HOW LONG WILL ISRAEL WAIT
?
November 7, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
I have never doubted that Iran has been on
a frantic drive to acquire a nuclear bomb. But, at the same time, I have been equally convinced the intent has been to use it as a deterrent, to be certain Israel does not send a nuclear warhead in Iran’s direction. Iran and Syria want to drive the Jews into the Mediterranean Sea, with no hope of return, as do all the other Middle East Muslims. But they do not want a nuclear war with Israel because they know Israel has a nuclear armada consisting of hundreds of Jericho missiles with nuclear
warheads, which could wipe out most of the Islamic population in the Middle East. They want a conventional war because they know they have a fantastic advantage in numbers, not nuclear destructive ability. The Middle East Muslims are at a tremendous disadvantage in nuclear and air power, and they know it.
It is not possible for Islam to win a Middle East nuclear war with Israel, and they jolly well know it. I have always contended that Iran wants an arsenal of missile-deliverable nuclear warheads in place before starting a conventional Middle East war, using Hizbullah and Syria as their two pawns in initiating it.
So the ball is in Israel’s court, and the question is, how long will Israel wait? Considering all that is involved in the process of acquiring several deliverable nuclear warheads, I doubt if Iran will develop and test a nuclear bomb before 2010, and I doubt if they will be able to develop an arsenal of them, in which they have confidence they can hit their targets, prior to 2014.
However, if Pakistan falls to fanatic Islam, they could obtain deliverable nuclear warheads much earlier.
So, either way, the question remains, How long will Israel wait
?
Begin Jerusalem Post Article
Mofaz: 2008 decisive for stopping Iran
Mark Weiss and Sheera Frenkel, THE JERUSALEM POST
November 6, 2007
Next year will be a critical one in efforts to stop
Iran from acquiring nuclear capabilities, Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz said Tuesday.
“Iran’s nuclear program is proceeding like an express train.
The diplomatic efforts to thwart Iran are like a slow train. If we cannot derail the Iranian train from the tracks, we are on the verge of a nuclear era that will totally alter the regional reality,” the former defense minister and IDF chief of General Staff told the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish organizations in New York.
Mofaz, who is also deputy prime minister, is scheduled to hold talks in Washington on Wednesday with US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.
On Thursday, Mofaz will head the Israeli delegation at a Strategic Dialogue meeting with American leaders. The delegation includes senior officials from the Foreign and Defense ministries and from elsewhere in the security establishment.
Another warning that time is running out came on Tuesday from Brig.-Gen. Yossi Baidatz, head of Military Intelligence’s research bureau, who told the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee that if Iran’s nuclear program went unchecked, the Islamic Republic could have nuclear weapons by the end of 2009.
“Iran’s conservative sect is gaining power.
The Iranian regime is faced with internal issues, but there is no threat to its existence or stability. Assuming it faces no difficulties, the worst case scenario is Iran obtaining nuclear arms by 2009,” said Baidatz. He added that the regime of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad remained popular throughout the region, despite criticism farther abroad.
Israel’s response to the Iranian nuclear program will be periodically reevaluated to check its effectiveness, said Defense Minister Ehud Barak, who also addressed the committee.
“The things that we do behind the scenes, far from the public eye, are far more important than the slogan charade. Talks don’t make threats go away. We must show good judgment and act wisely,” said Barak.
The latest warnings over the Iranian nuclear threat follow the public criticism of International Atomic Energy Agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei on Monday by Foreign Ministry Director-General Aharon Abramovitch.
Addressing the Saban Forum in Jerusalem, Abramovitch said that instead of helping to stop Iran from acquiring a nuclear potential, the UN body was an obstacle to such efforts. The IAEA provided an excuse to states that preferred not to join the international community’s efforts to prevent a nuclear Iran, he said.
The timing of the current Israeli diplomatic offensive is no coincidence.
Later this month, the IAEA is scheduled to present a periodic report to the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany.
Based largely on this report, the Security Council will decide whether to back a third round of sanctions on Iran. Two permanent Security Council members, Russia and China, have so far refused to endorse stepped-up sanctions.
Sources in Jerusalem told The Jerusalem Post that another rosy report from ElBaradei, stressing Iranian cooperation and the need for more time, could give Moscow and Beijing an excuse to block a further round of sanctions.
Jerusalem believes that the current sanctions are effective but are not enough to persuade Teheran to stop pursuing its nuclear ambitions.
Israeli sources suspect that ElBaradei may want to prevent war at any cost, saying that he is very influenced by what happened in Iraq. His warnings before the second Gulf war that Baghdad did not possess weapons of mass destruction failed to prevent a military conflict.
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