I Have Been Working on THIS BLOG Since The END of October
And awoke this morning prior to a trip to a Little Rock Hospital
I am releasing it because interest events are happening in Iran
Iran has stepped away from Immediate Nuclear Bomb Creation!
November 9, 2012
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Some nontransparent talks have intermittently held since the first year of Obama’a first term, but without success. However, on a live microphone unknown to him, he was heard to whisper to the Russian President that “he would be able to be more flexible in negotiations after he was reelected.”
I prepared this current Blog to put up on October 31, 2012, but I have sometimes been uncertain about diplomatic dialogue between Iran and Obama due to changes on both sides as to the validity of what was said, and how both sides interpreted it, I did not issue in October for this reason, but decided to hold it until I received more information. I received a DEBKAfile Report on September 8.
I received the last Excerpt from YNet News early this morning.
2 Excerpts from UK Telegraph via Jerusalrm Center for Public Affairs/Daily Alert
October 31, 2012
http://www.tribulationperiod.som/
Israel’s Barak Says Iran Has Pulled Back from the Brink of Nuclear Weapon – For Now
David Blair
(Telegraph-UK)
Iran has drawn back from its ambition to build a nuclear weapon but the respite is only temporary and Tehran will still have to be confronted by next summer, Ehud Barak, the Israeli defense minister, said on Tuesday.
A crisis was avoided in the summer when Iran quietly chose to use over a third of its medium-enriched uranium for civilian purposes, delaying the moment when it could have built a nuclear bomb, Barak told the Daily Telegraph.
Iran delayed the “moment of truth” by “eight to 10 months,” but Barak predicted that sanctions and diplomacy would still fail to resolve the stand-off. If so, he said that Israel and its allies would probably face the decision over whether to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities in 2013.
He noted that during the past five years Tehran’s stockpile of enriched uranium had grown from 850 kg. to 6.8 tons.
Israel reserved the right to act alone, added Barak, who stated that any “operation against Iran” would be less dangerous “now” than when the country had crossed the nuclear threshold.
Iran Steps Back
Editorial
(Telegraph-UK)
In his interview, Ehud Barak, Israel’s defense minister, argues that Iran’s decision to consign a proportion of its enriched uranium stockpile to civilian use has averted a crisis. But that is only half the story. Iran still possesses significant quantities of enriched uranium, which could be used for a nuclear weapons program.
The ayatollahs may have decided to give themselves some breathing space by playing along with the IAEA’s demands, with the aim of returning to their nuclear weapons program once the international pressure has eased.
But that would be a grave miscalculation. The stand-off between Iran and the Western powers is unlikely to be resolved so long as Tehran fails to provide satisfactory guarantees that its remaining stockpiles of enriched uranium are for peaceful purposes, and not for making atomic bombs.
Barak believes that Israel now has the military capability to launch unilateral air strikes against Iran – and the Jewish state will not hesitate to use them while its existence remains under threat. (Telegraph-UK)
Begin Excerpt from DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
Obama aims to start nuclear talks with Iran next month
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
November 8, 2012, 11:10 AM (GMT+02:00)
After winning a second White House term, US President Barack Obama aims to start direct, fast-track nuclear talks with Tehran as soon as December, even before his January swearing-in, on the assumption that Iran’s window of opportunity is very narrow – just three months, DEBKAfile’s Washington sources disclose. White House go-betweens with the office of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warn that Iran’s campaign for the June 14 presidential election gets going in March. After than, it is estimated in Washington, that Khamenei, whose ill health keeps his working-day short, will be fully absorbed in a struggle to purge Iran’s political hierarchy of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his clique.
But Tehran would prefer nuclear diplomacy to be delayed for eight months until after that election. “We waited for the US election campaign to be over, so why shouldn’t the Americans wait for ours?” a senior Iranian official asked rhetorically.
For now, the supreme leader is looking for a suitable candidate for the presidency. This time, the supreme leader is not expected to make the mistake of choosing a charismatic, ambitious and competent figure like Ahmadinejad, but rather one who is satisfied with acting as a representative titular figure and play second fiddle to Khamenei whose bureau will administer the executive branch of government.
The supreme leader is believed in Washington to be weighing another alternative: having parliament abolish the post of president and transferring its powers to the new post of prime minister, who would be chosen from among the 290 Majlis lawmakers.
Speaker Ali Larijani and his brother, head of the judiciary Sadeq Larijani, have in the past year performed the spadework of sidelining Ahmadinejad’s parliamentary faction.
Ali Larijani himself is a front-runner for the job of Revolutionary Iran’s first prime minister.
The view in Washington today is that if nuclear talks do start in December and roll on into March, Khamenei will be compelled to cut the process short to escape potential accusations led by Ahmadinejad that he is handing to America concessions excessive enough to stall Iran’s nuclear aspirations.
The supreme leader can’t afford to have the Iran’s military establishment, the Revolutionary Guards and the street turn against him on this issue.
But in the last few days, Tehran appears to have taken a large step back from direct negotiations with Washington in principle. Just hours after Obama’s election victory was announced on Nov. 7, the official Iranian news agency quoted Sadeq Larijani as condemning US sanctions as “crimes against the Iranian people.” He said relations with America “cannot be possible overnight” and the US president should not expect rapid new negotiations with Tehran. “Americans should not think they can hold our nation to ransom by coming to the negotiating table,” was the Iranian judiciary head’s parting shot for Obama.
The gap between Washington and Tehran is as wide as ever: Obama wants the talks to last no more than three months and end in an agreed settlement of the nuclear dispute, whereas the ayatollah prefers a low-key process to be dragged out past the eight month-month period while also gaining more time for Iran’s nuclear program to race forward.
This tactic would additionally help Tehran erase yet another Israeli red line, the one set by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu in his UN September speech when he said that the spring or early summer of 2013 would be the critical date for Israel to act.
Begin Excerpt from latest YNet News via Reuters
Iran, UN nuclear agency plan December talks
IAEA hopes to resume stalled negotiations, investigation of Islamic Republic’s nuclear program after previous talks deadlocked
Reuters
November 9, 2012
Iran and the UN nuclear agency are planning to hold a new round of talks in mid-December in Tehran over the Islamic state’s disputed atomic program, diplomatic sources said on Friday.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) hoped to use the talks to reach an agreement that would allow it to resume a long-stalled investigation into possible military dimensions of Iran’s nuclear program, a senior diplomatic source said.
Iran denies Western allegations that it is trying to develop the capability to make nuclear weapons.
The last round of talks between the IAEA and Iran took place in August but failed to make concrete progress.
“The agency and Iran agreed to have talks mid-December,” the source told Reuters, adding they would take place in Tehran.
Dennis Ross, President Obama’s senior advisor on Middle East policy and Iran until a year ago, said Thursday that 2013 will be the decisive year for the Iranian nuclear issue.
According to Ross, 2013 is likely to see direct talks between the US and Iran, as well as a possible deterioration of the situation into war.
He expressed confidence in Obama, reelected Wednesday, as well as his resolution not to allow a nuclear Iran.
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