Netanyahu’s strong conservative party hand has been weakened by Israel Election.
US now giving up Middle East influence across the zone as Russia and China Gain,
But US and the West will maintain a Nuclear Umbrella over it as will the Russians.
Middle East Arab Spring Activities Will continue throughout Obama’s Presidency,
But 10 Islamic nations will unite under the umbrella after Obams Administration.
Antichrist will then lead them against Israel driving her into Negev Wilderness,
She Will Remain Surrounded under a Protective Umbrella Till the 2nd Advent!
January 23, 2013
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Begin our Archive BLOG Issued on August 27, 2010
I don’t believe we are headed into a thermonuclear War
I’ve Never said the last 1260 tribulation days were Nuclear
But I do admit a chance of the use of nuclear war at last Battle
A Conventional Middle East War begins under a Nuclear Umbrella
That will end at the Second Advent at the last battle of Armageddon
August 27, 2010
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Begin Quote of Archive Special Prophecy Update Number 187A
Special Prophecy Update Number 187A
August 29, 2004
Atomic War in Israel – Yes or No? – Number 2
More than a year ago I issued Special Prophecy Update Number 129C, titled “Atomic War in Israel, Yes or No?” I would like to reaffirm my belief in its validity in Number 2.
The original Update 129C, issued July 23, 2003, was as follows:
BEGIN QUOTE OF ARCHIVE SPECIAL PROPHECY UPDATE NR 129C
Issued July 23, 2003
“One of the main reasons I wrote three books on prophecy in the late seventies and early eighties was to establish a case advocated by teachers of the pre-World War II era. It was, simply stated, that man would not destroy the earth with his weaponry, but rather that God would destroy the earth by the use of this own power. I am certain that the horrifying changes in the topography of Israel, as well as the terrifying destruction of the antichrist’s forces at Armageddon, are by the awesome power of God, not atomic, chemical, or biological weapons of man. The lifting of the land from Geba to Rimmon south of Jerusalem, the breaking up of Jerusalem into three sections, the splitting of the Mount of Olives, and the consuming of the flesh, tongues, and eyes of the antichrist’s men are natural phenomena unleashed by God, not by man. All the Scriptures dealing with these phenomena unleashed by God are covered in Birth Pang and Prophecy Archives.
There are many advocates of a great atomic, chemical, and biological war in Israel when the antichrist attacks 1260 days before Armageddon. It might happen at the time of Armageddon, but the initial attack will start what amounts to a non-nuclear, non-chemical, and non-biological war. So why am I so confident and outspoken about this being the case?
Israel has numerous extremely well concealed missile sites in the Negev between Beersheba and the Gulf of Aqabah.
(1) It has more than 300 nuclear, chemical, and biological warheads to mount on Jericho missiles.
(2) The Jericho is a very accurate missile, and can hit a target in any Islamic country from Morocco to Pakistan and from Turkey to Yemen.
(3) Israel has an excellent anti-missile defense to protect its array of silos, warheads, and missiles. It is able to pick up an incoming enemy missile launched from Syria before it reaches it maximum altitude.
(4) So why do I believe this array of WMD will not be unleashed by Israel when it is attacked? Because the Israeli War Contingency Plan of Israel directs that WMD will not be launched against a foreign nation unless they are first launched against Israel.
(5) So how do I know the Islamic countries will not launch WMD in their initial attack? All of them are well aware of what is listed in (1) through (5)! The former Soviet Union, which it existed, shared Israeli intelligence information with Syria, which it collected over a long period of time from its hundreds of spy satellites it launched from pads between Moscow and the White Sea, and on the eastern side of the Aral Sea. Syria, in turn, has shared it with some of the other Islamic countries around Israel. Only a leader possessed of rank insanity would ever launch WMD first against Israel, which is why I was so relieved when Saddam Hussein was taken out of the way.
