Reality of the New Fragmented World
Arab Divide And Conquer Implementation
International shift i s
isolating U.S. and Israel
World opinion shifting to plight of Arab Refugees
Attitude of ‘Now We must Clean Up U.S.-Israel Mess’
Obama will have international pressure to pursue Israel
To allow return of Palestinian refugees to a West Bank State
This will insure the Success of future Islamic Jihad War on Israel
By Creating A Strong Islamic Enemy Force Within The Israeli Borders
Separating Israeli Jordan River IDF from the Mediterranean Coastal IDF
November 21, 2008
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
It will be interesting to watch the international pressure build up on Obama to push Israel into allowing a substantial number of Palestinian refugees to return to Israel. I have no doubt Obama will initially stand on Israel’s side against the major fly in the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations, but I suspect in the end international pressure will cause him to change his position. If Benjamin Netanyahu is the Prime Minister after the 2009 election, the fur will fly, and Israel will not compromise on its long standing violent rejection of the return of Palestinian refugees.
But if the Likud does not replace the current administration, there may well be a compromise on the part of Israel. Excerpt 1 is a preamble to what will eventually shift to the problem of Palestinian refugees from the Israeli-Arab wars, rather than the U.S.-Iraqi wars.
The U.S. position as the number one world power is eroding, and under Obama it will accelerate its decay.
Obama’s administration will seem, in the eyes of those who elected him, to be very successful and on the right track for avoidance of Middle East war in its first two years, but its early successes are the very thing that will lead to a major Middle East War by 2015. Excerpt 2 is a discussion pf America’s slide from its position as world leader.
Begin Excerpt 1 from Lebanese Daily Star
Lebanon to attend Amman talks on Iraqi refugees
By Agence France Presse (AFP)
Thursday, November 20, 2008
AMMAN: Experts from Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Egypt will gather in Jordan this week to rally international support for hundreds of thousands of Iraqi refugees, the foreign ministry said on Wednesday.
United Nations and Arab League officials as well as representatives from Turkey and Iran are also taking part in the one-day conference on Thursday, Mohammed Shahankari of the foreign ministry said. “The technical meeting will discuss the situation of Iraqi refugees, focusing on ways to support host countries and help them provide more and better services for the refugees,” he said. About 4.4 million Iraqis have fled their homes since the start of the war, with nearly two million in Syria and Jordan, and another 2.5 million displaced within their own country, according to the UN.
Jordan estimates the costs of sheltering between 500,000 and 750,000 Iraqi refugees over the past three years at more than $2 billion, and Amman has repeatedly asked the international community to provide more direct aid.
The UN refugee agency appealed in January for $261 million for its operations to help people uprooted by the conflict in Iraq. – AFP
Begin Excerpt 2 from THE SIDNEY MORNING HERALD Article
US power wanes in an unstable world
Julian Borger in London
November 21, 2008
THE leading US intelligence organisation has warned that the world is entering an unstable and unpredictable period in which the advance of Western-style democracy cannot be taken for granted, and the US will no longer be able to “call the shots” alone.
Powers such as China and India, as well as independent entities including tribes and criminal networks, will grow in influence, it predicts.
T he global trends review, produced by t
he National Intelligence Council every four years, makes sobering reading for Barack Obama as he prepares to take office as president in January.
It marks a dramatic shift from the review in 2004, which confidently predicted “continued US dominance” and said “most major powers have forsaken the idea of balancing the US”.
Looking ahead to 2025, the council, which co-ordinates analysis from all US intelligence agencies, foresees a fragmented world in which conflict over scarce resources is rising, poorly contained by “ramshackle” international institutions, while nuclear proliferation, particularly in the Middle East, and even nuclear conflict grow more likely.
The report, Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World, warns that the spread of Western democratic capitalism cannot be taken for granted, as it was by George Bush and the neoconservatives in the US.
“No single outcome seems preordained: the Western model of economic liberalism, democracy and secularism, for example, which many assumed to be inevitable, may lose its lustre – at least in the medium term,” it says.
Giving the examples of Russia and China, the report says: “Today wealth is moving not just from West to East but is concentrating more under state control.
In the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis, the state’s role in the economy may be gaining more appeal in the world.”
By 2025, the report says, the US will become “less dominant” in the world – no longer the unrivalled superpower it has been since the end of the Cold War, but a “first among equals” in a more fluid and evenly balanced world that will make the unilateralism of
the Bush era no longer tenable.
China stands to have more impact on the world over the next 20 years than any other single country and India will strive to represent one of the world’s economic poles.
International organizations such as the United Nations seem ill-prepared to fill the vacuum left by receding US power at a time of multiple potential crises driven by climate change and the increasing scarcity of resources
such as oil, food and water, the report warns.
Those institutions “appear incapable of rising to the challenges without concerted efforts from their leaders”, it says.
The council has also dramatically changed its assessment of the world’s energy situation. Four years ago it argued that oil and gas supplies “in the ground” were “sufficient to meet global demand” but the new report views a transition to cleaner fuels as inevitable. Only the speed of that change is in question.
Guardian News & Media, Los Angeles Times
This story was found at:
http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2008/11/21/1226770737868.html
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