Memories of Crawling under Desks!
I AGREE WITH MEIR JAVEDANFOR
January 20, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
The schoolchildren of the fifties spent a lot of time on their knees under their desks during nuclear bomb exercises – Now Israeli and Arab kids will be doing the same after Iran gets a deliverable nuclear bomb. I did not believe for one minute after 1967 that the Soviet Union or China would launch a nuclear warhead against us – Nor do I believe that Iran will launch one against Israel. Of course, Israel would be a ship of fools if they did not prepare for such an eventuality.
And the United States would be riding in the same ship if they did not have a contingency plan for a pre-emptive nuclear strike against its interests.
The only kind of war the Arab nations can win against Israel is based on numbers, surprise, and conventional weapons – and they know it! If Iran launched a nuclear warhead against Israel, at least thirty nuclear warheads would be in the air, headed for their Iranian targets before the Iranian missile exploded in the air east of Israel – and the Iranians are well aware of it.
I certainly am aware that I am in the minority when I state that Iran is not planning to launch a pre-emptive nuclear strike against Israel, but I am quite certain of it, nevertheless.
The main objective Iran has in the development of a deliverable nuclear warhead is defensive. They want Israel to know they will retaliate if she launches against them.
Saddam was a megalomaniac and fully capable of launching a nuclear warhead against his own Grandmother. The religious leaders of Iran are cool, calculating, Persian foxes, who want to live and rule.
They know the terrifying consequences of nuclear retaliation that would rain down on them from both Israel and the United States, if they dared to launch a pre-emptive nuclear strike against Israel. If you think the President of Iran has the authority to launch a pre-emptive strike without the full approval of the Grand Ayatollah, or that the Grand Ayatollah would give him the approval without the vote of the Council of Ayatollahs, then I have a platinum Timex watch I would like to sell you. Saddam did no need anyone’s approval for anything other than his own – that is the big difference.
Begin NewsMax.com Article
Israel Readies Nuclear Bunker
Friday, January 18, 2007 11:10 a.m. EST
Reprinted from NewsMax.com
The Israeli government is building a massive war bunker in the hills outside Jerusalem – a refuge for top government officials in the event of a biological, chemical or nuclear attack.
The maze of tunnels and underground rooms is scheduled to be completed in the next year or two as fears of an attack from Iran intensify, the Baltimore Sun reported.
Israel’s top intelligence officer told the Knesset last month that Iran could have a nuclear weapon by 2009, and Israelis increasingly fear that Tehran would seek to carry out Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s threat to “wipe Israel off the map.”
Ephraim Sneh, Israel’s deputy defense minister, said recently regarding Iran: “Imagine that this regime – the powerhouse of terrorism in the region, with its ambitions of expansion and domination of the entire region – would have the power of nuclear blackmail. What would life in this region look like? Not only [for] Israel, but other countries as well.”
A November poll by the Israeli newspaper Maariv found that 66 percent of Israelis believe Iran, if it develops a nuclear weapon, would try to use a bomb to destroy Israel.
Several dozen wealthy Israelis have already constructed personal bomb shelters, according to the Sun.
But Meir Javedanfar, the Tehran-born director of the Middle East Economic and Political Analysis Company in Tel Aviv, expressed doubts that Iran would launch a nuclear attack against Israel, which is widely assumed to have a sizeable nuclear arsenal of its own.
“The nuclear capability will give Iran new means to attack Israel if it decides to do that,” said Javedanfar, co-author of a new book on Iran’s nuclear program.
“The question is, would Iran attack Israel with a nuclear bomb? I think it’s extremely unlikely.
The regime in Iran is not suicidal. The country is managed by leaders who are on the face of it fundamentalists, but in fact they are very pragmatic.”
End NewsMax.com Article
Begin Special Prophecy Update 187A
Special Prophecy Update Number 187A
August 29, 2004
Atomic War in Israel – Yes or No? – Number 2
More than a year ago I issued Special Prophecy Update Number 129C, titled “Atomic War in Israel, Yes or No?” I would like to reaffirm my belief in its validity in Number 2. The original Update 129C, issued July 23, 2003, was as follows: (BEGIN QUOTE OF 129C)
“One of the main reasons I wrote three books on prophecy in the late seventies and early eighties was to establish a case advocated by teachers of the pre-World War II era. It was, simply stated, that man would not destroy the earth with his weaponry, but rather that God would destroy the earth by the use of this own power. I am certain that the horrifying changes in the topography of Israel, as well as the terrifying destruction of the antichrist’s forces at Armageddon, are by the awesome power of God, not atomic, chemical, or biological weapons of man. The lifting of the land from Geba to Rimmon south of Jerusalem, the breaking up of Jerusalem into three sections, the splitting of the Mount of Olives, and the consuming of the flesh, tongues, and eyes of the antichrist’s men are natural phenomena unleashed by God, not by man. All the Scriptures dealing with these phenomena unleashed by God are covered in Birth Pang and Prophecy Archives.
There are many advocates of a great atomic, chemical, and biological war breaking out when the antichrist attacks Israel 1260 days before Armageddon. It might happen at the final battle of Armageddon, but the initial attack will start what amounts to a non-nuclear, non-chemical, and non-biological war. A nuclear war in the Middle East would kill far more Arabs and Persians that Jews. So why am I so confident and outspoken about this being the case?
(1) Israel has more than 200 extremely well concealed missile launching sites in the Negev between Beersheba and the Gulf of Aqabah.
(2) It has more than 300 nuclear, chemical, and biological warheads to mount on Jericho missiles.