Many believe the United States will quickly rush to the aid of Israel, and, as the world’s greatest power, will immediately deliver her from any kind of attack she can’t handle. There are two problems with this idea: (1) The United States believes Israel can defeat any Islamic attack on its own without any help from us. After all, Israel has easily done so in three previous wars and, (2) This will be a lightning Jihad, and better coordinated than any of the previous wars, and this time Israel will have a Palestinian state attacking it from within, while the other Islamic nations come in from outside its borders. It will probably last less than a couple of weeks, and Jerusalem is likely to fall within four days. By the time we decide they must have our help it will be too late, because they will have occupied most of the land from Dan to Beersheba. It would take months, as it did in Operation Desert Storm and Operation Freedom Iraq, to get enough American troops on the ground to do any good.
What was the character of Israel’s past three wars? They were all very short in duration, and they all ended abruptly in a truce. That will be the case in this war. The United States knows that the Negev is the place where Israel will flee. When we believe they are safely in the Negev, we will be more than willing to accept a truce to give us time to think about what to do, and Israel will remain trapped in the Negev for some three and one-half years.
The part played by the United States during this period of three and one-half years is interspersed throughout our Birth Pang and Prophecy Archives, with some of it in Prophecy Updates 8 through 11, 32 & 33, and 74 & 75.”
(END QUOTE OF UPDATE 129C).
(CONTINUE QUOTE OF UPDATE 187A)
Since Update 129C was issued, several noteworthy things have come to pass that reduce the likelihood of a nuclear war in the Middle East. The area is headed toward a situation where both sides will realize a nuclear war would leave the victor, or victors, in such a powerless state, that any future they might have would be desolate, and leave them in a position of great vulnerability to the rest of the oil consuming nations. Some of these noteworthy recent events, which would tend to create a standoff, such as the one that developed between the United States and the once mighty Soviet Union, are as follows:
(1) Syria now has a better Scud than the Scud B. The Scud D missile, considered to be the most sophisticated weapon of its kind, is now in the hands of the Syrian military. It is able to deliver nuclear, chemical, or biological multiple warheads to their targets in Israel from Syria.
(2) The jointly developed American-Israeli Arrow 2 missile successfully launched an Arrow 2 missile that destroyed a Scud B over the Pacific Ocean earlier this year. The Arrow 2 is designed to intercept an enemy missile before it reaches its peak altitude, far from Israeli territory. However, in a recent test against the Scud D, it failed to intercept the detached warhead. It was not a complete failure, and the results are in the process of being analyzed. Israel says it can still effectively destroy the Scud D.
(3) Syria also maintains a sizeable ballistic missile arsenal and, like Iran, is active in upgrading and expanding its capabilities.
(4) In June Iran announced it is building its first stealth missile, a rocket that can evade electronic detection. The missile was named Kowsar, in honor of the Kowsar river in paradise, which is found in the Koran, the Holy Book of Islam. Iran announced it would be capable of hitting ships and aircraft.
(5) Iran is continuing to steam toward development of its own nuclear bomb, which many believe it could develop as early as next year. It is now going underground, and spreading out its nuclear development sites in order to limit the damage that could be incurred by an Israeli air strike, like the one carried out on Iraq’s nuclear facility in 1981.
(6) Iran is manufacturing various missiles, chief among them being the Shahab-3, whose range of 1300 km (793 mi) allows it to reach Israel. It is designed to carry up to a 700-kilogram conventional warhead. But the Iranians are currently developing the Shihab 4 and 5, with ranges of 3000 km (1830 mi) and 6000 km (3660 mi), which puts all of Europe in its sights, and these both missiles will be able to carry chemical, nuclear, and biological weapons.
(7) At the same time that Iran and Syria are attempting to manufacture weapons of mass destructions, and the missiles to deliver them, they are also building up their conventional arsenal of weapons. Iran has been making its own tanks, armored personnel carriers, and fighter planes, inside its own borders for some time. They have been guided by the designs of weaponry supplied to them by North Korea, Russia, and even China in both their conventional and non-conventional programs of weaponry development. The huge payments from the Iranian oil money have, for some time, helped to keep the Russian Economy afloat, and the North Korean economy from completely collapsing.
I do not believe there will be a nuclear, biological or chemical war in the Middle East. I have long been convinced of this. It will be a great war, but only conventional weapons will be used. I will not rule out the possibility of some being used at Armageddon, but I really don’t believe they will be launched even them.
It is no secret that, if left unchecked, Iran is determined to become a global nuclear power with long range nuclear missiles that could strike Europe, plus NATO and American forces within a 3600 mile radius, and the United States and Israel are determined to not let that happen.
