No Major Middle East War this Year!
September 24, 2007
http://www.tribulationperiod.com/
Years ago I analyzed a collection of many estimates from intelligence sources across the broad specter of international intelligence agencies, and accepted the lowest estimate of when a nuclear weapon could be developed by Iran. There has never been any question in my mind Iran would dare attack Israel before they had a deterrent nuclear warhead.
Why? Because Iranians know Israel has a vast armada of Jericho II missiles with nuclear warheads in the Negev Wilderness, pointed at a multiplicity of targets across Iran which, if launched, would end the existence of the nation we identify on a map as Iran (Consult Archive Prophecy Update Numbers 4 through 7 for Details of Israeli Military Negev Capabilities). I accepted the first estimates of the earliest time Iran could possibly develop its first nuclear warhead several years ago, which was 2008, and from that time forward gave readers of this Blog on http://www.tribulationperiod.com/ the guesstimate of a time frame from 2008 to the end of 2012 as the most likely time for a major Middle East War to begin.
I have held to that estimate, assuring readers I did not expect a major Middle East war before 2008, and have tenaciously clung to that conclusion through constant predictions, coming from a multiplicity of sources, that we would have such a war this year.
There are three things I consider essential for a huge Middle East War to begin, which a conglomerate of 10 Arab nations and terrorist groups, led by Syria and Iran, must have in place before they begin a war with the nation of Israel, in order to have any possibility of winning.
Those three things are: (1) A deliverable arsenal of nuclear warheads which are for deterrent purposes, (2) American troops out of Iraq, and (3) Israel not on the alert for an attack. If these three th ings, or at least the first two, are not
in place, the Arab forces will lose the war just as they have in all their previous wars with Israel.
I do not believe these three conditions could be in place before late 2009, so I do not expect a major Middle East war in 2008, because Islamic forces would lose it, and Zechariah 13:8 and Revelation 12:6 could not be fulfilled.
Zechariah 13:8 – And it shall come to pass, that in all the land, saith the Lord, two parts therein shall be cut off and die; but the third shall be left therein.
Revelation 12:6 – And the woman fled into the wilderness, where she hath a place prepared of God, that they should feed her there a thousand two hundred and threescore days.
Based on developments which have occurred since I first guesstimated a time frame of 2008 to the end of 2012, it now seems evident to me that the latter portion of it, from 2010 to 2013, is the better guess for a major Middle East war to begin.
However, many expect it to occur before 2010, and I certainly hope they are correct.
Begin Jerusalem Post Article
‘Chances of war with Syria still high’
Yaakov Katz, THE JERUSALEM POST
September 24, 2007
The IDF continued to maintain a high level of alert along the northern border on Sunday as senior defense officials told The Jerusalem Post that while close to three weeks have passed since Israel’s alleged air strike in Syria, there is still a chance war could break out.
Reflecting the escalation in tension, IDF troops were alerted to the northern border fence Sunday morning after the electronic alarm was activated, sparking fears of a possible infiltration from Syria.
The army said the alarm went off after the fence was touched, and that tracks were spotted on the Syrian side of the border. Soldiers who arrived on the scene ruled out an infiltration,
and the IDF said it was possible that a roving animal had triggered the alarm.
Sunday’s incident followed the scrambling of two fighter jets on Saturday to the northern border after a Syrian military jet that was being tracked by Israel disappeared from military radar systems. A short time later, the IAF discovered that the Syrian jet had crashed in Syrian territory.
“The tension is still high and so is the level of alert,” a defense official said Sunday. “What is reassuring is that the Syrians have not yet responded to the alleged strike, which hopefully means that they will continue to demonstrate restraint.”
IAF chief Maj.-Gen. Elazar Shkedy said Sunday that Israel was currently in a “complex” situation and that the air force was prepared for all developments.
“The IAF has relevance in all types of conflicts – some that are nearby with countries that we share a border with and some that are farther away,” he said during a tour of a Jerusalem high school.
“We need to be well prepared and sharp as a razor ahead of anything that might happen.”
Speaking at a Yom Kippur War memorial ceremony at Mt. Herzl on Sunday, Defense Minister Ehud Barak also warned that the relative calm and quiet could not be understood at face value.
“If there is one lesson that can be learned from the Yom Kippur War, it’s that we should not be mislead by deceptive periods of calm,” he said in reference to the tension with Syria as well as diplomatic developments vis-à-vis the Palestinians.
“The spirit of Israel must be prepared at every moment as if the next war is around the corner.”
Barak’s remarks came hours after Britain’s Sunday Times reported that soldiers from the IDF’s elite General Staff Reconnaissance Unit (Sayeret Matkal) had seized North Korean nuclear material from a secret Syrian military installation before it was bombed by IAF jets.
Quoting “informed sources in Washington and Jerusalem,” the paper claimed that the alleged IAF attack on September 6 was sanctioned by the US after the Americans were given proof that the material was indeed nuclear-related.
The sources confirmed to the paper that the materials were tested after they were taken from Syria and were found to be of North Korean origin, which raised concerns that Syria may have been trying to come into the possession of nuclear arms.
The commandos, accord ing to the report, may have been disguised
in Syrian army uniforms.
It was also stated that Barak, who used to head the unit, personally oversaw the operation.
Israeli sources admitted that special forces had been accruing intelligence in Syria for several months, the report said, adding that evidence of North Korean activity at the installation was presented to President George Bush during the summer.
According to the Times, North Korea and China believed that North Koreans were among the dead in the subsequent alleged IAF air strike. On Friday, the Washington Post reported that Israel and the United States had collaborated on intelligence ahead of the alleged IAF raid.
According to the Post report, Israel informed the US over the summer that North Korean personnel were in Syria in order to assist the country’ s nuclear weapon
s program. The intelligence in question reportedly included satellite imagery.
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