THE JERUSALEM POST EXCERPT LISTS UPCOMING EVENTS
WATCH OUT! IF FINAL 2 EXCERPTS TURN OUT TO BE VALID!
If The Two Excerpts from Haaretz and DEBKAfile Are Correct
Then One of 2 things will soon be happening in the Mid-East
Israel will be turned loose to launch a do or die attack on Sites
Or Iran will shock everyone by ‘claiming’ to stop its nuclear Drive
In order to stave off an Israeli Attack Iran Knows Shall be Coming
May 14, 2012
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Begin Jerusalem Post Excerpt via REUTERS
UN inspectors to press Iran on military site access
By Reuters
May 14, 2012
Vienna meeting will test Iran’s readiness to address UN inspectors’ concerns of military links to Tehran’s nuclear program; Iran warns Western nations pressure may jeopardize Baghdad talks’ success.
VIENNA – The UN atomic watchdog will press its demand for access to an Iranian military site in talks starting on Monday that could influence the prospects for a broader diplomatic push to settle the decade-old stand-off over Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.
The May 14-15 meeting in Vienna will test Iran’s readiness to address UN inspectors’ suspicions of military links to its nuclear program, ahead of high-stakes talks in Baghdad next week between six world powers and the Islamic Republic.
The powers “would certainly take it as an encouraging sign” if Iran started to give credible answers to questions the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has about the nature of Tehran’s nuclear work, a Western diplomat said.
But failure or success in Vienna “doesn’t necessarily predict” such an outcome at the meeting in the Iraqi capital on May 23, the envoy added.
Earlier Sunday, Iran warned Western powers that applying pressure on Tehran could jeopardize talks on its nuclear program, state television reported.
“The era of a pressure strategy is ended. Any strategic miscalculations would endanger success at the Baghdad negotiations,” said Saeed Jalili, Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator, quoted by state television.
Iran and the powers involved in nuclear diplomacy – the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany – revived negotiations in Istanbul last month after a 15-month hiatus and both sides say they hope for progress in Baghdad.
The resumption of diplomacy offers a chance to defuse soaring tension that has raised fear of a new Middle East war.
The West suspects Iran is seeking to develop the capability to make nuclear bombs although intelligence officials believe Tedran has not made a decision whether to actually build them.
The Islamic Republic, one of the world’s largest oil producers, says its atomic program is a peaceful push to generate more electricity for a rapidly growing population.
Israel – widely believed to hold the Middle East’s only nuclear arsenal – and the United States have not ruled out military action to prevent Iran from obtaining atomic bombs if negotiations fail to achieve this objective peacefully.
The IAEA wants Iranian officials to address questions raised in its report last year that revealed intelligence pointing to past and possibly ongoing research activity in Iran of use in developing the means and technologies needed to build atom arms.
Two previous meetings between Iran and the IAEA in Tehran early this year failed to make any notable progress.
The UN agency’s document published in November lent independent weight to Western allegations about Tehran’s nuclear agenda and helped pave the ground for a significant ratcheting up of US and European sanctions to block its oil exports.
One finding in the report was information that Iran in 2000 had built a large containment chamber at Parchin – a military complex southeast of Tehran – in which to conduct high-explosives tests that the IAEA said are “strong indicators of possible (nuclear) weapon development”.
Iran has rejected the accusations as fabricated but so far has not granted repeated requests by the UN agency to visit the place. IAEA head Yukiya Amano says the issue is a “priority” for his team of senior officials in this week’s discussions.
Begin Excerpt 1 from The Associated Press via Ha’artz (Israel News)
New image reportedly depicts Iran’s secret military nuclear testing site
Israeli Official: Satellite images back our claims Iran is developing nuclear weapon
Drawing obtained by Associated Press is said to come from inside the Parchin military base near Tehran, provided by a country tracking the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program.
By The Associated Press
May13, 2012
By Anshel Pfeffer
An image said to come from inside an Iranian military site shows an explosives containment chamber of the type needed for nuclear arms-related tests that UN inspectors suspect Tehran has conducted at the site.