End Quote of Archive Update 187A Issued in 2004
Begin DEBKAfile Special Report
Russia lifts nationals out of Syria. Moscow, Iran arm Assad for major armored push
DEBKAfile Special Report
January 21, 2013, 10:19 PM (+02:00)
The Russian emergency ministry said Monday, Jan. 21 that it is sending two planes to Beirut to evacuate 100 Russians from Syria – the first such effort since the uprising against Bashar Assad began in March 2011. Moscow also announced contingency plans to lift 30,000 Russian nationals from the embattled country.
This evacuation of Russian nationals starting Tuesday was decided after the Syrian high command received orders from President Assad to organize mobile armored strike groups with massive fire power for a big push to run the rebel forces out of the towns, villages and areas they have captured, mostly in the north and southeast.
DEBKAfile’s military sources report that, because they are in a hurry, the Syrian army chiefs decided to use only seasoned officers and men with experience in active service against the rebels, rather than new recruits who would need weeks of combat training. The divisions or brigades holding the line in such trouble spots as Aleppo, Homs and Deraa, are being depleted, some of their units detached for service in the new armored strike groups.
Our sources report that Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps officers are supervising the effort for what Assad sees as his biggest assault yet to finally crush the revolt against his regime.
Its timing marks two fundamental developments in Syria’s bloody civil war:
1. The self-confidence of Assad and his top military staff is gaining in direct contrast to the weakening of the insurgency. It was therefore decided in Damascus that the time was ripe for a major offensive to push the rebels out of the strategic areas from which they could threaten central government.
2. Western-Arab arms supplies to the rebels have slowed down steeply because the funding from Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAR has dried up. The high-grade weapons still in rebel hands were mostly looted from Syrian army bases and stores.
3.According to DEBKAfile’s military sources, Russian officials up to the level of President Vladimir Putin examined the Iranian-Syrian armored strike group tactics and approved.
These developments, according to Western intelligence sources familiar with the Syrian situation, explain the recently intensified coordination between Moscow, Tehran and Damascus and the resulting accelerated flow of Russian and Iranian weapons to the Syrian army.
Russian arms ships are lining up at the Syrian port of Tartus to unload their freights, while Iranian air transports are touching down and taking off at speed from Damascus and Aleppo military airports.
Arms deliveries are coming in aboard large Russian naval vessels, including the Azov and Aklexander Shabalin landing craft, the amphibious Kaliningrad and others.
To camouflage heir rapid movements in and out of Tartus, the Russian navy Sunday, Jan. 20, announced a large-scale sea maneuver would take place in the Mediterranean up until Jan. 29. None of the ships taking part in the drill were identified except to say that they came from Russia’s Baltic, North and Black Sea fleets.
Our military sources report that the Russian deliveries consist mainly of armored vehicles, self-propelling recoilless guns, all-purpose vehicles for rough terrain and a variety of missiles and rockets for combat in built-up areas – all items clearly designed to outfit Assad’s new armored strike units.
Tehran, for its part, is sending ammo, spare parts for Syrian tanks and artillery and missiles.
According to those sources, the Syrian army plans to kick off its new offensive at Daraya, a small town near Damascus which is held by the Free Syrian Army.
Begin Series of Excerpts from Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs/ Daily Alert
January 23, 2013
Excerpt 1 – New York Times
As Elections Near, Protesters in Jordan Increasingly Turn Anger Toward the King
Kareem Fahim
New York Times
For two years, protests in Jordan demanding reform have seethed, fueled by complaints about corruption, incompetent governing and the slow pace of change. The protests have also started to broaden, to include bolder expressions of dissatisfaction with King Abdullah II. To quiet his critics, the king is relying on a new round of parliamentary elections scheduled for Wednesday to “breathe life into our democracy.” The Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood and the protest network Hirak are boycotting the vote. (New York Times)
Excerpt 2 – Washington Post
Missed Opportunities for Reform in Jordan
Editorial
Washington Post
The Jordanian parliamentary election scheduled for Wednesday represents another missed opportunity for the regime of King Abdullah II. The electoral system is engineered to block the two political forces most threatening to the regime: the Muslim Brotherhood and Palestinians, who outnumber Jordan’s native population. Gerrymandered districts that leave Palestinian areas underrepresented, and a limitation of party lists to 27 of the parliament’s 150 seats, ensure that local tribal leaders will once again predominate in the assembly.
