Another Reason I Believe Iran would not launch the First WMD Missile
March 3, 2006
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
In several previous Blogs I have made the case that Iran would never launch the first atomic missile against Israel. We ran this December 5, 2005 article from Jane’s Weekly previously, but I am running it
again to add to the reasons I have given in many updates and Blogs as to why I do not fear a nuclear war in the Middle East. Sure, I would much prefer that Iran not possess a nuclear warhead, but I am not nearly as concerned about it as the majority of prophecy teachers.
I am confident the next Middle East war will be fought by conventional weapons.
The nation of Israel has a superb anti-missile defense and the capability to launch hundreds of Jericho Missiles, carrying a wide variety of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), from the Negev. Iran, along with the rest of the Islamic nations, knows that Israel has the capacity to void their very existence as a people and as nations across the Middle East.
And they also know that Israel will not launch WMD’s against them, unless they first launch against Israel. I believe that Israel is perfectly satisfied it can knock down any Shihab-3 Missile before it reaches the eastern border of Israel.
It is far more advantageous for the nations of Islam to fight a war using only conventional weapons. They outnumber the Israelis and it will be to their advantage to fight a conventional war. To attempt to fight a nuclear war, in which the United States would be free morally to launch against
the Arab nations in the eyes of the international community, if they launched first against Israel, would be the height of stupidity.
Iran may be a fanatical nation of Islamic extremism, but in their cold hatred of Israel, they are coolly cunning, and realize a first strike against Israel would bring about the end of Iran as a people and as a nation.
Begin Jane’s Defense Weekly Article
Jane’s Defense Weekly
5 December 2005
Israel’s Anti-ballistic Missile Test Pushes Altitude Boundaries
By Alon Ben-David JDW Correspondent
Tel Aviv
Israel’s anti-ballistic missile Arrow Weapon System (AWS) successfully intercepted a target simulating an Iranian Shahab-3 medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM) in a test over the Mediterranean on 2 December.
The interception was conducted at a record low altitude, considered below the AWS’s performance envelope, and determined the operability of the Arrow II Block 3 interceptor, manufactured jointly by Israel Aircraft Industries (IAI) and Boeing Integrated Defense Systems.
“We have never before tried the Arrow against the Shahab characteristics, but we know now that we are capable of intercepting all existing ballistic missile threats in the region, whether conventional or non-conventional, and we are developing capabilities to deal with future threats,” Director of the Israel Missile Defence Organisation Arieh Herzog told JDW.
Following the interception, IAF’s MIM-104 Patriot low- to high-altitude air-defence batteries joined the test, simulating an additional interception at lower altitude.
Israel’s ballistic missile defence concept is based on a two-tier layered defence in which the AWS constitutes the higher layer and the Patriot an additional, lower layer.
End Jane’s Weekly Report of December 5, 2005
I am sure that
Israel has done a lot more testing and correcting on the Arrow Missile Systems since last December, and transformed the Arrow into a highly efficient anti-missile weapon.
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