A Little Breathing Time during the Christmas Season is Nice!
December 5, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
I have given solid reasons in all my books, Prophecy Updates, and blogs since 1977 why I do believe the final war leading up to Armageddon will not be a nuclear war, and since we first began to issue blogs on this Web Site, I have consistently stated in all my blogs and Prophecy Updates why I believe Iran and Syria first attempted to make nuclear warheads to mount on missiles. Iran and Syria attempted to build them to use as a deterrent to discourage Israel from launching their more than 200 nuclear warheads, once the two start a conventional war against Israel. I did not know they stopped attempting to assemble the functionary parts to put it together in 2003, and began to throw all their efforts into developing enough enriched uranium to make an inventory of bombs, with a long range intent to then create the warhead technology to put them in warheads, after they succeeded in developing the bomb itself.
Iran and Syria would not dare pre-launch nuclear warheads against Israel, knowing what Israel has in the Negev to launch against them, while Islamic missiles are still in the air. (See Archive Prophecy Update Numbers 5 to 12). Once Iran and Syria think they have an inventory of nuclear weapons sufficient in size, they will attack Israel in a vicious jihad from the north – that is why I have paid very close attention to when such an arsenal will be obtained. I believe the latest US estimate is a good one. I do not see how they could possible develop such an arsenal before 2010, and it seems more likely it will take until 2015 for them to build one they felt was large enough to insure Israel would not launch against them.
I believe the world can breathe a reserved feeling of relief for awhile. I do not believe it is possible for Iran to develop a sufficient number of deliverable nuclear warheads prior to 2010 to be confident enough to attack Israel, and I seriously doubt she will be able to do so by 2012, but I chose 2010 to stay on the side of caution.
I believe we are going to experience a few years where Russia, China, all the Islamic nations, the United States, Europe, Israel, and the terrorists are all preparing for war. I hope I am wrong, and the final three and one-half year war of the end
of the Gentile Age begins tomorrow. But I must confess there is certainly a part of me that enjoys my present life with church members, my wife, children, Grandchildren, Great-grand children, in-laws, and relatives, particularly at th
is time of year.
And the Lord knows I love preaching and teaching. So, Lord willing, I just plan to enjoy life whether it is “here” or “there,” and keep on hoping it will be it will be “there” sooner than I expect.
Please forgive my seasonal frivolity in the lyric which follows. It’s very childish for a 75 year old man. But, as Bob Cratchet apologized to Old Scrooge when Bob was late for work following Christmas Day, saying: “We were rather making merry, but it won’t happen again,” so say I unto you.
Twas the time before air strikes, and all through the house,
No nuclear weapon was found, made by an Iranian louse.
But Infidels were hung by Muslim terrorists with care,
In hopes the Islamic Mahdi would soon be there.
And I in my flack jacket, and Mom in her cap,
Had all settled down for a nuclear free nap.
When suddenly on the shelter top, there arose such a clatter.
I sprang from my bedroll, knowing it was PA rocket splatter,
When what to my wondering eyes should appear,
But President Ahmadinejad, with a sleigh load of fear.
But for now it appears, it will be several years,
Before down the chimney, he can drop nuclear tears.
Begin Quote of Special Prophecy Update 187A
Special Prophecy Update Number 187A
August 29, 2004
Atomic War in Israel – Yes or No? – Number 2
More than a year ago I issued Special Prophecy Update Number 129C, titled “Atomic War in Israel, Yes or No?” I would like to reaffirm my belief in its validity in Number 2. The original Update 129C, issued July 23, 2003, was as follows:
(BEGIN QUOTE OF 129C)
“One of the main reasons I wrote three books on prophecy in the late seventies and early eighties was to establish a case advocated by teachers of the pre-World War II era.
It was, simply stated, that man would not destroy the earth with his weaponry, but rather that God would destroy the earth by the use of this own power. I am certain that the horrifying changes in the topography of Israel, as well as the terrifying destruction of the antichrist’s forces at Armageddon, are by the awesome power of God, not atomic, chemical, or biological weapons of man. The lifting of the land from Geba to Rimmon south of Jerusalem, the breaking up of Jerusalem into three sections, the splitting of the Mount of Olives, and the consuming of the flesh, tongues, and eyes of the antichrist’s men are natural phenomena unleashed by God, not by man. All the Scriptures dealing with these phenomena unleashed by God are covered in Birth Pang and Prophecy Archives.
