Two Things Must Happen Before Final Middle East War!
March 12, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
I have repeatedly stated that two things must happen before Israel is attacked by the final coalition of Arab nations, which eventually ends at Armageddon some three and one-half years later. These two things are among the reasons for my guesstimate of the initial attack occurring at some point in time between 2008 and 2012.
1. American troops must be out of Iraq.
2. Iran must have a nuclear weapon.
Iran and Syria have no desire to directly face American ground and air forces in a
face to face showdown.
It would be impossible to form a link of weapons, men, and material flowing freely through Iraq to Syria and Lebanon from Iran with American troops still in Iraq. A coalition of Islamic forces will not attack Israel until American troops are pulled out of Israel.
Iran will not attack Israel until Iran has deliverable nuclear warheads in its arsenal. Iran wants them as a deterrent against Israel launching its nuclear warheads, once Israel sees
itself being driven into the Negev.
A large coalition of Islamic nations will not attack Israel until Iran has nuclear warhead deterrent capability.
When I first made my estimate of the initial Jihad attack occurring between 2008 and 2012, I figured the earliest (1) and (2) could occur was 2008, and the latest would be 2012. So far, the estimates of the two events coming to fruition have fallen within that time frame, as is the case in the two latest articles which follow.
Begin Middle East News Letter Report
Subject: IRAN COULD BUILD FIRST NUKE DEVICE IN 6 MONTHS
IRAN COULD BUILD FIRST NUKE DEVICE IN 6 MONTHS
March 10, 2007
LONDON [MENL] — Iran could assemble its first nuclear bomb within six months, a report said.
The London-based Oxford Research Group asserted that Iran could launch a rash program to produce its first crude nuclear weapon by late 2007.
The ORG report said Teheran could begin such a program should the United States launch air strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.
“It would be a bit like deciding to build a car from spare parts instead of building the entire car factory,” the report said. “Put simply, military attacks could speed Iran’s progress to a nuclear bomb.”
The report, released on March 5, said Iran was not planning to turn nuclear for another few years. British nuclear scientist Frank Barnaby, author of the report, said Teheran appeared to be seeking to achieve nuclear weapons capability in 2012.
Begin Excerpt from Jerusalem Post Article
World must act to stop Ahmadinejad’
ELLIS WEINTRAUB, THE JERUSALEM POST
March 10, 2007
Iran could achieve nuclear weapons capability in one to two years, and the world must act collectively to stop Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s “sick boast”
that he will wipe out Israel, Dr.
Victor Davis Hanson, nationally syndicated columnist and policy adviser to US President George W. Bush, told The Jerusalem Post.
In this wide-ranging interview, Hanson, a classical scholar, Senior Fellow at the Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and professor emeritus at California State University at Fresno, discusses Iran, Iraq, the Middle East and the West.
What steps should be taken on Iran by Israel, the United States, or the West in general?
I believe we have one to two years, a little more at best, so [the US] must up our military profile in the Gulf, pursue and enhance the UN sanctions, get the Europeans to stop selling this regime almost anything it wants (the EU is Iran’s largest trading partner), work with neighboring Arab states, and collapse the price of oil to below $50 a barrel, which would cut off the petrol wealth
of this corrupt and shaky regime.
How dangerous is an atomic Iran? Would they use the bomb?
No one knows exactly to what extent Ahmadinejad is typical of the current leadership. My guess is that he is seen as a useful pit bull whose barking whips up Islamic solidarity, but whose leash the mullahs are not ready to cut loose until they have the bomb.
This sort of extremist Persian Shia fervor nullifies classical deterrence. Would such madmen be willing to lose 40 million [citizens] so that the martyred would be in paradise and the survivors eternally boasting that the despised Persian Shi’ites were the true jihadists of Islam who took out the Zionist entity
?
The world must act collectively; it cannot expect that 60 years after the Holocaust an Israeli prime minister will sit idly by while a Persian dictator first promises to wipe out the “one-bomb” state, and then proceeds to obtain the means to fulfill that sick boast.
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