(3) The Jericho is a very accurate missile, and can hit a target in any Islamic country from Morocco to Pakistan and from Turkey to Yemen.
(4) Israel has an excellent anti-missile defense to protect its array of silos, warheads, and missiles. It is able to pick up an incoming enemy missile launched from Syria
before it reaches it maximum altitude.
(5) So why do I believe this array of WMD will not be unleashed by Israel when it is attacked by conventional weapons? Because the official Israeli War Contingency Plan directs that WMD will never be launched against a foreign nation unless they are first launched against Israel.
(6) So how do I know the Islamic countries will not launch WMD in their initial attack? All of them are well aware of what is listed in (1) through (5)! The former Soviet Union, when it existed, shared Israeli intelligence information with Syria, which it collected over a long period of time from its hundreds of spy satellites it launched from pads between Moscow and the White Sea, and on the eastern side of the Aral Sea. Syria, in turn, has shared it with some of the other Islamic countries around Israel. Only a leader possessed of rank insanity would ever launch WMD first against Israel, which is why I was so relieved when Saddam Hussein was taken out of the way.
Many believe the United States will quickly rush to the aid of Israel, and, as the world’s greatest power, will immediately deliver her from any kind of attack she can’t handle. There are two problems with this idea: (1) The United States believes Israel can defeat any Islamic attack on its own without any help from us. After all, Israel has easily done so in three previous wars and, (2) This will be a lightning Jihad, and better coordinated than any of the previous wars, and this time Israel will have a Palestinian state attacking it from within, while the other Islamic nations come in from outside its borders. It will probably last less than a couple of weeks, and Jerusalem is likely to fall within four days. By the time we decide they must have our help it will be too late, because they will have occupied most of the land from Dan to Beersheba. It would take months, as it did in Operation Desert Storm and Operation Freedom Iraq, to get enough American troops on the ground to do any good.
What was the character of Israel’s past three wars? They were all very short in duration, and they all ended abruptly in a truce. That will be the case in this war. The United States knows that the Negev is the place where Israel will flee. When we believe they are safely in the Negev, we will be more than willing to accept a truce to give us time to think about what to do, and Israel will remain trapped in the Negev for some three and one-half years.
The part played by the United States during this period of three and one-half years is interspersed throughout our Prophecy Archives, with some of it in Prophecy Updates 5 through 11, 32 & 33, and 74 & 75.” (END QUOTE OF UPDATE 129C).
CONTINUE UPDATE 187A, August 29, 2004
Since Update 129C was issued, several noteworthy things have come to pass that reduce the likelihood of a nuclear war in the Middle East. The area is headed toward a situation where both sides will realize a nuclear war would leave the victor, or victors, in such a powerless state, that any future they might have would be desolate, and leave them in a position of great vulnerability to the rest of the oil consuming nations. Some of these noteworthy recent events, which would tend to create a standoff, such as the one that developed between the United States and the once mighty Soviet Union, are as follows:
(1) Syria now has a better Scud than the Scud B. The Scud D missile, considered to be the most sophisticated weapon of its kind, is now in the hands of the Syrian military. It is able to deliver nuclear, chemical, or biological multiple warheads to their targets in Israel from Syria.
(2) The jointly developed Americ an-Isr
aeli Arrow 2 missile successfully launched an Arrow 2 missile that destroyed a Scud B over the Pacific Ocean earlier this year. The Arrow 2 is designed to intercept an enemy missile before it reaches its peak altitude, far from Israeli territory. However, in a recent test against the Scud D, it failed to intercept the detached warhead. It was not a complete failure, and the results are in the process of being analyzed. Israel says it can still effectively destroy the Scud D.
(3) Syria also maintains a sizeable ballistic missile arsenal and, like Iran, is active in upgrading and expanding its capabilities.
(4) In June Iran announced it is building its first stealth missile, a rocket that can evade electronic detection. The missile was named Kowsar, in honor of the Kowsar river in paradise, which is found in the Koran, the Holy Book of Islam. Iran announced it would be capable of hitting ships and aircraft.
(5) Iran is continuing to steam toward development of its own nuclear bomb, which many believe it could develop as early as next year. It is now going underground, and spreading out its nuclear development sites in order to limit the damage that could be incurred by an Israeli air strike, like the one carried out on Iraq’s nuclear facility in 1981.
(6) Iran is manufacturing various missiles, chief among them being the Shahab-3, whose range of 1300 km (793 mi) allows it to reach Israel.
It is designed to carry up to a 700-kilogram conventional warhead. But the Iranians are currently developing the Shihab 4 and 5, with ranges of 3000 km (1830 mi) and 6000 km (3660 mi), which puts all of Europe in its sights, and these both missiles will be able to carry chemical, nuclear, and biological weapons.
(7) At the same time that Iran and Syria are attempting to manufacture weapons of mass destructions, and the missiles to deliver them, they are also building up their conventional arsenal of weapons. Iran has been making its own tanks, armored personnel carriers, and fighter planes, inside its own borders for some time.
They have been guided by the designs of weaponry supplied to them by North Korea, Russia, and even China in both their conventional and non-conventional programs of weaponry development. The huge payments from the Iranian oil money have, for some time, helped to keep the Russian Economy afloat, and the North Korean economy from completely collapsing.
I do not believe there will be a nuclear, biological or chemical war in the Middle East. I have long been convinced of this.
It will be a great war, but only conventional weapons will be used. I don’t completely rule out the possibility of some being used at Armageddon, but I really doubt they will be launched even then.
END UPDATE 187A, August 29, 2004
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