There are many advocates of a great atomic, chemical, and biological war in Israel when the antichrist attacks 1260 days before Armageddon. It might happen at the time of Armageddon, but the initial attack will start what amounts to a non-nuclear, non-chemical, and non-biological war. So why am I so confident and outspoken about this being the case?
Israel has more than 200 extremely well concealed missile silos in the Negev between Beersheba and the Gulf of Aqabah.
(1) It has more than 300 nuclear, chemical, and biological warheads to mount on Jericho missiles.
(2) The Jericho is a very accurate missile, and can hit a target in any Islamic country from Morocco to Pakistan and from Turkey to Yemen.
(3) Israel has an excellent anti-missile defense to protect its array of silos, warheads, and missiles.
It is able to pick up an incoming enemy missile launched from Syria before it reaches it maximum altitude.
(4) So why do I believe this array of WMD will not be unleashed by Israel when it is attacked? Because the Israeli War Contingency Plan of Israel directs that WMD will never be launched against a foreign nation unless they are first launched against Israel.
(5) So how do I know the Islamic countries will not launch WMD in their initial attack? All of them are well aware of what is listed in (1) through (5)! The former Soviet Union, which it existed, shared Israeli intelligence information with Syria, which it collected over a long period of time from its hundreds of spy satellites it launched from pads between Moscow and the White Sea, and on the eastern side of the Aral Sea. Syria, in turn, has shared it with some of the other Islamic countries around Israel. Only a leader possessed of rank insanity would ever launch WMD first against Israel, which is why I was so relieved when Saddam Hussein was taken out of the way.
Many believe the United States will quickly rush to the aid of Israel, and, as the world’s greatest power, will immediately deliver her from any kind of attack she can’t handle. There are two problems with this idea: (1) The United States believes Israel can defeat any Islamic attack on its own without any help from us. After all, Israel has easily done so in three previous wars and, (2) This will be a lightn ing Jihad, and better coord
inated than any of the previous wars, and this time Israel will have a Palestinian state attacking it from within, while the other Islamic nations come in from outside its borders. It will probably last less than a couple of weeks, and Jerusalem is likely to fall within four days. By the time we decide they must have our help it will be too late, because they will have occupied most of the land from Dan to Beersheba. It would take months, as it did in Operation Desert Storm and Operation Freedom Iraq, to get enough American troops on the ground to do any good.
What was the character of Israel’s past three wars? They were all very short in duration, and they all ended abruptly in a truce. That will be the case in this war. The United States knows that the Negev is the place where Israel will flee.
When we believe they are safely in the Negev, we will be more than willing to accept a truce to give us time to think about what to do, and Israel will remain trapped in the Negev for some three and one-half years.
The part played by the United States during this period of three and one-half years is interspersed throughout our Prophecy Archives, with some of it in Prophecy Updates 5 through 11, 32 & 33, and 74 & 75.”
(END QUOTE OF UPDATE 129C).
(CONTINUE QUOTE OF UPDATE 187A)
Since Update 129C was issued, several noteworthy things have come to pass that reduce the likelihood of a nuclear war in the Middle East. The area is headed toward a situation where both sides will realize a nuclear war would leave the victor, or victors, in such a powerless state, that any future they might have would be desolate, and leave them in a position of great vulnerability to the rest of the oil consuming nations. Some of these noteworthy recent events, which would tend to create a standoff, such as the one that developed between the United States and the once mighty Soviet Union, are as follows:
(1) Syria now has a better Scud than the Scud B.
The Scud D missile, considered to be the most sophisticated weapon of its kind, is now in the hands of the Syrian military. It is able to deliver nuclear, chemical, or biological multiple warheads to their targets in Israel from Syria.
(2) The jointly developed American-Israeli Arrow 2 missile successfully launched an Arrow 2 missile that destroyed a Scud B over the Pacific Ocean earlier this year. The Arrow 2 is designed to intercept an enemy missile before it reaches its peak altitude, far from Israeli territory. However, in a recent test against the Scud D, it failed to intercept the detached warhead. It was not a complete failure, and the results are in the process of being analyzed.
Israel says it can still effectively destroy the Scud D.
(3) Syria also maintains a sizeable ballistic missile arsenal and, like Iran, is active in upgrading and expanding its capabilities.
(4) In June Iran announced it is building its first stealth missile, a rocket that can evade electronic detection. The missile was named Kowsar, in honor of the Kowsar river in paradise, which is found in the Koran, the Holy Book of Islam. Iran announced it would be capable of hitting ships and aircraft.
