Guerilla Warfare is much more difficult in Air and at Sea than on Land!

Guerilla Warfare is much more difficult in Air and at Sea than on Land!

March 28, 2007

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The raw unpopular truth in the Middle East is that Arabs and Persians dominate its terra firma by guerilla warfare, while we control the water around it, and the air above it. Naturally, they have no desire to give us a legitimate international excuse to completely unleash our two major advantages on the military installations in their sponsoring countries.

The natural intrinsic advantage of guerilla warfare is topography and

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natural botanical cover and, since these two elements of the creation are in short supply on the open sea, the Persians and Arabs are at a great disadvantage against the huge naval forces of the West. Our ability to pick apart specific targets by ship launched missiles, and smart bombs from aircraft, is also well documented in the Middle East by numerous past performances.

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What we need to hit the Iranian missile and nuclear sites in Iran is an international justification, sufficient in magnitude to justify it to the extent China and Russia would not retaliate against us.

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Iran is more than familiar with these premises, and will be very careful to not create a situation where we would immediately attack her from the air

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and sea, and be justified internationally in so doing.

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I suspect we are hoping against hope that Iran will make such a boo-boo!

If Iran makes a big enough boo-boo in the Persian Gulf to justify strikes against her, it would be catastrophic for her military installations, and she is well aware of it.

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The massive naval operation described in the DEBKAfile article, which follows, is to remind Iran of the West’s control of the air and sea.

Begin DEBKAfile Report

DEBKAfile reports: More than 10,000 US personnel, two aircraft carriers and 100 warplanes begin biggest simulated demonstration of force in Gulf since the 2003 invasion of Iraq

March 27, 2007, 3:50 PM (GMT+02:00)

DEBKAfile’s military sources note that the exercise was launched March 27 the day before the Arab League summit opens in Riyadh, to demonstrate the Bush administration’s determination not to let Iran block the Strait of Hormuz to oil exports from the Persian Gulf, or continue its nuclear program.

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Taking part are the USS Stennis and USS Eisenhower strike forces.

With Iran’s Revolutionary Guards one week into their marine maneuvers, military tensions in the Gulf region are skyrocketing and boosting world oil prices.

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Intelligence sources in Moscow claim to have information that a US strike against Iranian nuclear installations has been scheduled for April 6 at 0040 hours. The Russian sources say the US operation, code-named “Bite,” will last no more than 12 hours and consist of missile and aerial strikes devastating enough to set Tehran’s nuclear program several years back.

The maneuver also occurs four days after 14 British seamen and one crew-woman were seized by an Iranian Revolutionary Guards warship, with no sign that their release is imminent.

London insists its marines were on routine patrol on the Iraqi side of the Shatt al Arb on behalf of the Iraqi government.

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Tony Blair has threatened “a new phase” in the crisis if

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the captured personnel are not speedily released.

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The warplanes are flying simulated attack maneuvers on enemy shipping with aircraft and ships, hunting enemy submarines and seeking mines, off the coast of Iran.

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US Navy Cmdr Kevin Aandahl declined to say when the maneuver was planned or how long it would last. He said US warships would stay out of Iranian territorial waters up to 12 miles from the Iranian coast. Tehran does not recognize this limit and claims a deeper stretch of water.

Our military sources explain the presence of the French naval strike group led by the nuclear aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle which joined the two US carriers last Friday: The group will carry out security missions in the Arabian Sea and its warplanes fly in support of NATO in Afghanistan.

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