Iran denies such testing and has neither confirmed nor denied the existence of such a chamber.
The image was provided to The Associated Press by an official of a country tracking Iran’s nuclear program who said the drawing proves the structure exists, despite Tehran’s refusal to acknowledge it.
The official said he could not discuss the drawing’s origins beyond that it was based on information from a person who had seen the chamber at the Parchin military site, adding that going into detail would endanger the life of that informant. His country, a member of the International Atomic Energy Agency, is severely critical of Iran’s assertions that its nuclear activities are peaceful and asserts they are a springboard for making atomic arms.
A former senior IAEA official said he believes the drawing is accurate. Olli Heinonen, until last year the U.N. nuclear agency’s deputy director general in charge of the Iran file, said it was “very similar” to a photo he recently saw that he believes to be the pressure chamber the IAEA suspects is at Parchin. He said even the colors of the drawing matched that of the photo.
After months of being rebuffed, IAEA and Iranian officials meet starting Monday in Vienna, and the IAEA will renew its attempt to gain access to the chamber, allegedly hidden in a building. Any evidence that Iran is hiding such an explosives containment tank, and details on how it functions, is significant for IAEA investigations.
Beyond IAEA hopes of progress, that two-day meeting is being closely watched by six powers trying to persuade Iran to make nuclear concessions aimed at reducing fears that it may want to develop atomic arms as a mood-setter for May 23 talks between the six and Tehran in Baghdad.
Warnings by Israel that it may attack Iran’s nuclear facilities eased after Iran and the six – the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany – met last month and agreed there was enough common will for the Baghdad round. But with the Jewish state saying it is determined to stop Iran before it develops the capacity to build nuclear weapons, failure at the Iraq talks could turn such threats into reality.
The IAEA has been stonewalled by Iran for more than four years in attempts to probe what it says is intelligence from member states strongly suggesting that Iran secretly worked on developing nuclear weapons.
It first mentioned the suspected existence of the chamber in a November report that described “a large explosives containment vessel” for experiments on triggering a nuclear explosion, adding that it had satellite images “consistent with this information.”
It did not detail what the images showed. But a senior diplomat familiar with the IAEA’s investigation who has also seen the image provided to the AP said they revealed a cylinder similar to the image at Parchin. Subsequent photos showed a roof and walls going up around the cylinder that then hid the chamber from satellite surveillance.
IAEA chief Yukiya Amano said in March that his agency has “credible information that indicates that Iran engaged in activities relevant to the development of nuclear explosive devices” at the site. Diplomats subsequently told the AP that the experiments also appear to have involved a small prototype neutron device used to spark a nuclear explosion – equipment that would be tested only if a country was trying to develop atomic weapons.
Iran has strenuously denied conducting such work … and any intentions to build nuclear weapons … but has been less clear on whether the structure where it allegedly took place exists.
The senior diplomat familiar with the IAEA investigations said the Iranians have refused to comment “one way or the other” on that issue to agency experts. He and others interviewed by the AP demanded anonymity because their information was privileged, and the official providing the drawing and other details on the structure also demanded that he and his country not be identified in return for sharing classified intelligence.
Attempts to get Iranian comment were unsuccessful. A copy of the diagram was attached to an email sent to Ali Asghar Soltanieh, Iran’s chief delegate to the IAEA, with a note that the AP would be asking for reaction. Subsequent phone calls over the weekend went to his voice mail.
The technology used for the suspected multipoint explosives trigger experiments is similar to that employed in manufacturing tiny industrialized diamonds, and the IAEA believes former Soviet scientist Vyacheslav Danilenko – an expert in such diamond-making – helped Iran with designing the chamber.
Diplomats say Danilenko has told the agency that he did not work on such a chamber, but his son in law, identified by the diplomats as Vladimir Padalko, told the IAEA that the container was built under Danilenko’s direct supervision. Repeated attempts by the AP and other media organizations to contact the two men have been unsuccessful since the IAEA revealed Danilenko’s suspected involvement in November.
