When Will Iran have a Deliverable Nuclear Warhea
d?
June 2, 2006
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
I have had many people ask me why I chose the period 2008 to 2012 as a time frame guesstimate Israel would be attacked by Islam to begin the last three and one-half years of the great tribulation period. Thirty nine years ago I chose the year 2007 as the year of destiny for Israel, because it would mark the end of a generation that began when Israel took back the old City Jerusalem in 1967.
In so doing they fulfilled Luke 21:24 for Jerusalem.
Luke 21:24 – And they shall fall by the edge of the sword, and shall be led away captive into all nations: and Jerusalem shall be trodden down of the Gentiles, until the times of the Gentiles be fulfilled.
So the “the times of the Gentiles” for the old City of Jerusalem and its Temple Mount was fulfilled in June of 1967. However, the Gentiles are to recapture it again at some point in time after 2006, and once again control it until the “fullness of the Gentiles” comes in, at which time God will restore Israel as the “apple of his eye” for a thousand years.
Revelation 11:2 – But the court which is without the temple leave out, and measure it not; for it is given unto the Gentiles: and the holy city shall they tread under foot forty and two months.
Romans 11:25 – For I would not, brethren, that ye should be ignorant of this mystery, lest ye should be wise in your own conceits; that blindness in part is happened to Israel, until the fulness of the Gentiles be come in.
When I wrote my three books in the seventies and early eighties, I made a guesstimate that the attack could occur as early as the nineties or as late as the early twenties.
But by the late eighties it became apparent 10 Arab nations at that time did not have the ability to take back the old city of Jerusalem, and I began to guesstimate the attack time to be 2004 to 2008. Finally, when Islam really began to rally behind Osama bin Laden, and the spirit of Jihad began to inflame Muslim hearts with the pull out of the Soviet Union from Afghanistan, I kept looking for some sort of benchmark in Middle East events I could legitimately tie to the timing of the Jihad attack against Israel. I finally found it in the time it seemed likely Iran would have a deliverable nuclear warhead. Based on a wide range of estimates I considered, I chose the year 2008 as the very earliest, and 2012 as the latest. I did this because
I seriously doubted that Iran, the leader of nations that will be associated with the attack, would dare to attack Israel without a deterrent nuclear weapon to keep Israel from launching against them. Iran and the Arab nations want a conventional war they can win, not a nuclear war they know would destroy them.
So, while I believe the attack could be launched at any time, I have given you my reason for saying I believe it is most likely to occur at a point in time between 2008 and 2012. The following excerpt was extracted from an article by Reuters in Ha’aretz.
Begin Extract from Reuters Article
Top U.S. intelligence official: Iran may have nuclear bomb by 2010
June 2, 2006
By Reuters
LONDON – America’s leading intelligence official said Iran could have a nuclear bomb by 2010 and has accused Tehran of being the world’s top state sponsor of terrorism.
Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte also said lessons have been learned from intelligence failures in the Iraq war.
On Iran’s nuclear capability, Negroponte told BBC Radio on Friday: “The estimate we have made is that sometime between the beginning of the next decade and the middle of the next decade they might be in a position to have a nuclear weapon which is a cause of great concern.”
Negroponte said Iran seemed determined to develop nuclear weapons but admitted “We don’t have clear-cut knowledge.”
“They seem to be determined — that is our assessment — that they are determined to develop nuclear weapons,” he said.
On Thursday, world powers agreed in Vienna on a “far-reaching” package of incentives for Iran to stop nuclear fuel work that could lead to atomic bombs, including an offer to suspend action against it in the UN Security Council.
Iran says its quest for nuclear technology will generate electricity only, not be diverted into secret bomb making as the West suspects, and has declared the program non-negotiable.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad last week derided the budding incentives package as a bid to trade “candy for gold”.
Tehran has also spurned a U.S. offer of direct talks, added to the incentives packet on Wednesday, 26 years after Washington severed diplomatic ties with Tehran, because it was conditioned on halting
the enrichment of uranium.
“I think we have improved the integrity of our analyses substantially. In other words I think we have internalized some of these lessons,” he added.
In his intelligence assessment, Negroponte said: “They are the principal state sponsor of terrorism in the world.
Their behavior has been a cause of concern not only in Lebanon and Israel and in the Palestinian Territories but in Iraq.”
End Extract from Reuters Article
FAIR USE NOTICE: This site contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107
of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes. For more detailed information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml. You may use material originated by this site.
However, if you wish to use any quoted copyrighted material from this site, which did not originate at this site, for purposes of your own that go beyond ‘fair use’, you must obtain permission from the copyright owner from which we extracted it.