The idea that autocracy can survive in a country that borders Israel and Iraq as well as Syria is a delusion. If change in Jordan does not soon come from the palace, it will come from the street. (Washington Post)
Excerpt 3 – AP
Syrians Struggle with Shortages as Economy Buckles
Bassem Mroue
Syria’s economy is buckling under the strains of violence and sanctions that have sapped the government’s finances, devastated the nation’s cities and left its industry and infrastructure in ruins. Grappling with severe fuel shortages and winter temperatures that drop below freezing, Syrians are spending hours in line every day for gasoline or a few loaves of bread at soaring prices.
Dubai-based Syrian economist Samir Seifan said that despite the ravaged economy, the regime is surviving due to assistance from Iran, which has provided billions of dollars since the crisis began in March 2011. (AP)
Begin Excerpt from DEBKAfire Exclusive Analysis
To build a viable government, Netanyahu needs Lapid
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis
January 23, 2013, 8:56 AM (GMT+02:00)
Confronted by disappointing election results, outgoing Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu inevitably announced that Israeli needs a government as broadly based as possible and he has embarked on the task of building one. With his Likud-Beitenu bloc in command of only 31 out of 120 Knesset seats, he must build a government from a large number of scrappy parties. But above all, the new landscape Netanyahu faces is dominated by newcomer Yair Lapid, a former journalist and broadcaster, an avowed centrist with no former political or administrative experience. The voter awarded his Future party, an unknown quantity, a brilliant 19 seats.
Lapid has therefore strongly upstaged Labor’s Shelley Yacimovitch, who ran for election as alternative prime minister and ended up with only 15 seats. She now promises to lead a fighting opposition in the 19th Knesset elected Tuesday, Jan. 22. This pledge may not be her last word either. Lapid has been catapulted into position for determining whether Netanyahu commands a majority government or a bloc in deadlock with a left-of-center-plus-Arab bloc, aimed for by the Labor leader.
The official election results to be published Thursday morning may break this deadlock one way or the other.
Still to be counted are the “double envelopes” including the army ballots. The military turnout was 80 percent, much higher than the national figure of 66.6 percent of 5.6 eligible voters.
Lapid’s first comment indicated he was open to joining a Netanyahu government on certain terms – namely, policy changes. Netanyahu, whose combined Likud-Israel Beitenu alliance shed one-third of its parliamentary strength, may well opt for an initial deal with Lapid’s Future on the key issues of budget, security, peace talks, the social gap, national service for Yeshiva seminarists and perks for the middle class, to gain a 50-seat foundation for his new lineup. This foundation and an agreed set of guidelines would arm Netanyahu with a solid starting- point for horse-trading with additional partners for completing the coalition.
Netanyahu’s alternative to this strategy is to call a new election in short order. He hinted that this was on the cards when he first saw his party’s letdown, but by now must realize that there was no guarantee another vote would offer him a better outcome than this one.
The Future leader faces the enormous challenge of being jumped into high authority in the face of grim challenges with no experience in government or even parliament. He must at the same time whip his equally inexperienced faction into a functioning ruling party and choose which takes up ministerial posts for working alongside the vastly more experienced Likud ministers. Lapid’s failure to raise his fledging party to maturity and hold it together will shorten its life span and send it the way of so many nascent partisan groups in the past.
Naftali Bennett’s Jewish Home, which would have been Netanyahu’s natural senior partner had the Israeli voter given him the same chance as Lapid instead of only 11 seats, will no doubt soon join the new government lineup. Like Lapid, he too is a tyro in government and politics.
On the other hand, Netanyahu, the most experienced Israeli politician of his day, is responsible for innumerable missteps in almost every field in the last two years of his term in office – culminating in his bungled campaign tactics. But for the country, having to get used to new, unknown faces in politics, ready to usher in the next era in Israel’s history, may not be a bad thing. In the natural order of things, they may start the process of easing the old school out.
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