Atomic War – Yes or No? Difference of Opinion on when Iran will have Enriched Uranium of Sufficient Quality and Quantity to build Nuclear Bombs.
May 14, 2006
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
There has been a wild guessing game going on for several years
as to when Iran will have nuclear weapons. I have heard estimates that range from one to eight years from a multitude of articles over the last two years.
The latest two estimates by Israel and America appear in the articles which follow from DEBKAfile as to when it will happen. The Israel Intelligence guesses two years. United States Intelligence guesses 2010.
My guesstimate is after 2008 but before 2012, but I do not expect Iran to use them. I have never been as concerned as many others who teach prophecy about whether or not Iran gets nuclear weapons. I have never believed the coming conflict will be nuclear. My reason for taking this position is found in all my books.
I am including Archive Prophecy Update Number 129C describing my take on the coming war being of a non-nuclear character. It follows the DEBKAfile articles.
Begin DEBKAfile Articles
DEBKAfile Exclusive: Washington does not buy Israel intelligence’s two-year timeline for Iran to produce a nuclear weapon
May 13, 2006, 2:04 PM (GMT+02:00)
Ten days before Ehud Olmert pays his first visit to Washington as Israeli prime minister, US intelligence is digging in its heels on its own timeline, which estimates that Tehran needs at least three to four years in stages to reach the point of being able to produce weapons-grade enriched uranium for a bomb and nuclear-capable ballistic missiles.
The view there is that military action need not be considered before then.
This distancing from the Israeli estimate cut the ground in advance from the main theme Olmert proposed to raise in his talks with US leaders. The message Washington delivered in advance of those talks was that Jerusalem would not be allowed to dictate American moves – diplomatic or military – on the Iranian crisis.
The Olmert government would be best advised to line up behind Washington on this issue, as did the Sharon government in 2003 before the US invasion of Iraq.
DEBKAfile’s political circles add: In response to this message, the prime minister held last-minute talks this week with the chief of staff and Mossad and military intelligence heads on ways to rework the Israeli position on the Iran question and bring it closer to the definitions held in Washington.
However, Olmert may be confronted in his talks with the president, vice president and secretaries of state and defense, with an American demand for a guarantee against any unilateral Israeli initiative on Iran without first touching base with Washington.
The Bush administration turned tough, according to DEBKAfile’s Washington sources, after receiving a briefing from two high-ranking US officials on secret talks they held with top Israeli government officials last week.
The visitors, Stuart Levey, US Treasury Undersecretary for countering terrorist financing and a National Security Council Iran expert, found the Israeli government ill-informed and unfocused on the specifics of the Iranian nuclear program.
They also reported that Israeli officials were not on top of the methods by which Iran finances its clandestine nuclear activities and feeds money to Tehran-sponsored terrorist, including the radical Hizballah and Palestinian Hamas. Another of the subjects Olmert proposes to raise with US leaders is the disarming of Hizballah and its replacement in South Lebanon by the Lebanese army.
He also hopes to gain approval for his “convergence plan” for West Bank settlements as a stage before determining Israel’s eastern border – with or without a Palestinian negotiating partner. The low performance grade the two officials awarded does not bode well for the new Israeli prime minister’s chances of achieving a good rapport and cooperation with the Bush administration on any of these key issues. His chief advisers leave for Washington Saturday night, May 13, to lay the groundwork for those discussions and an effort to iron out potential crimps.
End DEBKAfile Articles
SPECIAL PROPHECY UPDATE NUMBER 129C
Atomic War in Israel – Yes or No?
July 23, 2003
One of the main reasons I wrote three books on prophecy in the late seventies and early eighties was to establish a case advocated by teachers of the pre-World War II era. It was, simply stated, that man would not destroy the earth with his weaponry, but rather that God
would destroy the earth by the use of this own power. I am certain that the horrifying changes in the topography of Israel, as well as the terrifying destruction of the antichrist’s forces at Armageddon, are by the awesome power of God, not atomic, chemical, or biological weapons of man. The lifting of the land from Geba to Rimmon south of Jerusalem, the breaking up of Jerusalem into three sections, the splitting of the Mount of Olives, and the consuming of the flesh, tongues, and eyes of the antichrist’s men are natural phenomena unleashed by God, not by man. All the Scriptures dealing with these phenomena unleashed by God are covered in the Birth Pang Archives.
There are many advocates of a great atomic, chemical, and biological war in Israel when the antichrist attacks 1260 days before Armageddon. It might happen at the time of Armageddon, but the initial attack
will start what amounts to a non-nuclear, non-chemical, and non-biological war. So why am I so confident and outspoken about this being the case?
Israel has more than 200 extremely well concealed missile silos in the Negev between Beersheba and the Gulf of Aqabah.
It has more than 300 nuclear, chemical, and biological warheads to mount on Jericho missiles.
The Jericho is a very accurate missile, and can hit a target in any Islamic country from Morocco to Pakistan and from Turkey to Yemen.
Israel has an excellent anti-missile defense to protect its array of silos, warheads, and missiles. It is able to pick up an incoming enemy missile launched from Syria before it reaches it maximum altitude.
So why do I believe this array of WMD will not be unleashed by Israel when it is attacked? Because the Israeli War Contingency Plan of Israel directs that WMD will never be launched against a foreign nation unless they are first launched against Israel.
So how do I know the
Islamic countries will not launch WMD in their initial attack? All of them are well aware of what is listed in (1) through (5)! The Soviet Union, which it existed, shared Israeli intelligence information with Syria, which it collected over a long period of time from its hundreds of spy satellites it launched from pads between Moscow and the White Sea, and on the eastern side of the Aral Sea. Syria, in turn, has shared it with most of the other Islamic countries around Israel. Only a leader possessed of rank insanity would ever launch WMD first against Israel, which is why I was so relieved when Saddam Hussein was taken out of the way. The Iranian leaders are Persian in character, very cool and calculating in what they do. Believe me, they may be 100 percent in favor of individual suicide bombers on a personal basis, but they are not in favor of having the United States, European, and Israeli nuclear arsenals wipe their homeland off the face of the earth with their vast nuclear arsenals. The Persian kings were great sword rattlers, and their descendants are much the same.
Many believe the United States will quickly rush to the aid of Israel, and, as the world’s greatest power, will immediately deliver her from any kind of attack she can’t handle. There are two problems with this idea:
The United States believes Israel can defeat any Islamic attack on its own without any help from us. After all, Israel has easily done so in three previous wars.
This will be a lightning Jihad, and better coordinated than any of the previous wars, and this time Israel will have a Palestinian state attacking it from within, while the other Islamic nations come in from outside its borders. It will probably last less than three weeks, and Jerusalem is likely to fall within six days. By the time we decide they must have our help it will be too late because they will have occupied most of the land from Dan to Beersheba.
By this time it would take months, as it did in Operation Desert Storm and Operation Freedom Iraq, to get sufficient American troops on the ground to do any good. I believe all American troops will have been withdrawn from the Arab countries before the Jihad is launched against Israel by ten Arab nations.
What was the character of the past three wars? They were all very short in duration, and they all ended abruptly in a truce. That will be the case in this war. The United States knows that the Negev is the place where Israel will flee. When we believe they are safely in the Negev, we will be more than willing to accept a truce to give us time to think about what to do, and Israel will remain trapped in the Negev for some three and one-half years.
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