Aghazadeh revealed that the country was operating more than 5,000 centrifuges at its uranium enrichment plant in Natanz and would continue to install centrifuges and enrich uranium to produce nuclear fuel for the country’s future nuclear power plants.
“At this point, more than 5,000 centrifuges are operating in Natanz,” said Aghazadeh, who is also the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran. This represents a signific
ant increase from the 4,000 Iran had said were up and running in August at the plant.
The Islamic republic has said it plans to move toward large-scale uranium enrichment that will ultimately involve 54,000 centrifuges.
Israeli officials said last week that the drop in oil prices and the continued sanctions on Iran were having an effect, although they had yet to stop Teheran’s nuclear program. The officials said that while Iran was making technological advancements, it would not have the necessary amount of highly-enriched uranium for a nuclear bomb until late 2009.
“There is still time and there is no need to rush into an operation right now,” another Israeli official said. “The regime there is already falling apart and will likely no longer be in power 10 years from now.”
The IAF was preparing for a wide range of options, OC Air Force Maj.-Gen. Ido Nehushtan recently said, adding that all it would take to launch an operation was a decision by the political echelon.
“The air force is a very robust and flexible force,” he told Der Spiegel. “We are ready to do whatever is demanded of us.”
On Monday, Teheran dismissed the possibility of an Israeli strike, saying it didn’t take Israel seriously.
“We think that regional and international developments and the complicated situation faced by Israel itself will not allow it to launch military strikes against other countries,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hassan Qashqavi told reporters in Teheran, according to the Press TV Web site. “Israel makes threats to promote its psychological and media warfare,” he said.
Begin Excerpt from DEBKAfile
Iran deploys 60-ship armada for massive war readiness maneuver
December 4, 2008, 9:37 AM (GMT+02:00)
Wednesday, Dec. 3, the Iranian navy and air force began a six-day maneuver of marine and air might which Tehran radio said would cover an area of 50,000 square miles of the Persian Gulf, the Sea of Oman and the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has threatened to block the narrow strait if attacked. Admiral Qasem Rostamabadi said its aim is to “increase the level of readiness of Iran’s naval forces and test domestically-made naval weaponry.”
This is stage two of a larger exercise dubbed Unity-87, DEBKAfile’s military sources report.
Air strikes against “which sank big enemy vessels” were said to be part of the war game, a clear reference to American air carriers, three of which are now present in waters opposite Iran.
Iranian Navy chief Adm. Habibollah Sayyari boasted Wednesday: “Iran has pushed back the frontiers of naval capabilities to become the decisive maritime force in the region.”
DEBKAfile’s Iranian sources report that the exercise is part of Tehran’s preparations for a US and/or Israeli attack on its nuclear installations and Revolutionary Guards bases which its political, military and intelligence strategists are convinced is on the way ahead of Barak Obama’s January 21 inauguration as US president.
Tuesday, Chairman of Iran’s Expediency Council Ayatollah Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani called the United States “the main enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran.” He was speaking on the thirtieth anniversary of Iran’s post-revolutionary parliament (Majlis).
A senior Iranian official visiting Abu Dhabi at the end of November said that Obama’s decision to retain Robert Gates at the Pentagon was taken in Tehran as further confirmation of the coming attack in view of which he had resolved not to change war horses.
Naming Hillary Clinton as secretary of state and Gen.
James Jones as national security adviser was also interpreted as the harnessing of backers for an open military option. Every effort made to persuade the Iranians that Washington was not about to exercise this option has fallen on deaf ears.
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