The official who provided the drawing also shared the following information on the chamber:
Origins
Built in the early 2000s by Azar AB Industries Co. in the city of Arak and then transported to Parchin. Both the senior diplomat familiar with the IAEA investigations and Heinonen, the former senior IAEA official, confirmed this. Company officials did not answer calls seeking comment.
Size
Volume: 300 cubic meters, or about 10,600 feet. Diameter: 4.6 meters, or 15.09 feet. Length: 18. 8 meters, or 61.68 feet. The senior diplomat confirmed the measurements.
Equipped with
A vacuum pump used to remove air from the chamber to minimize pressure that could damage the structure during an explosion; a compressor that shoots water into the chamber after testing to flood and clean it; a septic tank that receives the waste; an elevation system to suspend the explosives in the upper part of the chamber during testing; and a neutron detection system outside the explosion chamber to measure neutron emissions. The senior diplomat said these features would make sense, or such testing, but could not verify they existed, suggesting they may have been added after the Iranians put up the superstructure shielding the chamber from satellite surveillance.
Time frame
The official said the chamber was used for detonation experiments in 2003, 2005 and 2006. Two officials familiar with the investigations said the first date appeared to be valid but they had no information of subsequent experiments. The United States believes Iran stopped working on a concerted nuclear weapons program at various sites after 2003, while the IAEA suspects Tehran is continuing some work but in a much less organized way than before 2003.
The scientists
Seyed Ashgar Hashemi-Tabar, described as “an expert in measuring detonation phenomena” and not previously identified. Acting on information from the same official, the AP previously named other scientists allegedly involved as Fereydoun Abbasi, the current head of Iran’s nuclear agency, who escaped an assassination attempt in 2010; Darious Rezainejad, who was killed by a car bomb last year; and Reza Ibrahimi.
Inspecting the site at Parchin, southeast of the capital, Tehran, was a key request made by senior IAEA teams that visited Tehran in January and February. Iran rebuffed those demands and subsequent ones — the most recent within the last two weeks — as well as attempts by the nuclear agency to question Iranian officials and secure other information linked to the allegations of secret weapons work.
At the same time, the IAEA has voiced alarm at unexplained “activity” at the site — a term diplomats familiar with the agency’s concerns say stands for attempts to clean up any evidence of the kinds of experiments the agency suspects were carried out.
A second senior diplomat familiar with the investigation recently told the AP that spy satellite images shared with the agency show what seems to be water streaming from the building housing the chamber. He said it also depicts workers removing bags of material from that building and put on vehicles outside.
A third senior diplomat said that the apparent cleanup was continuing in early May, the last time he had seen the images.
Iran has scoffed at suggestions of a cleanup in general and of testing a neutron device in particular, with Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mahmanparast asserting that nuclear contamination cannot be washed away. But experts challenge that assertion.
A cleanup “could involve grinding down the surfaces inside the building, collecting the dust and then washing the area thoroughly,” said David Albright, whose Institute for Science and International Security in Washington looks for signs of nuclear proliferation. “This could be followed with new building materials and paint.
“It could also involve removing any dirt around the building thought to contain contaminants,” Albright said in a statement emailed to selected recipients. “These types of activities could be effective in defeating environmental sampling.”
Begin Excerpt 2 from DEBKAfile Special Report
More than 60 nuclear experts at work building Iranian nuclear bomb
DEBKAfile Special Report
May 13, 2012, 9:00 AM (GMT+02:00)
The names and addresses of 60 Iranian experts employed by 11 different Iranian agencies under the control of the Iranian Defense Ministry were revealed Saturday, May 12, by the main Iranian opposition Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK/PMOI). This is the first time an extensive, highly secret, central organizational structure dedicated to building a nuclear weapon has been revealed in detail – specifically the Ministry of Defense under the command of the Revolutionary Guard Corps, which also runs the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant.
The information updated to April 2012 was provided by “sources within the Iranian regime’s agencies, including military institutions.”