(5) Iran is continuing to steam toward development of its own nuclear bomb, which many believe it could develop as early as next year. It is now going underground, and spreading out its nuclear development sites in order to limit the damage that could be incurred by an Israeli air strike, like the one carried out on Iraq’s nuclear facility in 1981.
(6) Iran is manufacturing various missiles, chief among them being the Shahab-3, whose range of 1300 km (793 mi) allows it to reach Israel. It is designed to carry up to a 700-kilogram conventional warhead. But the Iranians are currently developing the Shihab 4 and 5, with ranges of 3000 km (1830 mi) and 6000 km (3660 mi), which puts all of Europe in its sights, and these both missiles will be able to carry chemical, nuclear, and biological weapons.
(7) At the same time that Iran and Syria are attempting to manufacture weapons of mass destructions, and the missiles to deliver them, they are also building up their conventional arsenal of weapons. Iran has been making its own tanks, armored personnel carriers, and fighter planes, inside its own borders for some time.
They have been guided by the designs of weaponry supplied to them by North Korea, Russia, and even China in both their conventional and non-conventional programs of weaponry development. The huge payments from the Iranian oil money have, for some time, helped to keep the Russian Economy afloat, and the North Korean economy from completely collapsing.
I do not believe there will be a nuclear, biological or chemical war in the Middle East. I have long been convinced of this. It will be a great war, but only conventional weapons will be used. I will not rule out the possibility of some being used at Armageddon, but I really don’t believe they will be launched even them.
It is no secret that, if left unchecked, Iran is determined to become a global nuclear power with long range nuclear missiles that could strike Europe, plus NATO and American forces within a 3600 mile radius, and the United States and Israel are determined to not let that happen.
End Quote of Archive Update 187A
Begin Arutz Sheva Article
Bush: Iran with Nukes? Not on my Watch
25 Kislev 5768, 05 December 07 06:14
by Gil Ronen
(IsraelNN.com) Despite the new intelligence report which said that Iran abandoned its nuclear weapons-building program in 2003, President Bush made it clear at a White House press conference Tuesday morning that nothing has changed in the way the U.S. sees Iran.
“Iran was dangerous,’’ Bush said. “Iran is dangerous, and Iran will be dangerous, if they have the knowledge to make a nuclear weapon.’’
Bush asked reporters rhetorically: “If Iran shows up with a nuclear weapon at some point in time, the world is going to say, what happened to them in 2007? How come they couldn’t see the impending danger? It’s not going to happen on my watch,” the president said.
The findings of the new National Intelligence Estimate on Iran, President Bush insisted, mean that
Iran still poses a threat. “We know that they’re still trying to learn how to enrich uranium,’’ Bush said. “We know that enriching uranium is an important step for a country that wants to develop a weapon.”
‘Report is a warning signal’
“I view the report as a warning signal,’’ the president said. “The reason it’s a warning signal is, they could restart it.’’
“Nothing has changed in this NIE that says there’s nothing to worry about – quite the contrary,’’ he explained. “Somebody hid their program once. They could hide it again…. I see danger, and many in the world see the same danger.”
Asked why this report is more credible than a NIE in 2005 which stated that Iran posed a nuclear threat, Bush said: “Without getting into sources and methods, our intelligence community has made a great discovery.’’
‘All options on the table’
The president added that international pressure had to be applied to Iran to abandon its enrichment of nuclear fuel. He did not rule out any option for the U.S., saying: “The best diplomacy – effective diplomacy, is one in which all options are on the table.’’
Reporters told Bush his body language seemed tired, but he called that observation “Psychology 101.” When asked if he faced a credibility gap with Americans over the threat posed by Iraq in 2003 and by Iran today, Bush grew animated.
“The NIE doesn’t do anything to change my opinion about the danger Iran poses to the world. Quite the contrary,” he said. “The NIE makes it clear that the strategy we have used in the past is effective.”
U.S. intelligence “covering its flanks”
In Kabul, Afghanistan, U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates also said that the NIE shows that Tehran remains a possible threat. Like Bush, he said it shows that Iran has had a nuclear weapons program and that as long as the country continues with its uranium enrichment activities, Iran could always renew its weapons program.
The U.S. intelligence assessment “validated the administration’s strategy of bringing diplomatic and economic efforts to bear on Iran,” Gates said Tuesday, speaking at a news conference with Afghanistan’s President Hamid Karzai.
Ha’aretz newspaper speculated Tuesday that the NIE reflected a will on the part of part of the U.S. intelligence community to “cover its flanks” in case the U.S. decides to attack Iran, so that it does not wind up taking the blame for faulty intelligence that led to the war, as happened in the case of the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
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