It contradicts the fundamental conclusion reached by the US and five world powers and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) – that Iran’s nuclear program is not run by a single organization – on the basis of which they entered into negotiation with Tehran. Most of all, it refutes another key argument heard in the West that Iran has not yet decided to actually build a weapon because Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei’s said it would be a “sin.”
The Mujahedin-e Khalq, which Tehran accuses of collaborating with US and Israeli intelligence to assassinate its nuclear scientists, clearly timed the publication of its findings for 11 days before the Six Powers were due to hold a second round of nuclear talks with Iran in Baghdad on May 23, DEBKAfile’s intelligence and Iranian sources report.
Ahead of the meeting, US administration sources put about word that a compromise deal developed in the direct backdoor channel between Washington and Tehran had a good chance of coming before the meeting. It was said to consist of three points of accord: Allowing uranium enrichment up to 5 percent purity to continue; barring enrichment up to 20 percent (effectively discontinuing work at Fordow); and exporting Iran’s entire 20 percent in stock to prevent its use for bomb production.
According to DEBKAfiles’s Iranian intelligence sources, there is no such deal: Tehran is not willing either to stop 20 percent uranium enrichment or shut down the Fordow plant. Just the opposite: DEBKA-A-Net-Weekly, the only Western publication following the secret US-Iranian negotiations, last week quoted a message from Khamenei to President Barack Obama flatly refusing to close Fordow, whose sole purpose is the production of 20 percent grade uranium which brings the fuel a short step before weapons grade.
After procuring Washington’s consent to 5 percent enrichment – over strong Israeli protests – Tehran has been encouraged to fight for 20 percent as well. The probable point of accord would be a ceiling on quantity.
Other American sources most recently explained their optimism about a successful culmination of the secret talks by Tehran’s admission for the first time that it was engaged in developing a nuclear weapon, which it hitherto denied. This laid the issue open to negotiation.
All in all, Jerusalem takes issue with US acceptance of the above deal as “bad for Israel.” It refuses to accept anything less than a complete halt of all uranium enrichment forthwith, the shutdown of Fordow and the removal of every scrap of enriched uranium from Iran.
This position was put firmly before the European Union Foreign Executive Catherine Ashton by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and the heads of his unity government, Defense Minister Ehud Barak, Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman and designated Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz, last Wednesday, May 9.
She arrived in Jerusalem the day after the expanded Netanyahu government was formed to find out where it stood on the Iranian question.
The exhaustively detailed Mujahedin-e Khalq document presents a completely new picture of a well-advanced and centralized nuclear weapons program, quite different from the one broadcast by the US and its fellow nuclear negotiators – and even by some Israeli circles.
Refuting the belief Iran has not actually started building a nuclear warhead or bomb, the Iranian opposition group provides chapter and verse to demonstrate that Iran is way past the decision and flying ahead at top speed on its manufacture.
The project is revealed to be working out of the “headquarters of the Iranian Defense Ministry’s SPND (New Defense Research Organization) at the Mojdeh site in the western part of Malek Ashtar University in the Lavizan region.”
(This university was first exposed in 2009 along with its three campuses in Tehran, Isfahan and Urma.)
Where the document breaks startling new ground is in detailing the SPND’s 7 sub-sections, “each of which conducts research and tests in a specific field:”
Working on the main element for the bomb, i.e. enriched uranium and fissile material.
Shaping and molding the required material, including metal elements, to build a warhead.
Producing metals required for building a nuclear warhead.
Producing high-explosive material used to detonate a nuclear bomb.
Conducting research on advanced chemical material.
Blue prints and carrying out electronic calculations required for building a nuclear warhead.
Laser activities applicable in the nuclear field.
To each sub-division, the Mujahedin-e Khalq document has attached diagrams of its internal structure plus the full names and addresses of its heads, officers, researchers and the liaison offices among the departments. Some are provided with their landline and cell phone numbers. The information is said be updated to April 2012.
In response to these revelations, some official American sources commented that they could not be confirmed and were skeptical about the document’s credibility. Our intelligence sources note that all of this Iranian group’s previous disclosures in the past nine years have proved accurate.
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